Serie A match prediction: Little separates Santos and Corinthians in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Wed 21.June
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira (16798 seats)

The home crowds look for a win and three points in this game, as the home advantage might do the trick against a stumbling visitor. Santos are in 13th place while the guesting Corinthians panic at 16th.

Insights:
  • Santos have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Serie A
  • Corinthians have the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in Serie A

This looks to be an engaging match with lots of action and energy as both teams are well refreshed since they last ran out on the pitch. Game on!

D L D D L

Santos form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Santos at their home stadium (Estádio Urbano Caldeira) is 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats. Santos have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

The Santos coach Hellmann and his side return home after a 0-0 draw away versus Coritiba (placed 20th). Santos's goalie Paulo played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Coritiba with a stunning seven saves. Paulo, who guards the goal, was given a match rating of 8.81 out of 10 in that game. Paulo topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that fixture, a home defeat in the Copa Sudamericana against Newell's Old Boys. This is expected to be a close game, with Santos perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Santos as a small favourite), we find 9 games. Santos has won 3 of these, drawn 5 and lost 1.

Sports gamblers who like gambling for low-scoring matches might like knowing that this club have played 5 league fixtures in a row with zero, one or two goals (under 2.5).

The match schedule is unforgiving for Santos as they have a new game in only four days, a Serie A match thankfully also at home. Flamengo are visiting.

Santos has scored 7 league goals at home this season, in 5 matches. Santos are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 3 from 5 matches.

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Corinthians form and stats

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, Corinthians have produced an overall stat of 0-0-5 so far. Bitter travels for Corinthians as they have lost five games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Goias match.

Corinthians's last game was the home draw against Cuiaba (1-1). As mentioned above, Corinthians drew the match against Cuiaba. Manager da Silva brought on Oliveira to rescue the draw from a losing position and it worked. Fagner was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.61. The defender Fagner hit four key passes and won 2 of 2 duels.

A loss, in the Copa Libertadores away at Independiente del Valle, before that. As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 9 similar matches played by Corinthians in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Corinthians, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

Few goals? 5 league games in a row with this club have had less than three (under 2.5) goals.

Corinthians have another fixture away from home in just three nights, a Serie A fixture vs Athletico PR. A gruelling diary for the guests!

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Corinthians's away games in the league this season with only {2 goals} from 5 matches. Corinthians have conceded 11 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings with these teams: Santos won three, Corinthians were winners in four and we saw three draws. three games with more than 2,5 goals, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

CorinthiansR. Krug Guedes
R. Krug Guedes
5 goals
Santos?. Borges Damaceno
?. Borges Damaceno
2 goals
SantosJ. Mendoza Valencia
J. Mendoza Valencia
2 goals

Santos missing players

Corinthians missing players

Santos Corinthians
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 2 Played P 0 5 10
3 2 2 Won W 0 0 2
4 3 0 Drew D 0 0 3
3 0 0 Lost L 0 5 5
9 7 6 Scored S 0 2 9
8 3 2 Conceded C 0 11 15
70% 60% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
50% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 80% 90%
30% 40% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 60% 40%
10% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 10%
10% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
30% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 60%
50% 60% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 10%
50% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 60% 30%
 
4.3 4 1.5 Corners for (avg) C F 0 5.2 5.8
6 5 5 Corners against (avg) C A 0 5.6 5.3
2.4 2.8 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.8 2.2
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.6 13.4 13 Shots (avg) S ( 0 10.6 13.2
3.8 5 7.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2.6 4.2
24% 28% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 15% 21%
 
16 14.2 18 Shots against (avg) S A 0 16.4 14.7
5.4 4 5.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 6 4.6
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Corinthians have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Corinthians have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Corinthians have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Corinthians have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Corinthians have the fewest points (0) away in Serie A
  • Corinthians have the fewest scored goals in the first half (2) in Serie A
  • Corinthians have the the worst goal difference (-9) away in Serie A
  • Corinthians haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Santos have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Santos have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santos have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Santos have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Corinthians have scored away.
  • Santos have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 10 8 0 2 18 7 6 6 0 0 12 1 4 2 0 2 6 6 11 24
2 Palmeiras 10 6 4 0 22 8 5 4 1 0 12 5 5 2 3 0 10 3 14 22
3 Flamengo 10 6 1 3 21 11 6 4 1 1 12 4 4 2 0 2 9 7 10 19
4 Atletico Mineiro 10 5 3 2 14 8 5 2 2 1 7 5 5 3 1 1 7 3 6 18
5 Fluminense 10 5 2 3 16 11 4 3 1 0 7 2 6 2 1 3 9 9 5 17
6 Gremio 10 5 2 3 14 15 5 3 2 0 9 5 5 2 0 3 5 10 -1 17
7 Athletico PR 10 5 1 4 14 13 5 4 0 1 9 5 5 1 1 3 5 8 1 16
8 São Paulo 10 4 3 3 15 11 5 4 0 1 11 5 5 0 3 2 4 6 4 15
9 Cruzeiro 10 4 2 4 14 10 5 2 0 3 3 5 5 2 2 1 11 5 4 14
10 Fortaleza 10 3 5 2 12 8 5 2 3 0 7 3 5 1 2 2 5 5 4 14
11 Bragantino 10 3 5 2 15 14 5 3 1 1 8 6 5 0 4 1 7 8 1 14
12 Internacional 10 4 2 4 10 13 5 4 0 1 7 4 5 0 2 3 3 9 -3 14
13 Santos 10 3 4 3 9 8 5 2 3 0 7 3 5 1 1 3 2 5 1 13
14 Cuiaba 10 3 3 4 9 14 4 0 2 2 3 8 6 3 1 2 6 6 -5 12
15 Bahia 10 2 3 5 11 16 5 1 2 2 9 9 5 1 1 3 2 7 -5 9
16 Corinthians 10 2 3 5 9 15 5 2 3 0 7 4 5 0 0 5 2 11 -6 9
17 Goias 10 2 2 6 9 18 5 2 1 2 7 10 5 0 1 4 2 8 -9 8
18 America Mineiro 10 2 2 6 11 22 6 2 1 3 7 12 4 0 1 3 4 10 -11 8
19 Vasco da Gama 10 1 3 6 10 19 4 0 1 3 3 8 6 1 2 3 7 11 -9 6
20 Coritiba 10 0 4 6 8 20 5 0 3 2 3 7 5 0 1 4 5 13 -12 4

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.