Serie D preview: Can Tocantinópolis edge out victory against Fluminense PI?

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Competition: Brazil Serie D
Competition: Sat 17.June
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio João Ribeiro (8000 seats)

A win for the hosts is expected from this match if the league table is a guide to future results. The Tocantinópolis regulars are confident that the mismatch between 2nd and Fluminense PI's 8th spot in the table will be visible on the grass.

Insights:
  • Tocantinópolis have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Serie D
  • Fluminense PI have the fewest scored goals (5) in Serie D

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Tocantinópolis and Fluminense PI.

W W L D W

Tocantinópolis form and stats

Seven points from three Serie D home games is a great start for Tocantinópolis, who are hoping to build on that form here at Estádio João Ribeiro. Tocantinópolis has recorded two wins in a row here at Estádio João Ribeiro, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Anderson Luiz De Oliveira not having conceded a league goal in 225 minutes.

Happy days for Tocantinópolis in their previous game, a fixture away at Cordino (placed 7th) that ended with a 1-0 victory.

Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Cordino.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Tocantinópolis have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

Tocantinópolis are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 4 goals in 3 games.

L D W L D

Fluminense PI form and stats

The visitors, who have the fewest scored goals (5) in Serie D, are W0-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Serie D.

The manager dos Santos was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue. Fluminense suffered a 0-3 loss to Uniclinic (placed 5th).

Before that, Fluminense PI travelled to Uniclinic and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where Fluminense PI have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 8 games were 2 victories, 3 draws and 3 defeats.

Fluminense are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed {2 goals} from 4 away games. As for defending, Fluminense PI rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 7 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This duo encountered each other before this match year: Fluminense PI - Tocantinópolis 1-0. As for the last three games between these two teams, there's one Tocantinópolis victory, zero draws and two Fluminense PI wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, one match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Fluminense PIM. da Silva Ramos
M. da Silva Ramos
5 goals
Fluminense PIL. de Oliveira Ribeiro
L. de Oliveira Ribeiro
2 goals
Fluminense PID. Macedo de Miranda
D. Macedo de Miranda
2 goals

Tocantinópolis missing players

Fluminense PI missing players

Tocantinópolis Fluminense PI
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
8 3 1 Played P 1 4 8
3 2 1 Won W 0 0 1
2 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
3 0 0 Lost L 1 3 4
8 4 2 Scored S 0 2 5
6 0 0 Conceded C 2 7 12
88% 67% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
38% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 75%
12% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 25% 38%
12% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 12%
12% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 38%
50% 100% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 25%
50% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 50% 50%
 
4 4.3 3 Corners for (avg) C F 3 2.8 3.5
7.9 4.3 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6 5.8
3.8 4.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.2 3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
9.5 9.3 7 Shots (avg) S ( 2 4.2 7.5
3.6 2.3 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1.2 2.1
28% 57% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 40% 29%
 
14.9 9.3 7 Shots against (avg) S A 10 12.5 10.2
4.8 2 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4.5 3.2
Key stats in Serie D this season:
  • All of Fluminense PI's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Fluminense PI have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Fluminense PI have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Fluminense PI have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Fluminense PI have the fewest scored goals (5) in Serie D
  • Fluminense PI have the fewest scored goals in the first half (1) in Serie D
  • Fluminense PI have the most dropped points from leading position (5) in Serie D
  • Fluminense PI have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Fluminense PI have yet to win a game away.
  • Fluminense PI haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Tocantinópolis have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Tocantinópolis have the fewest conceded goals (0) at home in Serie D
  • Tocantinópolis have the fewest matches over the total-line (1) in Serie D
  • Tocantinópolis have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Serie D
  • Tocantinópolis have the most matches under the total-line (7) in Serie D

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ferroviário 8 7 1 0 17 2 5 5 0 0 13 1 3 2 1 0 4 1 15 22
2 Tocantinópolis 8 3 2 3 8 6 3 2 1 0 4 0 5 1 1 3 4 6 2 11
3 Parnahyba 8 3 2 3 8 15 4 3 1 0 7 2 4 0 1 3 1 13 -7 11
4 Maranhão 8 2 4 2 10 7 4 2 2 0 8 2 4 0 2 2 2 5 3 10
5 Uniclinic 8 2 4 2 11 10 3 0 2 1 2 4 5 2 2 1 9 6 1 10
6 Caucaia 8 1 5 2 11 12 5 1 3 1 8 8 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 8
7 Cordino 8 1 3 4 6 12 4 1 1 2 4 5 4 0 2 2 2 7 -6 6
8 Fluminense PI 8 1 3 4 5 12 4 1 2 1 3 5 4 0 1 3 2 7 -7 6