Serie A fixture prediction and match guide for the São Paulo vs Fluminense battle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 17.July
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Top-notch Fluminense come to São Paulo after their 3-0-result against Cruzeiro. Get out our broad preview!

Insights:
  • São Paulo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

These are hustling days for the host team, as they played only three days ago in the Copa do Brasil. That game was an away game at Palmeiras, so at least São Paulo are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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São Paulo form and stats

14 points is a decent return from 7 Serie A games here at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo for São Paulo. The data says 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.

The followers hope that Paulo will fight back in this fixture, putting things right after the 1-2 away defeat in the Copa do Brasil fixture against Palmeiras. Defender Léo got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.8/10. Léo hit two key passes and won 4 of 6 duels.

A 0-0 draw away in the Serie A before that, with Atletico Mineiro the opponent.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how São Paulo have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 5 and lost 1.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for São Paulo as they are travelling to their away game against Internacional in the Serie A. That match is three days after this one.

Paulo have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo with 12 goals in 7 league matches. From these home matches, São Paulo have conceded only 6 goals.

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Fluminense form and stats

3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Fluminense playing as the away team in the Serie A this season.

Two away matches in a row for Fluminense, whose boss Silva could celebrate last time after the Copa do Brasil win against Cruzeiro.

That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus Ceará in the Serie A.

Fluminense are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 8 matches.

The schedule is very tough for Fluminense now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Serie A game at Goias is waiting in only three days.

The attacking power of Fluminense when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 7 league matches away. It's not easy to score on Fluminense as they have only conceded 5 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head numbers (for the last ten meetings): São Paulo won three games, four matches ended in a draw and Fluminense managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: five / five

Top Goalscorers

PauloJ. Calleri
J. Calleri
9 goals
FluminenseG. Cano
G. Cano
7 goals
São PauloL. da Rocha Neves
L. da Rocha Neves
5 goals

São Paulo missing players

Fluminense missing players

São Paulo Fluminense
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 7 2 Played P 2 7 16
5 4 1 Won W 2 3 8
8 2 0 Drew D 0 2 3
3 1 1 Lost L 0 2 5
20 12 5 Scored S 2 6 22
16 6 2 Conceded C 0 5 15
88% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 88%
75% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 29% 56%
44% 71% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 14% 38%
19% 29% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 19%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 12%
69% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 29% 38%
25% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 100% 57% 44%
19% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 29% 31%
 
6.2 7.3 4 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 5 6
4.4 3.9 6 Corners against (avg) C A 1.5 5.3 5.1
2.9 2.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.1 2.1
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
14.2 17.7 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 12.5 10.4 13.9
4.6 6.1 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3 4.4
27% 28% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 29% 31%
 
11.5 9.4 15.5 Shots against (avg) S A 6.5 14.3 11.9
3.8 3 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 3.7 3.9
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • São Paulo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 16 8 6 2 27 12 8 4 2 2 16 8 8 4 4 0 11 4 15 30
2 Corinthians 16 8 5 3 18 14 8 5 3 0 10 2 8 3 2 3 8 12 4 29
3 Internacional 16 7 7 2 23 15 8 4 3 1 14 8 8 3 4 1 9 7 8 28
4 Atletico Mineiro 16 7 7 2 24 17 9 5 3 1 15 8 7 2 4 1 9 9 7 28
5 Fluminense 16 8 3 5 22 15 9 5 1 3 16 10 7 3 2 2 6 5 7 27
6 Atletico PR 16 8 3 5 20 17 7 4 2 1 11 7 9 4 1 4 9 10 3 27
7 São Paulo 16 5 8 3 20 16 7 4 2 1 12 6 9 1 6 2 8 10 4 23
8 Santos 16 5 7 4 20 15 9 4 3 2 14 8 7 1 4 2 6 7 5 22
9 Flamengo 16 6 3 7 18 17 7 4 1 2 10 4 9 2 2 5 8 13 1 21
10 Botafogo 16 6 3 7 17 21 7 2 1 4 7 9 9 4 2 3 10 12 -4 21
11 Bragantino 16 5 6 5 24 20 9 4 2 3 15 8 7 1 4 2 9 12 4 21
12 Goias 16 5 5 6 16 19 8 3 4 1 10 8 8 2 1 5 6 11 -3 20
13 Cuiaba 16 5 4 7 13 17 8 2 4 2 6 5 8 3 0 5 7 12 -4 19
14 Coritiba 16 5 4 7 20 25 9 5 2 2 13 9 7 0 2 5 7 16 -5 19
15 America Mineiro 16 5 3 8 12 18 7 4 2 1 9 5 9 1 1 7 3 13 -6 18
16 Avaí 16 5 3 8 18 27 8 4 2 2 14 12 8 1 1 6 4 15 -9 18
17 Ceará 16 3 9 4 16 17 7 0 5 2 6 9 9 3 4 2 10 8 -1 18
18 Atletico GO 16 4 5 7 17 22 8 3 2 3 10 8 8 1 3 4 7 14 -5 17
19 Juventude 16 2 6 8 15 28 8 1 2 5 7 14 8 1 4 3 8 14 -13 12
20 Fortaleza 16 2 5 9 13 21 9 1 5 3 4 6 7 1 0 6 9 15 -8 11

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.