Botafogo favourites for feisty fight facing Guarani

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Sun 28.November
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos (44661 seats)

The table shows that 10 points separate the pair of duelists in this Serie B match. Botafogo enjoy both the points- and home advantage.

Insights:
  • Botafogo have the most scored goals (54) in Serie B
  • Guarani have the most scored goals (24) away in Serie B

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

Botafogo are already the Serie B winners and can relax with the season objective secured. If they do relax it might give the away team a slightly better chance in this one. Guarani are still fighting for the big positions at the top of the table.

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Botafogo form and stats

15-1-2 is the performance here at Estádio Nilton Santos so far in the Serie B, giving Botafogo a total of 46 from their 18 games here. Outstanding results! After failing to beat Avaí here at Estádio Nilton Santos, Botafogo has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Botafogo are returning here after visiting Brasil de Pelotas in a Serie B game and winning with a 1-0 scoreline. Diego Gonçalves scored the goal(s). The goalie Diego Loureiro was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 8.12 out of ten. Loureiro stopped the opponent with five saves and topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Operário PR.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Botafogo have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won three times, drawn three and lost one.

The Botafogo manager E. Alves Moreira has got the team scoring with 37 from 18 home games in the league. Botafogo are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Nilton Santos in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 18 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Guarani form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the most scored goals (24) away in Serie B, on their Serie B travels is 6 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats.

Guarani's previous game was their home loss versus Goiás (0-2). Midfielder Pablo Diogo was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.75. Diogo hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 34 successful passes (of 38 total).

A home win before that, celebrating 4-0 vs Avaí.

We have checked recent matches where Guarani have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were zero victories, three draws and six defeats.

The visiting Guarani have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 24 goals from 18 games. 22 goals have been conceded by Guarani in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Botafogo and Guarani have faced off previously this season: Guarani - Botafogo 1-1. Head-to-head data (for the former five meetings): Botafogo won one game, four matches ended in a draw and Guarani got zero wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: one / four

Top Goalscorers

BotafogoR. Navarro Leal
R. Navarro Leal
14 goals
GuaraniB. da Silva
B. da Silva
11 goals
GuaraniR. Salmazzo
R. Salmazzo
9 goals

Botafogo missing players

Guarani missing players

Botafogo Guarani
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
37 18 6 Played P 5 18 37
20 15 5 Won W 1 6 16
9 1 1 Drew D 2 7 11
8 2 0 Lost L 2 5 10
54 37 15 Scored S 5 24 52
29 11 6 Conceded C 6 22 39
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 92%
70% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 56% 65%
35% 44% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 39% 38%
19% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 33% 27%
5% 11% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 16%
35% 28% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 50% 43%
54% 67% 50% Clean Sheets C S 20% 33% 43%
19% 6% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 28% 22%
 
5.8 6.2 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.8 5.2
4.5 4 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.6 5.8 4.9
1.8 1.4 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.6 2.8 2.6
3 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 6
 
11.9 13.2 12.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9 11.7 13.1
4.8 5.7 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 4.8 4.8
31% 36% 48% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 28% 29%
 
10.1 8.2 9 Shots against (avg) S A 11.4 11.6 10.8
3.4 2.9 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.4 3.8 3.7
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • Botafogo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Botafogo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Botafogo have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most clean sheets (12) at home in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most clean sheets (20) in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most points (46) at home in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most scored goals (37) at home in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most scored goals (54) in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the most scored goals in the first half (26) in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the the best goal difference (+25) in Serie B
  • Botafogo have the the best goal difference (+26) at home in Serie B
  • Botafogo haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Guarani have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Guarani have the most scored goals (24) away in Serie B

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 37 20 9 8 54 29 18 15 1 2 37 11 19 5 8 6 17 18 25 69
2 Coritiba 37 18 10 9 47 32 19 11 5 3 29 14 18 7 5 6 18 18 15 64
3 Goiás 37 17 13 7 46 29 18 10 6 2 28 14 19 7 7 5 18 15 17 64
4 Avaí 37 17 10 10 42 34 18 9 6 3 22 13 19 8 4 7 20 21 8 61
5 CRB 37 16 12 9 46 37 19 8 9 2 26 17 18 8 3 7 20 20 9 60
6 CSA 37 17 8 12 44 33 18 8 6 4 24 15 19 9 2 8 20 18 11 59
7 Guarani 37 16 11 10 52 39 19 10 4 5 28 17 18 6 7 5 24 22 13 59
8 Nautico 38 14 11 13 50 50 19 8 6 5 30 25 19 6 5 8 20 25 0 53
9 Vasco da Gama 37 13 10 14 43 49 19 9 4 6 25 24 18 4 6 8 18 25 -6 49
10 Vila Nova 37 11 15 11 34 36 19 6 10 3 13 11 18 5 5 8 21 25 -2 48
11 Cruzeiro 38 10 18 10 42 44 19 5 10 4 24 24 19 5 8 6 18 20 -2 48
12 Sampaio Corrêa 37 12 11 14 40 40 19 9 5 5 25 16 18 3 6 9 15 24 0 47
13 Ponte Preta 37 11 13 13 36 38 18 8 7 3 23 15 19 3 6 10 13 23 -2 46
14 Operário PR 37 12 9 16 33 45 18 8 4 6 20 20 19 4 5 10 13 25 -12 45
15 Brusque 37 13 8 16 42 54 19 9 5 5 25 16 18 4 3 11 17 38 -12 44
16 Remo 37 11 9 17 31 42 18 7 3 8 11 13 19 4 6 9 20 29 -11 42
17 Londrina 37 10 11 16 28 41 18 5 5 8 14 19 19 5 6 8 14 22 -13 41
18 Vitória 37 8 16 13 31 31 18 5 7 6 18 13 19 3 9 7 13 18 0 40
19 Confianca 37 9 9 19 35 48 19 6 3 10 20 25 18 3 6 9 15 23 -13 36
20 Brasil de Pelotas 37 4 11 22 23 48 19 4 6 9 14 21 18 0 5 13 9 27 -25 23

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.