Serie B match prediction: Little separates Juventude and Novorizontino in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Thu 03.Aug
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi (30519 seats)

Serie B: Two sides in decent shape get together for this game. Novorizontino might have a tiny advantage with their 1st position in the table?

Insights:
  • Juventude have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Novorizontino have the the best goal difference (+15) in Serie B

These teams have little in common geographically as Novorizontino have to travel 1100 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W W D D D

Juventude form and stats

The Serie B results at home this season for Juventude are 5-1-3 (wins-draws-losses).

The Juventude goalkeeper Thiago Couto Wenceslau is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 328 minutes without conceding a goal in the Serie B.

Juventude are returning here after visiting Botafogo SP and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. Ruschel and Vargas scored the goal(s). Couto loved the game against Botafogo SP. With a stunning six saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 2-0 victory. Boza, defender, was given a rating of 7.8/10 in that game, top of the team. Boza won 10 of 12 duels.

Before that, Juventude had a home game versus Ceara which ended with a victory 1-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Juventude have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 11 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 4 and lost 4.

Betting people who like looking for low-scoring matches might like to know that this club have played 5 league fixtures in a row with zero, one or two goals (under 2.5).

Juventude are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 12 goals in 9 games. Juventude are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 8 from 9 matches.

W W W L D

Novorizontino form and stats

The visitors, who have the the best goal difference (+15) in Serie B, are W6-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Serie B.

The club members enjoyed Novorizontino's previous fixture versus Vila Nova (placed 4th), a 3-1 win played at home. Ronaldo, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.22. Ronaldo scored two goals.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Criciúma at their stadium, the result 1-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 13 similar matches played by Novorizontino in our archives, and the results are: 3 wins for Novorizontino, 4 draws and 6 defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Novorizontino manager Baptista as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Sport Recife.

Novorizontino are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 14 away goals from 10 games (in the league). They concede less than a goal on average per away game (7 so far).

Head 2 Head

The previous head-to-head match ended Novorizontino - Juventude 1-0, played this season.

Top Goalscorers

JuventudeR. Rodrigues Silva
R. Rodrigues Silva
6 goals
JuventudeA. de Carvalho
A. de Carvalho
6 goals
NovorizontinoA. Tavella
A. Tavella
6 goals

Juventude missing players

Novorizontino missing players

Juventude Novorizontino
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 9 2 Played P 3 10 20
10 5 2 Won W 2 6 12
3 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
7 3 0 Lost L 1 3 5
23 12 2 Scored S 5 14 27
18 8 0 Conceded C 1 7 12
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
60% 56% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 70% 55%
40% 44% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 40% 35%
5% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 10%
5% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
40% 44% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 30%
40% 44% 100% Clean Sheets C S 67% 50% 55%
25% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 10% 20%
 
4.8 5.7 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5.5 6.8
5.2 4.2 7 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.5 4.8
3 2.2 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.5 2.7
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
13.5 15.1 15 Shots (avg) S ( 11.7 14.3 17.1
4.2 5.2 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 4.2 5
27% 26% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 56% 33% 27%
 
12.9 10 10 Shots against (avg) S A 10.3 11.9 10.3
4 3.8 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 3.9 3.2
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Juventude have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Juventude haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Novorizontino have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Novorizontino have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Novorizontino have the most clean sheets (5) away in Serie B
  • Novorizontino have the most points (19) away in Serie B
  • Novorizontino have the the best goal difference (+15) in Serie B
  • Novorizontino have the the best goal difference (+7) away in Serie B
  • Novorizontino have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Novorizontino haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Novorizontino 20 12 3 5 27 12 10 6 2 2 13 5 10 6 1 3 14 7 15 39
2 Vitória 20 12 2 6 31 17 9 7 0 2 16 6 11 5 2 4 15 11 14 38
3 Sport Recife 20 11 5 4 31 17 11 9 1 1 23 6 9 2 4 3 8 11 14 38
4 Vila Nova 20 10 5 5 23 11 9 6 3 0 10 2 11 4 2 5 13 9 12 35
5 Guarani 20 10 5 5 26 16 9 7 1 1 17 7 11 3 4 4 9 9 10 35
6 Criciúma 20 10 5 5 23 14 10 6 1 3 13 7 10 4 4 2 10 7 9 35
7 Mirassol 20 10 4 6 22 17 10 6 2 2 12 7 10 4 2 4 10 10 5 34
8 Juventude 20 10 3 7 23 18 9 5 1 3 12 8 11 5 2 4 11 10 5 33
9 Botafogo SP 19 9 3 7 15 23 10 5 1 4 6 10 9 4 2 3 9 13 -8 30
10 Ceara 20 8 5 7 22 22 10 4 2 4 10 12 10 4 3 3 12 10 0 29
11 Atletico GO 20 6 10 4 27 30 11 5 5 1 16 13 9 1 5 3 11 17 -3 28
12 CRB 19 7 3 9 20 23 9 4 3 2 11 9 10 3 0 7 9 14 -3 24
13 Ponte Preta 20 5 8 7 12 17 11 3 6 2 9 7 9 2 2 5 3 10 -5 23
14 Ituano 20 5 6 9 18 22 9 3 3 3 11 8 11 2 3 6 7 14 -4 21
15 Sampaio Correa 20 5 6 9 16 25 10 3 4 3 11 12 10 2 2 6 5 13 -9 21
16 Tombense 20 5 4 11 20 27 11 3 3 5 15 15 9 2 1 6 5 12 -7 19
17 Chapecoense 19 4 6 9 21 25 11 3 4 4 10 10 8 1 2 5 11 15 -4 18
18 Avai 19 4 5 10 13 26 10 2 3 5 7 14 9 2 2 5 6 12 -13 17
19 Londrina 20 4 3 13 17 31 9 3 1 5 11 12 11 1 2 8 6 19 -14 15
20 ABC 20 2 7 11 13 27 10 1 3 6 5 12 10 1 4 5 8 15 -14 13

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.