Primera Division prediction and preview: Coquimbo Unido modest favorites to beat Univ. Concepción

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Competition: Chile Primera Division
Date: Sat 27.July
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso (18750 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Coquimbo Unido are in the 10th position while the guests worry at 15th.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Univ. Concepción have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 900 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Coquimbo Unido form and stats

The story so far for Coquimbo Unido at their home stadium (Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso) is 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. The home fans are hungry for more even though Coquimbo Unido have been steadily collecting points here at Estadio Bicentenario Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso through three straight draws.

Coquimbo Unido drew their last game, also a home match. Univ. Concepción was the opponent, 2-2 the score. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Unión San Felipe that ended 1-1.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Coquimbo Unido's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won 1 match, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The Coquimbo Unido fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 13 goals in 7 matches. From these home matches, Coquimbo Unido have conceded only 6 goals.

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Univ. Concepción form and stats

Univ. Concepción, who have the fewest points (0) away in Primera Division, have only collected 0 points from their away games after 0-0-7 (7 played). Univ. Concepción have been very modest guests so far, leaving with zero points in all their 7 away matches played so far. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Univ. Concepción have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone twelve consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Colo-Colo game. Univ. Concepción are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Deportes Iquique fixture.

Univ. Concepción are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 2-2 draw at Coquimbo Unido. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Deportes Valdivia.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Univ. Concepción playing away, we found three games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 2 home wins.

Univ. Concepción are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels and have only managed 3 goals from 7 away games. Univ. Concepción have conceded 14 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Coquimbo Unido - Univ. Concepción 2-2 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. Numbers for the last six meetings between these two teams are: 0 wins for Coquimbo Unido, 3 draws and 3 wins for Univ. Concepción. Over 2,5 goals: 3 times; under 2,5 goals: 3 games.

Top Goalscorers

C. Canío
3 goals
J. Pineda
3 goals
N. Orellana
3 goals

Coquimbo Unido missing players

Univ. Concepción missing players

Coquimbo Unido Univ. Concepción
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
15 8 2 Played 2 8 15
4 3 1 Won 0 0 3
7 4 1 Drew 0 1 4
4 1 0 Lost 2 7 8
18 15 5 Scored 1 5 12
17 8 1 Conceded 5 16 21
87% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 93%
80% 100% 100% Over 1.5 50% 50% 53%
33% 50% 50% Over 2.5 50% 50% 40%
27% 38% 50% Over 3.5 50% 50% 27%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 50% 12% 7%
47% 62% 50% BTTS 50% 50% 53%
40% 38% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 20%
27% 0% 0% Failed To Score 50% 50% 33%
 
7.3 8.1 7 Corners For (avg) 2.5 4.2 4.1
4.1 4.4 5 Corners Against (avg) 6 4.5 4.6
2.3 2.5 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2.2 2.1
1 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of Coquimbo Unido's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Coquimbo Unido have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Coquimbo Unido have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Univ. Concepción have scored away.
  • Coquimbo Unido have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Coquimbo Unido haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Univ. Concepción have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Univ. Concepción have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Univ. Concepción have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Univ. Concepción have yet to win a game away.
  • Univ. Concepción haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Coquimbo Unido
19-05-19 PD Coquimbo Unido 1 - 1 Deportes Iquique
24-05-19 PD Cobresal 4 - 1 Coquimbo Unido
09-06-19 CC Unión San Felipe 3 - 1 Coquimbo Unido
13-06-19 CC Coquimbo Unido 1 - 1 Unión San Felipe
27-07-19 PD Coquimbo Unido 2 - 2 Univ. Concepción
03-08-19 PD Deportes Iquique 16:30 Coquimbo Unido
11-08-19 PD Universidad Católica 21:30 Coquimbo Unido
17-08-19 PD Coquimbo Unido 19:00 Curicó Unido
24-08-19 PD Everton 21:30 Coquimbo Unido
31-08-19 PD Coquimbo Unido 19:00 Universidad Chile
Univ. Concepción
19-05-19 PD Huachipato 1 - 0 Univ. Concepción
26-05-19 PD Univ. Concepción 1 - 1 O'Higgins
09-06-19 CC Deportes Valdivia 0 - 0 Univ. Concepción
12-06-19 CC Univ. Concepción 1 - 1 Deportes Valdivia
27-07-19 PD Coquimbo Unido 2 - 2 Univ. Concepción
04-08-19 PD Univ. Concepción 16:00 Universidad Católica
09-08-19 PD Curicó Unido 23:30 Univ. Concepción
18-08-19 PD Univ. Concepción - Huachipato
25-08-19 PD Deportes Iquique 19:00 Univ. Concepción
01-09-19 PD Univ. Concepción 16:30 Palestino

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Universidad Católica 14 10 2 2 26 9 7 4 2 1 13 3 7 6 0 1 13 6 17 32
2 Colo-Colo 14 8 4 2 24 15 7 6 0 1 14 6 7 2 4 1 10 9 9 28
3 Unión Española 14 8 1 5 17 19 7 4 0 3 7 11 7 4 1 2 10 8 -2 25
4 Unión La Calera 14 6 5 3 19 13 7 5 1 1 13 6 7 1 4 2 6 7 6 23
5 Audax Italiano 14 7 2 5 19 18 7 3 2 2 11 10 7 4 0 3 8 8 1 23
6 O'Higgins 14 6 3 5 19 17 6 5 0 1 8 3 8 1 3 4 11 14 2 21
7 Palestino 14 5 4 5 22 18 7 4 1 2 14 7 7 1 3 3 8 11 4 19
8 Curicó Unido 14 4 7 3 23 21 7 3 3 1 15 11 7 1 4 2 8 10 2 19
9 Huachipato 14 5 4 5 16 18 7 4 3 0 10 4 7 1 1 5 6 14 -2 19
10 Coquimbo Unido 14 4 6 4 16 15 7 3 3 1 13 6 7 1 3 3 3 9 1 18
11 Everton 14 4 4 6 15 17 8 3 2 3 8 8 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 16
12 Deportes Iquique 14 4 4 6 15 20 8 3 2 3 12 13 6 1 2 3 3 7 -5 16
13 Universidad Chile 14 2 6 6 19 25 7 1 5 1 11 9 7 1 1 5 8 16 -6 12
14 Cobresal 14 3 3 8 14 23 6 2 2 2 8 7 8 1 1 6 6 16 -9 12
15 Univ. Concepción 14 3 3 8 10 19 7 3 3 1 7 5 7 0 0 7 3 14 -9 12
16 Antofagasta 14 2 4 8 13 20 7 1 2 4 6 8 7 1 2 4 7 12 -7 10