Serie B match prediction: Little separates Confiança and Guarani in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Fri 16.July
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (22000 seats)

Struggling Confiança will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying Guarani in the upcoming league round. It’s 17th vs 4th and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

Insights:
  • Confiança have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Guarani have the most scored goals in the first half (11) in Serie B

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

It's quite the trip for Guarani when visiting Confiança as the cities are 2100 kilometers apart.

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Confiança form and stats

2 victories, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what Confiança have to build on here at Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista in the Serie B.

Confiança are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-2 away versus Avai. Defender N. Bareiro got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.1/10. Bareiro won 1 of 1 duels. Heartbreak for Confiança in their last match as Avai's G. W. Silva Timoteo scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

In the match before that, Confiança hosted Vitoria and drew the game 1-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Confiança have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost five.

The manager R. Marques de Santana will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Londrina in only four days.

The Confiança fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 6 in 5 matches. From these home matches, Confiança have conceded only 4 goals.

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Guarani form and stats

The visitors, who have the most scored goals (10) away in Serie B, are W2-D3-L0 on the road this term. That's in the Serie B.

The Guarani goalkeeper Gabriel Jose Ferreira Mesquita is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 233 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Guarani won their last game, 1-0 versus CRB played at home. Ronaldo Alves, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.31. Alves scored one goal and won 4 of 6 duels.

Prior to that result Guarani won their away game at Londrina. The scoreline was 1-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Guarani playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were seven Guarani wins, two draws and zero defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Sampaio Correa in just four days.

Guarani have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 10 goals from 5 away matches. 6 goals have been conceded by Guarani in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last six meetings: three - zero - three (Confiança wins - draws - Guarani wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

GuaraniR. Salmazzo
R. Salmazzo
6 goals
GuaraniB. da Silva
B. da Silva
5 goals
ConfiançaS. Santos Salles
S. Santos Salles
4 goals

Confiança missing players

Guarani missing players

Confiança Guarani
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 3 5 11
2 2 0 Won W 1 2 5
3 2 0 Drew D 2 3 4
6 1 1 Lost L 0 0 2
10 6 0 Scored S 4 10 18
15 4 1 Conceded C 3 6 13
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 80% 91%
64% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 60% 64%
36% 20% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 40% 36%
27% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 40% 36%
9% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 40% 27%
55% 60% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 60% 55%
18% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 40% 36%
36% 20% 100% Failed to Score F T 33% 20% 18%
 
4.1 5.2 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.3 4.2 4.8
3.7 3.8 3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.3 5.8 5.4
2.6 3.8 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 3.6 2.9
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
11.1 12.2 9 Shots (avg) S ( 13.7 11.8 14.4
3.7 4.4 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.6 4.9
24% 27% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 43% 33%
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Confiança have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Confiança haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Guarani have not yet lost a game away.
  • Guarani have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Guarani have the most scored goals (10) away in Serie B
  • Guarani have the most scored goals in the first half (11) in Serie B

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Nautico 11 7 4 0 19 5 6 4 2 0 13 3 5 3 2 0 6 2 14 25
2 Coritiba 10 6 3 1 11 5 5 3 2 0 7 3 5 3 1 1 4 2 6 21
3 Sampaio Correa 11 5 4 2 11 5 5 4 1 0 7 1 6 1 3 2 4 4 6 19
4 Guarani 11 5 4 2 18 13 6 3 1 2 8 7 5 2 3 0 10 6 5 19
5 Operario PR 11 5 3 3 12 15 6 3 1 2 8 9 5 2 2 1 4 6 -3 18
6 Vasco da Gama 11 5 2 4 12 11 6 4 0 2 7 5 5 1 2 2 5 6 1 17
7 CRB 11 5 2 4 15 16 5 3 2 0 10 7 6 2 0 4 5 9 -1 17
8 Goiás 10 4 4 2 10 5 5 4 0 1 7 1 5 0 4 1 3 4 5 16
9 Avai 10 4 3 3 11 11 5 2 2 1 6 5 5 2 1 2 5 6 0 15
10 Vila Nova 11 3 5 3 6 7 6 1 4 1 2 2 5 2 1 2 4 5 -1 14
11 Botafogo 10 3 4 3 15 14 4 3 1 0 9 3 6 0 3 3 6 11 1 13
12 Brusque 9 4 1 4 11 14 4 2 1 1 5 4 5 2 0 3 6 10 -3 13
13 CSA 9 3 2 4 8 9 5 2 2 1 4 3 4 1 0 3 4 6 -1 11
14 Cruzeiro 11 2 5 4 16 19 5 1 3 1 9 9 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 11
15 Vitoria 11 1 6 4 9 11 6 1 3 2 7 7 5 0 3 2 2 4 -2 9
16 Ponte Preta 11 1 6 4 6 9 5 1 3 1 3 3 6 0 3 3 3 6 -3 9
17 Confiança 11 2 3 6 10 15 5 2 2 1 6 4 6 0 1 5 4 11 -5 9
18 Brasil de Pelotas 11 1 5 5 7 11 5 1 3 1 4 4 6 0 2 4 3 7 -4 8
19 Londrina 11 1 4 6 7 13 6 0 2 4 4 9 5 1 2 2 3 4 -6 7
20 Remo 9 1 4 4 5 11 5 1 2 2 1 3 4 0 2 2 4 8 -6 7

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.