Serie B match prediction: Little separates Coritiba and Guarani in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Sun 26.September
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira (43000 seats)

A total of 25 rounds of matches have been played and both Coritiba and Guarani are high up in the table. Let's start!

Insights:
  • Coritiba have the the best goal difference (+15) in Serie B
  • Guarani have the most scored goals (18) away in Serie B

It's no vacation for neither Coritiba nor Guarani as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D W W W L

Coritiba form and stats

Coritiba have performed here at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira this season with 7 wins from 12 Serie B matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 1. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Wilson Rodrigues de Moura Junior not having conceded a league goal in 331 minutes.

Coritiba drew their last game, 0-0 away at Vitoria (placed 17th). Midfield player Igor Paixão got a match rating of 7.84 in that game, the max score being 10. Paixão hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 4 of 6 times and had 23 successful passes (of 27 total).

Ahead of that match, Coritiba won a home game hosting Vila Nova (1-0).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Coritiba have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won six, drawn two and lost two.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Confiança are coming to town in three days.

Coritiba have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira with 19 goals in 12 league matches. Coritiba have only conceded 7 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Guarani form and stats

4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Guarani, who have the most scored goals (18) away in Serie B, playing as the away team in the Serie B this season. Two points from the last two away games for Guarani, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Guarani goalkeeper Rafael Martins Claro dos Santos is eager to challenge this, with his 315 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

Bruno Sávio and Júlio César scored in Guarani's previous match, the home game against Remo that ended 2-0. Midfield player Júlio César was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.43/10. César scored one goal.

Before that, Guarani travelled to Ponte Preta and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eleven similar matches played by Guarani in our archives, and the results are: eight wins for Guarani, two draws and one defeat.

After this away game Guarani return home for a Serie B game against Cruzeiro. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Guarani are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 18 times in 12 away games so far. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Guarani have conceded 15 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Here's the end result when the contenders played each other previously this campaign; Guarani - Coritiba 0-2. As for the last seven games between these two teams, there's three Coritiba victories, one draw and three Guarani wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

CoritibaL. Gamalho de Souza
L. Gamalho de Souza
12 goals
GuaraniR. Salmazzo
R. Salmazzo
8 goals
GuaraniB. da Silva
B. da Silva
8 goals

Coritiba missing players

Guarani missing players

Coritiba Guarani
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
25 12 4 Played P 2 12 25
14 7 1 Won W 1 4 11
7 4 2 Drew D 0 5 8
4 1 1 Lost L 1 3 6
33 19 4 Scored S 2 18 36
18 7 3 Conceded C 2 15 27
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 88%
64% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 58% 64%
28% 25% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 42% 36%
16% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 28%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 24%
36% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 58% 48%
48% 42% 25% Clean Sheets C S 50% 33% 44%
28% 8% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 20%
 
3.7 3.5 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4.8 5.2
5.2 5.1 5.2 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 5.3 4.6
2.7 3 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.1 2.6
1 1 1 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
10.1 10.9 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 11.5 11.8 13
3.5 4.2 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 4.8 4.8
38% 38% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 31% 30%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Coritiba have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Coritiba have the the best goal difference (+15) in Serie B
  • Coritiba haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Guarani have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Guarani have the most scored goals (18) away in Serie B

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Coritiba 25 14 7 4 33 18 12 7 4 1 19 7 13 7 3 3 14 11 15 49
2 Goias 25 12 9 4 28 16 12 7 4 1 16 7 13 5 5 3 12 9 12 45
3 Botafogo 24 13 5 6 37 23 12 10 1 1 26 8 12 3 4 5 11 15 14 44
4 CRB 25 12 8 5 34 26 12 5 6 1 17 11 13 7 2 4 17 15 8 44
5 Guarani 25 11 8 6 36 27 13 7 3 3 18 12 12 4 5 3 18 15 9 41
6 Avai 25 11 7 7 27 19 13 7 3 3 16 10 12 4 4 4 11 9 8 40
7 Sampaio Correa 25 9 9 7 30 24 12 6 3 3 17 11 13 3 6 4 13 13 6 36
8 Nautico 25 9 8 8 29 28 13 5 5 3 19 14 12 4 3 5 10 14 1 35
9 Vasco da Gama 25 9 7 9 29 29 13 7 3 3 18 11 12 2 4 6 11 18 0 34
10 Operário PR 25 9 7 9 20 27 13 6 2 5 14 15 12 3 5 4 6 12 -7 34
11 Remo 25 9 6 10 22 27 13 6 2 5 10 10 12 3 4 5 12 17 -5 33
12 CSA 24 9 5 10 23 21 12 4 5 3 12 9 12 5 0 7 11 12 2 32
13 Cruzeiro 25 6 13 6 29 32 12 3 7 2 17 18 13 3 6 4 12 14 -3 31
14 Ponte Preta 25 7 8 10 24 27 12 6 4 2 18 11 13 1 4 8 6 16 -3 29
15 Brusque 25 7 8 10 23 34 12 4 5 3 11 8 13 3 3 7 12 26 -11 29
16 Vila Nova 25 6 9 10 16 20 13 3 7 3 4 5 12 3 2 7 12 15 -4 27
17 Vitoria 25 4 13 8 18 21 13 3 6 4 11 11 12 1 7 4 7 10 -3 25
18 Londrina 25 5 9 11 18 30 13 2 4 7 8 16 12 3 5 4 10 14 -12 24
19 Confiança 25 4 6 15 23 37 12 3 2 7 12 17 13 1 4 8 11 20 -14 18
20 Brasil de Pelotas 25 2 10 13 15 28 12 2 5 5 8 12 13 0 5 8 7 16 -13 16

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.