Serie B match prediction: Little separates Tombense and Novorizontino in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Thu 29.September
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Soares de Azevedo (13971 seats)

Tombense have accomplished 8 home wins this season, Novorizontino have won 2 away. Who betters their records after this meeting?

Insights:
  • Tombense have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Novorizontino have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Serie B

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1000 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Tombense have less rest than Novorizontino in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Serie B game only three days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at CSA.

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Tombense form and stats

Tombense have performed here at Estádio Soares de Azevedo this season with 8 wins from 15 Serie B matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 7 games and lost 0.

In their previous game, the manager Pivetti led his Tombense to a defeat away at CSA. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estádio Soares de Azevedo. Neto was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.1 out of 10. The defender Neto won 4 of 4 duels.

Before that, Tombense drew at home versus Londrina.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Tombense have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 11 matches with the results: Won 4, drawn 6 and lost 1.

Tombense are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 19 goals in 15 games. From these home matches, Tombense have conceded only 9 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Novorizontino form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Novorizontino so far with only 10 points returning home. The records show 2-4-9 (win-draw-lose). A depressing four defeats in a row for Novorizontino in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Chapecoense.

Novorizontino play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to Guarani (placed 16th). Torres got a match rating of 7.42 in that game, top player of the team. Torres hit three key passes.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-0 vs Gremio.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Novorizontino playing away and similar expectations, we found 13 relevant matches. Results were 2 Novorizontino wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats.

The attacking power of Novorizontino when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 15 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Novorizontino have seen the ball go into their own net 21 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Novorizontino - Tombense 1-3 was the story when these two squads formerly did battle, earlier this season. Head to head numbers (for the previous three meetings): Tombense won two games, zero matches ended in a draw and Novorizontino have one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: two / one. The games between these teams sometimes lean towards being ill-tempered, having seen 4 sending-offs from the last three duels.

Top Goalscorers

TombenseJ. Ferreira da Silva
J. Ferreira da Silva
9 goals
NovorizontinoR. Silva
R. Silva
7 goals
TombenseE. Galdino Moreira
E. Galdino Moreira
6 goals

Tombense missing players

Novorizontino missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Tombense Novorizontino
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 6 Played P 6 15 31
9 8 3 Won W 1 2 9
13 7 3 Drew D 2 4 9
9 0 0 Lost L 3 9 13
28 19 8 Scored S 4 11 31
34 9 5 Conceded C 6 21 37
87% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 93% 90%
71% 67% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 71%
32% 27% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 40% 42%
10% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 13% 16%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
52% 60% 83% BTTS BTTS 50% 53% 55%
29% 40% 17% Clean Sheets C S 33% 20% 26%
32% 7% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 29%
 
3.5 3.9 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.7 5.2
5.9 4.7 4.3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.1 4.5
2.1 1.7 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.7 2.9 2.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 4
 
9.8 11.1 13.3 Shots (avg) S ( 9.7 11.6 14
3.2 3.6 4.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 3.1 4.1
28% 35% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 23% 25%
 
15 12.7 12.3 Shots against (avg) S A 15 14 11.8
4.2 3.2 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 5.2 4.3
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Novorizontino have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Serie B
  • Novorizontino have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Tombense have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Tombense have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cruzeiro 31 20 8 3 44 16 16 14 2 0 28 4 15 6 6 3 16 12 28 68
2 Gremio 31 14 11 6 37 20 16 12 2 2 31 9 15 2 9 4 6 11 17 53
3 Bahia 31 15 7 9 35 21 16 11 3 2 26 9 15 4 4 7 9 12 14 52
4 Vasco da Gama 31 13 9 9 35 28 15 10 5 0 24 5 16 3 4 9 11 23 7 48
5 Londrina 31 12 9 10 30 29 16 7 6 3 20 15 15 5 3 7 10 14 1 45
6 Ituano 31 11 11 9 35 28 15 7 6 2 19 8 16 4 5 7 16 20 7 44
7 Ponte Preta 31 11 10 10 29 26 15 8 5 2 16 5 16 3 5 8 13 21 3 43
8 Sport Recife 31 11 10 10 24 25 15 10 4 1 18 4 16 1 6 9 6 21 -1 43
9 Criciuma 31 10 13 8 32 26 16 8 5 3 19 8 15 2 8 5 13 18 6 43
10 Sampaio Correa 31 11 9 11 37 35 15 10 4 1 29 11 16 1 5 10 8 24 2 42
11 CRB 31 10 10 11 28 36 16 6 8 2 16 11 15 4 2 9 12 25 -8 40
12 Tombense 31 9 13 9 28 34 15 8 7 0 19 9 16 1 6 9 9 25 -6 40
13 Vila Nova 31 7 16 8 23 27 16 4 10 2 11 9 15 3 6 6 12 18 -4 37
14 Novorizontino 31 9 9 13 31 37 16 7 5 4 20 16 15 2 4 9 11 21 -6 36
15 Chapecoense 31 8 11 12 27 30 15 4 5 6 15 17 16 4 6 6 12 13 -3 35
16 Guarani 31 8 11 12 25 32 16 6 6 4 13 12 15 2 5 8 12 20 -7 35
17 CSA 31 7 14 10 23 29 15 6 7 2 17 11 16 1 7 8 6 18 -6 35
18 Brusque 31 8 7 16 19 29 15 6 4 5 12 10 16 2 3 11 7 19 -10 31
19 Operario PR 31 7 10 14 25 38 15 6 4 5 15 12 16 1 6 9 10 26 -13 31
20 Náutico 31 7 6 18 26 47 16 5 4 7 20 20 15 2 2 11 6 27 -21 27

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cruzeiro 31 20 8 3 44 16 16 14 2 0 28 4 15 6 6 3 16 12 28 68
2 Gremio 31 14 11 6 37 20 16 12 2 2 31 9 15 2 9 4 6 11 17 53
3 Bahia 31 15 7 9 35 21 16 11 3 2 26 9 15 4 4 7 9 12 14 52
4 Vasco da Gama 31 13 9 9 35 28 15 10 5 0 24 5 16 3 4 9 11 23 7 48
5 Londrina 31 12 9 10 30 29 16 7 6 3 20 15 15 5 3 7 10 14 1 45
6 Ituano 31 11 11 9 35 28 15 7 6 2 19 8 16 4 5 7 16 20 7 44
7 Ponte Preta 31 11 10 10 29 26 15 8 5 2 16 5 16 3 5 8 13 21 3 43
8 Sport Recife 31 11 10 10 24 25 15 10 4 1 18 4 16 1 6 9 6 21 -1 43
9 Criciuma 31 10 13 8 32 26 16 8 5 3 19 8 15 2 8 5 13 18 6 43
10 Sampaio Correa 31 11 9 11 37 35 15 10 4 1 29 11 16 1 5 10 8 24 2 42
11 CRB 31 10 10 11 28 36 16 6 8 2 16 11 15 4 2 9 12 25 -8 40
12 Tombense 31 9 13 9 28 34 15 8 7 0 19 9 16 1 6 9 9 25 -6 40
13 Vila Nova 31 7 16 8 23 27 16 4 10 2 11 9 15 3 6 6 12 18 -4 37
14 Novorizontino 31 9 9 13 31 37 16 7 5 4 20 16 15 2 4 9 11 21 -6 36
15 Chapecoense 31 8 11 12 27 30 15 4 5 6 15 17 16 4 6 6 12 13 -3 35
16 Guarani 31 8 11 12 25 32 16 6 6 4 13 12 15 2 5 8 12 20 -7 35
17 CSA 31 7 14 10 23 29 15 6 7 2 17 11 16 1 7 8 6 18 -6 35
18 Brusque 31 8 7 16 19 29 15 6 4 5 12 10 16 2 3 11 7 19 -10 31
19 Operario PR 31 7 10 14 25 38 15 6 4 5 15 12 16 1 6 9 10 26 -13 31
20 Náutico 31 7 6 18 26 47 16 5 4 7 20 20 15 2 2 11 6 27 -21 27

More from Brazil - Serie B

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.