Parva Liga match prediction: Little separates Etar and Botev Vratsa in quality

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Competition: Bulgaria Parva Liga
Competition: Fri 14.May
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Ivailo (25000 seats)

Etar are welcoming Botev Vratsa for another important game after their 0-3 result against Slavia Sofia.

Insights:
  • Etar have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Parva Liga
  • Botev Vratsa have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Parva Liga

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Etar and Botev Vratsa.

Etar have had a bad season and will be relegated from Parva Liga. Botev Vratsa are nearing the end of this stay in this division as relegation is now unavoidable.

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Etar form and stats

Etar's results here at Stadion Ivailo in the Parva Liga have been very modest with 2 victories, 7 draws and 4 defeats. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Etar to get some points in this home game.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 280 minutes without scoring a league goal. M. Angelov was the last player to find the net.

The Etar fans got no joy from their last match, a Parva Liga game also here at Stadion Ivailo: A 0-3 defeat against Slavia Sofia. Heartbreak before that as Etar lost 0-1 at Montana's place.

This is expected to be a close game, with Etar perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Etar as a small favourite), we find five games. Etar has won one of these, drawn three and lost one.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Etar as they have a new game in only four days, a Parva Liga match thankfully also at home. Montana are visiting.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Etar here at Stadion Ivailo in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (10 from 13 games). It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. 16 goals have been conceded.

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Botev Vratsa form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Botev Vratsa so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-8 (win-draw-lose).

The supporters enjoyed Botev Vratsa's previous game versus Montana, a Parva Liga 1-0 win played at home. A 0-2 defeat away at Slavia Sofia before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Botev Vratsa playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were three Botev Vratsa wins, one draw and one defeat.

A quick return to home after this game, as Vratsa are hosting Slavia Sofia in the Parva Liga only four days away.

The attacking power of Vratsa when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 13 league matches away. Vratsa have conceded 21 goals in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Botev Vratsa - Etar 2-0, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: one - five - four (Etar wins - draws - Botev Vratsa wins). As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

EtarP. Borukov
P. Borukov
9 goals
Botev VratsaD. Genov
D. Genov
8 goals
Botev VratsaV. Domovchiyski
V. Domovchiyski
4 goals

Etar missing players

Botev Vratsa missing players

Etar Botev Vratsa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 4 14 29
4 2 0 Won W 2 3 8
10 7 3 Drew D 0 2 4
15 5 1 Lost L 2 9 17
20 10 1 Scored S 3 11 29
51 19 4 Conceded C 4 23 41
79% 64% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 86%
62% 57% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 71% 69%
45% 43% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 52%
31% 36% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 17%
17% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 10%
41% 36% 25% BTTS BTTS 0% 43% 45%
28% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 29% 31%
52% 57% 75% Failed to Score F T 50% 43% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.9 3.1 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.7 2.8
9 4 0 Red cards R C 1 3 5
 
8.2 8.5 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 6.5 7.9
3.1 3.1 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 2.7 3.1
22% 23% 8% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 29% 32%
Key stats in Parva Liga this season:
  • Botev Vratsa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Botev Vratsa have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Parva Liga
  • Etar have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Etar have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Parva Liga
  • Etar have the most conceded goals in the second half (31) in Parva Liga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ludogorets 26 20 4 2 59 18 13 12 1 0 28 4 13 8 3 2 31 14 41 64
2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 26 15 7 4 41 19 13 8 5 0 25 10 13 7 2 4 16 9 22 52
3 CSKA Sofia 26 14 8 4 39 20 13 9 4 0 21 6 13 5 4 4 18 14 19 50
4 Arda 26 12 9 5 36 29 13 8 4 1 23 14 13 4 5 4 13 15 7 45
5 CSKA 1948 Sofia 26 10 8 8 34 30 13 8 3 2 24 10 13 2 5 6 10 20 4 38
6 Beroe 26 10 7 9 38 28 13 5 3 5 20 13 13 5 4 4 18 15 10 37
7 Cherno More 26 10 7 9 27 25 13 7 3 3 17 12 13 3 4 6 10 13 2 37
8 Tsarsko selo 26 9 7 10 29 27 13 5 5 3 18 13 13 4 2 7 11 14 2 34
9 Levski Sofia 26 7 7 12 25 27 13 5 2 6 13 15 13 2 5 6 12 12 -2 28
10 Botev Plovdiv 26 5 9 12 25 46 13 4 5 4 14 16 13 1 4 8 11 30 -21 24
11 Slavia Sofia 26 6 5 15 19 40 13 4 3 6 9 16 13 2 2 9 10 24 -21 23
12 Botev Vratsa 26 6 4 16 26 39 13 3 2 8 15 18 13 3 2 8 11 21 -13 22
13 Etar 26 4 10 12 20 45 13 2 7 4 10 16 13 2 3 8 10 29 -25 22
14 Montana 26 4 8 14 21 46 13 4 3 6 17 22 13 0 5 8 4 24 -25 20

Read more about Parva Liga

The First Professional Football League, also known as the Parva Liga, is the top level of football in Bulgaria. It has 14 teams playing a regular season of 26 fixtures to set a league table. The top six then enter a championship playoff, the bottom eight a relegation group.