Serie B match prediction: Little separates ABC and Ituano in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie B
Competition: Mon 14.Aug
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Maria Lamas Farache (18000 seats)

Serie B: We're looking at an appealing and very important scrap featuring ABC and Ituano at Estádio Maria Lamas Farache. This duo need points like a fish needs water!

Insights:
  • ABC have the fewest scored goals (13) in Serie B
  • Ituano have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

These teams have little in common geographically as Ituano have to travel 2900 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

This could be an engrossing match with lots of spark and energy as both sides are well recovered since they last ran out on the pitch. Let's get started!

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ABC form and stats

With 1 Serie B win, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their home games, ABC are certainly not brimming with confidence.

ABC are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 280 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by Sérgio).

In their previous game, the manager Aal led his ABC to a defeat away at Ceara. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estádio Maria Lamas Farache. Fabricio was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.25 out of 10. The defender Fabricio won 3 of 4 duels.

Heartbreak before that as ABC lost 0-2 at Vitoria's place.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how ABC have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 8 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Trench warfare? In this team's last 13 league games, 12 have produced two goals or less.

ABC have scored {5 league goals} here from 10 matches, not a lot. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. ABC have conceded 12 in these home matches. ABC has at home met teams with this table position (low), three times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 3 of 3 times.

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Ituano form and stats

There's been little loot from Ituano's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 11 away games in the Serie B. Ituano only have 2 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 3 draws.

Ituano's last game was the home draw against Guarani (1-1). Attacker Borges got a player rating of 7.73 in the game. "Man of the match" Borges served one assist and hit two key passes.

Prior to that match, a home win 1-0 against Tombense.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Ituano playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were 4 Ituano wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats.

Few goals the story here? 11 of this club's most recent 12 league fixtures have contained two goals or less.

The visitors have scored 7 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As opposed to that, Ituano have seen the ball go into their own net 14 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The fixture history shows this score when the contenders faced each other earlier this campaign; Ituano - ABC 3-0. One of the stars has been Quirino with 2 goals scored against ABC in these 1 games.

Top Goalscorers

ItuanoD. de Souza Quirino
D. de Souza Quirino
4 goals
ABCF. de Lima Costa
F. de Lima Costa
2 goals

ABC missing players

Ituano missing players

Total First Half Second Half
ABC Ituano
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 10 3 Played P 3 11 22
2 1 1 Won W 0 2 6
7 3 2 Drew D 1 3 7
13 6 0 Lost L 2 6 9
13 5 2 Scored S 0 7 20
30 12 1 Conceded C 4 14 23
91% 90% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 91% 95%
59% 50% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 55% 64%
27% 30% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 36% 27%
9% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 9%
9% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
41% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 27% 36%
18% 20% 67% Clean Sheets C S 33% 27% 27%
50% 50% 33% Failed to Score F T 100% 55% 41%
 
4.4 6.7 4.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 4.8 5
5 4.1 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.8 5
2.7 2.7 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 3.1 2.8
3 2 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
10.6 13.6 13.3 Shots (avg) S ( 14 13.5 13.1
3.5 3.9 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 3.7 3.7
17% 13% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 17% 24%
 
14.5 12.6 14 Shots against (avg) S A 15 16.2 13.6
4.7 3.8 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.7 6 4.7
Key stats in Serie B this season:
  • ABC have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • ABC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • ABC have the fewest points (6) at home in Serie B
  • ABC have the fewest scored goals (13) in Serie B
  • ABC have the fewest scored goals (5) at home in Serie B
  • ABC have the most dropped points from leading position (16) in Serie B
  • ABC have the the worst goal difference (-17) in Serie B
  • ABC have the the worst goal difference (-7) at home in Serie B
  • ABC have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • ABC is in the worst form (0-3-3)
  • Ituano have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sport Recife 23 13 6 4 33 17 12 10 1 1 24 6 11 3 5 3 9 11 16 45
2 Vitoria 23 14 2 7 34 19 11 9 0 2 19 6 12 5 2 5 15 13 15 44
3 Novorizontino 23 13 3 7 29 15 11 7 2 2 15 6 12 6 1 5 14 9 14 42
4 Criciuma 23 12 5 6 27 16 12 8 1 3 17 8 11 4 4 3 10 8 11 41
5 Juventude 23 12 3 8 25 20 11 6 1 4 13 10 12 6 2 4 12 10 5 39
6 Vila Nova 23 11 6 6 26 13 11 6 4 1 11 4 12 5 2 5 15 9 13 39
7 Guarani 23 10 7 6 27 18 11 7 2 2 17 8 12 3 5 4 10 10 9 37
8 Mirassol 23 10 6 7 25 21 12 6 4 2 14 9 11 4 2 5 11 12 4 36
9 Atletico GO 23 8 10 5 32 34 12 6 5 1 19 15 11 2 5 4 13 19 -2 34
10 Ceara 23 9 6 8 23 23 11 5 2 4 11 12 12 4 4 4 12 11 0 33
11 Botafogo SP 22 9 6 7 15 23 11 5 2 4 6 10 11 4 4 3 9 13 -8 33
12 CRB 22 8 5 9 23 25 11 5 4 2 13 10 11 3 1 7 10 15 -2 29
13 Ponte Preta 23 6 9 8 14 19 12 4 6 2 10 7 11 2 3 6 4 12 -5 27
14 Ituano 22 6 7 9 20 23 11 4 4 3 13 9 11 2 3 6 7 14 -3 25
15 Sampaio Correa 23 5 9 9 17 26 12 3 6 3 12 13 11 2 3 6 5 13 -9 24
16 Avai 22 5 7 10 17 29 11 3 3 5 8 14 11 2 4 5 9 15 -12 22
17 Tombense 23 5 5 13 22 31 12 3 4 5 15 15 11 2 1 8 7 16 -9 20
18 Londrina 23 5 4 14 20 34 11 4 2 5 14 13 12 1 2 9 6 21 -14 19
19 Chapecoense 22 4 7 11 22 28 12 3 4 5 10 11 10 1 3 6 12 17 -6 19
20 ABC 22 2 7 13 13 30 10 1 3 6 5 12 12 1 4 7 8 18 -17 13

ABC:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sport Recife 23 13 6 4 33 17 12 10 1 1 24 6 11 3 5 3 9 11 16 45
2 Vitoria 23 14 2 7 34 19 11 9 0 2 19 6 12 5 2 5 15 13 15 44
3 Novorizontino 23 13 3 7 29 15 11 7 2 2 15 6 12 6 1 5 14 9 14 42
4 Criciuma 23 12 5 6 27 16 12 8 1 3 17 8 11 4 4 3 10 8 11 41
5 Juventude 23 12 3 8 25 20 11 6 1 4 13 10 12 6 2 4 12 10 5 39
6 Vila Nova 23 11 6 6 26 13 11 6 4 1 11 4 12 5 2 5 15 9 13 39
7 Guarani 23 10 7 6 27 18 11 7 2 2 17 8 12 3 5 4 10 10 9 37
8 Mirassol 23 10 6 7 25 21 12 6 4 2 14 9 11 4 2 5 11 12 4 36
9 Atletico GO 23 8 10 5 32 34 12 6 5 1 19 15 11 2 5 4 13 19 -2 34
10 Ceara 23 9 6 8 23 23 11 5 2 4 11 12 12 4 4 4 12 11 0 33
11 Botafogo SP 22 9 6 7 15 23 11 5 2 4 6 10 11 4 4 3 9 13 -8 33
12 CRB 22 8 5 9 23 25 11 5 4 2 13 10 11 3 1 7 10 15 -2 29
13 Ponte Preta 23 6 9 8 14 19 12 4 6 2 10 7 11 2 3 6 4 12 -5 27
14 Ituano 22 6 7 9 20 23 11 4 4 3 13 9 11 2 3 6 7 14 -3 25
15 Sampaio Correa 23 5 9 9 17 26 12 3 6 3 12 13 11 2 3 6 5 13 -9 24
16 Avai 22 5 7 10 17 29 11 3 3 5 8 14 11 2 4 5 9 15 -12 22
17 Tombense 23 5 5 13 22 31 12 3 4 5 15 15 11 2 1 8 7 16 -9 20
18 Londrina 23 5 4 14 20 34 11 4 2 5 14 13 12 1 2 9 6 21 -14 19
19 Chapecoense 22 4 7 11 22 28 12 3 4 5 10 11 10 1 3 6 12 17 -6 19
20 ABC 22 2 7 13 13 30 10 1 3 6 5 12 12 1 4 7 8 18 -17 13

More from Brazil - Serie B

Read more about Serie B

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série B, or just Série B, is the second highest level of Brazilian football on a national level. It has changed format frequently, but currently holds 20 teams playing a double round-robin format. Top four are promoted to Série A while bottom four face relegation.