Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv in Bulgarian Cup preview: Key statistics and predictions

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Competition: Bulgaria Bulgarian Cup
Competition: Tue 16.March
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Huvepharma Arena

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Ludogorets & Lokomotiv Plovdiv face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the Bulgarian Cup. All the pre-match information is available here!

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Ludogorets and Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

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Ludogorets form and stats

Last season their Bulgarian Cup adventure ended in the quarter-finals.

10-1-0 is the performance here at Huvepharma Arena so far in the Parva Liga, giving Ludogorets a total of 31 from their 11 games here. Outstanding results! After failing to beat Tsarsko selo here at Huvepharma Arena, Ludogorets has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with seven wins in a row.

In the preceding match a 4-1 victory visiting Beroe.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of V. Dambrauskas when Wanderson scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 73rd minute. Some amazing scenes last match, when Wanderson scored the winning goal six minutes into stoppage time.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Ludogorets matches with similar probabilities have ended with zero wins, one draw and zero defeats (from one game).

The manager V. Dambrauskas will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Tsarsko selo in only four days.

Goals decide football matches and Ludogorets are scoring many of them at home; 23 on target from 11 league matches. Defensively Ludogorets have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (4 in 11 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Lokomotiv Plovdiv form and stats

Nothing but glory last season for Lokomotiv, as they won the Bulgarian Cup.

5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Lokomotiv Plovdiv playing as the away team in the Parva Liga this season. Two points from the last two away games for Lokomotiv, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to CSKA Sofia.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Lokomotiv Plovdiv playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and one home win.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Lokomotiv manager A. Tunchev as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Arda.

The visiting Lokomotiv have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 13 goals from 10 games. It's not easy to score on Lokomotiv Plovdiv as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only -1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Ludogorets won five, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won three and two draws. six games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

LudogoretsC. Keșerü
C. Keșerü
14 goals
Lokomotiv PlovdivD. Krasimirov Iliev
D. Krasimirov Iliev
8 goals
Lokomotiv PlovdivG. Minchev
G. Minchev
5 goals

Ludogorets missing players

Lokomotiv Plovdiv missing players

Ludogorets Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   9 25
16 9   Won W   6 16
2 0   Drew D   2 6
7 3   Lost L   1 3
51 22   Scored S   17 49
35 12   Conceded C   6 20
100% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   78% 88%
84% 67%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   56% 76%
80% 67%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   56% 52%
52% 33%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   33% 36%
16% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   11% 12%
68% 58%   BTTS BTTS   33% 48%
28% 42%   Clean Sheets C S   56% 44%
4% 0%   Failed to Score F T   33% 20%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
2.5 2.3   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.3 1.8
2 1   Red cards R C   0 1
 
11 12.8   Shots (avg) S (   7 7.4
5.3 5.9   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.7 3.6
39% 30%   Goal Efficiency G E   38% 48%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ludogorets 21 16 3 2 48 17 11 10 1 0 23 4 10 6 2 2 25 13 31 51
2 CSKA Sofia 20 11 7 2 28 16 10 7 3 0 13 5 10 4 4 2 15 11 12 40
3 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20 11 6 3 34 17 10 6 4 0 21 9 10 5 2 3 13 8 17 39
4 Arda 21 10 8 3 31 20 10 6 4 0 19 10 11 4 4 3 12 10 11 38
5 Beroe 20 9 5 6 34 22 10 4 3 3 18 10 10 5 2 3 16 12 12 32
6 CSKA 1948 Sofia 20 7 7 6 27 22 10 6 2 2 22 10 10 1 5 4 5 12 5 28
7 Cherno More 20 7 4 9 23 24 10 5 2 3 15 12 10 2 2 6 8 12 -1 25
8 Tsarsko selo 20 6 6 8 21 22 10 3 4 3 11 11 10 3 2 5 10 11 -1 24
9 Levski Sofia 20 5 6 9 21 20 10 4 2 4 12 10 10 1 4 5 9 10 1 21
10 Botev Vratsa 20 5 3 12 22 32 10 3 2 5 13 12 10 2 1 7 9 20 -10 18
11 Montana 20 4 6 10 18 34 10 4 1 5 15 19 10 0 5 5 3 15 -16 18
12 Botev Plovdiv 20 3 8 9 20 39 10 3 5 2 11 11 10 0 3 7 9 28 -19 17
13 Slavia Sofia 20 4 4 12 14 32 10 3 3 4 6 10 10 1 1 8 8 22 -18 16
14 Etar 20 3 7 10 15 39 10 2 4 4 9 15 10 1 3 6 6 24 -24 16