Serie B prediction and preview: CSA modest favorites to beat Náutico

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Sun 01.November
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé (20801 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. CSA are in the 8th position while the guesting Náutico worry at 17th.

CSA have less rest than Náutico in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Serie B game only four days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Chapecoense.

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CSA form and stats

CSA, who have the most scored goals (17) at home in Serie B, have performed here at Estádio Rei Pelé this season with 6 wins from 9 Serie B matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 1 game and lost 2. Ever since the Cuiabá game CSA has been unbeatable here at Estádio Rei Pelé producing five straight wins.

CSA shared the glory with Chapecoense in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0. Before that, CSA played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Brasil de Pelotas.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how CSA have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won zero times, drawn two and lost zero.

The CSA fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 9 league matches. CSA have only conceded 8 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

D W L L D

Náutico form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Náutico so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose).

Náutico played 1-1 against Cruzeiro in their previous match. Preceding that game was the away victory against Oeste with the score of 1-0.

As mentioned above, Náutico drew the match against Cruzeiro. Manager G. Kleina brought on Marcão to rescue the draw from a losing position and it worked.

Náutico are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, six draws and three defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

The attacking power of Náutico when travelling is not overwhelming with 5 goals scored from 8 league matches away. As opposed to that, Náutico have seen the ball go into their own net 9 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

CSAP. Luiz de Souza
P. Luiz de Souza
6 goals
CSAP. Moreira Junior
P. Moreira Junior
4 goals
NáuticoJ. Vicente
J. Vicente
4 goals

CSA missing players

Náutico missing players

CSA Náutico
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 2 8 17
7 6 3 Won W 1 2 4
4 1 0 Drew D 0 2 7
7 2 0 Lost L 1 4 6
23 17 7 Scored S 3 5 15
20 8 1 Conceded C 4 9 19
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 82%
72% 78% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 50% 59%
50% 56% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 38% 29%
17% 33% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 12% 18%
6% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
50% 44% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 38% 47%
33% 44% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 38% 29%
22% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 41%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
3 3.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.4 2.5
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
188 96 32 Total Shots T S 26 90 221
71 40 16 Shots on Target S O 10 28 68
32% 42% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 18% 22%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • CSA has the fewest matches under the total-line (5) in Serie B
  • CSA has the most scored goals (17) at home in Serie B
  • CSA has the most scored goals in the first half (17) in Serie B
  • CSA have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • CSA have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • CSA have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Náutico have scored away.
  • CSA haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Náutico have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Chapecoense 18 10 7 1 19 5 9 6 3 0 8 1 9 4 4 1 11 4 14 37
2 America Mineiro 18 10 5 3 20 11 9 5 2 2 12 7 9 5 3 1 8 4 9 35
3 Cuiabá 18 9 6 3 23 17 9 6 3 0 13 5 9 3 3 3 10 12 6 33
4 Juventude 18 7 7 4 26 19 9 4 4 1 12 6 9 3 3 3 14 13 7 28
5 Parana 19 7 7 5 22 19 10 5 4 1 13 4 9 2 3 4 9 15 3 28
6 Ponte Preta 18 8 3 7 23 26 9 4 2 3 12 15 9 4 1 4 11 11 -3 27
7 CRB 18 7 5 6 22 20 9 5 3 1 14 7 9 2 2 5 8 13 2 26
8 CSA 18 7 4 7 23 20 9 6 1 2 17 8 9 1 3 5 6 12 3 25
9 Confianca 18 6 7 5 21 20 8 4 4 0 12 7 10 2 3 5 9 13 1 25
10 Sampaio Correa 16 7 3 6 22 15 9 5 0 4 12 7 7 2 3 2 10 8 7 24
11 Avai 18 7 2 9 20 25 9 4 1 4 11 12 9 3 1 5 9 13 -5 23
12 Operario PR 18 5 7 6 17 18 8 3 3 2 12 8 10 2 4 4 5 10 -1 22
13 Guarani 18 5 6 7 18 21 9 3 3 3 12 11 9 2 3 4 6 10 -3 21
14 Vitoria 19 4 9 6 21 21 10 4 3 3 12 9 9 0 6 3 9 12 0 21
15 Brasil de Pelotas 18 4 9 5 14 16 8 2 5 1 7 6 10 2 4 4 7 10 -2 21
16 Cruzeiro 19 7 5 7 19 17 10 4 2 4 11 8 9 3 3 3 8 9 2 20
17 Náutico 17 4 7 6 15 19 9 2 5 2 10 10 8 2 2 4 5 9 -4 19
18 Figueirense 18 4 7 7 12 17 9 2 5 2 9 6 9 2 2 5 3 11 -5 19
19 Botafogo SP 18 5 2 11 12 19 9 3 1 5 8 9 9 2 1 6 4 10 -7 17
20 Oeste 18 1 4 13 10 34 9 1 2 6 4 12 9 0 2 7 6 22 -24 7

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.