Serie A match prediction: Little separates Vasco da Gama and Ceará in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Mon 30.November
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (25000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Serie A, with both Vasco da Gama and Ceará experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 17th and the visitors in 15th place.

Insights:
  • Vasco da Gama has the fewest points from losing position (1) in Serie A
  • Ceará has the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Serie A

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Copa Sudamericana. That game was an away game at Defensa y Justicia, so at least Vasco are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Ceará, who are travelling more than 2600 kilometers to play this game.

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Vasco da Gama form and stats

Vasco da Gama have played 10 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Vasco manager R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Defensa y Justicia in the Copa Sudamericana. 1-1 away at Sao Paulo before that.

This is expected to be a close game, with Vasco perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Vasco da Gama as a small favourite), we find eight games. Vasco da Gama has won four of these, drawn two and lost two.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Vasco as they have a new game in only three days, a Copa Sudamericana match thankfully also at home. Defensa y Justicia are visiting.

Vasco aren't scoring a lot here at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama in the league, with only 9 goals from 10 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Vasco have only conceded 9 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Ceará form and stats

Ceará have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 1-3-6 (10 played).

Ceará's last game was the home draw against Sao Paulo (1-1). Ahead of that game was the 2-2 draw at home against Atletico Mineiro.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Ceará playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were three Ceará wins, one draw and three defeats.

Ceará have scored 13 goals on their travels this season, from 10 away games in the league. The Ceará manager A. Ferreira has some worries about the defense as 21 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Ceará - Vasco 0-3 entered in the official records. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five Vasco da Gama victories, four draws and one Ceará win. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Vasco da GamaG. Cano
G. Cano
10 goals
CearáV. Goes Barbosa de Souza
V. Goes Barbosa de Souza
6 goals
Vasco da GamaF. Ignez Bastos
F. Ignez Bastos
4 goals

Vasco da Gama missing players

Ceará missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Vasco da Gama Ceará
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 2 Played P 3 10 22
6 3 1 Won W 0 1 6
6 3 1 Drew D 1 3 8
9 4 0 Lost L 2 6 8
23 9 3 Scored S 6 13 28
27 9 1 Conceded C 9 21 33
90% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 91%
76% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 82%
48% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 60% 50%
14% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 50% 32%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 30% 14%
52% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 55%
29% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 27%
29% 30% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 30% 27%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.1 2.9
4 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 4
 
10.1 11 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.7 12.1 12.8
3.6 3.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4.4 4.4
31% 23% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 30% 29%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Ceará has the fewest matches under the total-line (7) in Serie A
  • Ceará has the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Serie A
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Vasco da Gama has the fewest points from losing position (1) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 23 13 3 7 41 29 12 9 2 1 27 9 11 4 1 6 14 20 12 42
2 Flamengo 22 11 6 5 37 31 11 5 4 2 18 13 11 6 2 3 19 18 6 39
3 Sao Paulo 20 10 8 2 31 19 10 6 4 0 15 6 10 4 4 2 16 13 12 38
4 Internacional 22 10 6 6 33 22 11 6 4 1 20 10 11 4 2 5 13 12 11 36
5 Fluminense 22 10 5 7 31 25 11 6 3 2 19 11 11 4 2 5 12 14 6 35
6 Palmeiras 21 9 7 5 28 21 10 4 4 2 15 12 11 5 3 3 13 9 7 34
7 Santos 22 9 7 6 30 25 11 5 4 2 19 12 11 4 3 4 11 13 5 34
8 Gremio 21 8 10 3 26 19 10 5 4 1 16 10 11 3 6 2 10 9 7 34
9 Fortaleza 23 7 8 8 23 21 11 5 3 3 12 8 12 2 5 5 11 13 2 29
10 Corinthians 23 7 8 8 25 29 11 3 5 3 13 16 12 4 3 5 12 13 -4 29
11 Atletico PR 22 8 4 10 19 21 12 5 3 4 10 9 10 3 1 6 9 12 -2 28
12 Bahia 22 8 4 10 28 34 11 6 1 4 17 14 11 2 3 6 11 20 -6 28
13 Atletico GO 22 6 9 7 20 27 10 2 5 3 13 15 12 4 4 4 7 12 -7 27
14 Bragantino 22 6 8 8 29 28 11 5 3 3 18 11 11 1 5 5 11 17 1 26
15 Ceará 22 6 8 8 28 33 12 5 5 2 15 12 10 1 3 6 13 21 -5 26
16 Sport Recife 22 7 4 11 19 29 11 5 0 6 12 15 11 2 4 5 7 14 -10 25
17 Vasco da Gama 21 6 6 9 23 27 10 3 3 4 9 9 11 3 3 5 14 18 -4 24
18 Coritiba 23 5 5 13 20 32 11 3 2 6 6 9 12 2 3 7 14 23 -12 20
19 Botafogo 22 3 11 8 22 29 12 2 5 5 12 16 10 1 6 3 10 13 -7 20
20 Goias 21 3 7 11 23 35 11 3 3 5 15 18 10 0 4 6 8 17 -12 16

Vasco da Gama:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 23 13 3 7 41 29 12 9 2 1 27 9 11 4 1 6 14 20 12 42
2 Flamengo 22 11 6 5 37 31 11 5 4 2 18 13 11 6 2 3 19 18 6 39
3 Sao Paulo 20 10 8 2 31 19 10 6 4 0 15 6 10 4 4 2 16 13 12 38
4 Internacional 22 10 6 6 33 22 11 6 4 1 20 10 11 4 2 5 13 12 11 36
5 Fluminense 22 10 5 7 31 25 11 6 3 2 19 11 11 4 2 5 12 14 6 35
6 Palmeiras 21 9 7 5 28 21 10 4 4 2 15 12 11 5 3 3 13 9 7 34
7 Santos 22 9 7 6 30 25 11 5 4 2 19 12 11 4 3 4 11 13 5 34
8 Gremio 21 8 10 3 26 19 10 5 4 1 16 10 11 3 6 2 10 9 7 34
9 Fortaleza 23 7 8 8 23 21 11 5 3 3 12 8 12 2 5 5 11 13 2 29
10 Corinthians 23 7 8 8 25 29 11 3 5 3 13 16 12 4 3 5 12 13 -4 29
11 Atletico PR 22 8 4 10 19 21 12 5 3 4 10 9 10 3 1 6 9 12 -2 28
12 Bahia 22 8 4 10 28 34 11 6 1 4 17 14 11 2 3 6 11 20 -6 28
13 Atletico GO 22 6 9 7 20 27 10 2 5 3 13 15 12 4 4 4 7 12 -7 27
14 Bragantino 22 6 8 8 29 28 11 5 3 3 18 11 11 1 5 5 11 17 1 26
15 Ceará 22 6 8 8 28 33 12 5 5 2 15 12 10 1 3 6 13 21 -5 26
16 Sport Recife 22 7 4 11 19 29 11 5 0 6 12 15 11 2 4 5 7 14 -10 25
17 Vasco da Gama 21 6 6 9 23 27 10 3 3 4 9 9 11 3 3 5 14 18 -4 24
18 Coritiba 23 5 5 13 20 32 11 3 2 6 6 9 12 2 3 7 14 23 -12 20
19 Botafogo 22 3 11 8 22 29 12 2 5 5 12 16 10 1 6 3 10 13 -7 20
20 Goias 21 3 7 11 23 35 11 3 3 5 15 18 10 0 4 6 8 17 -12 16

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.