Home advantage could prove decisive in Santos - Ceará battle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 21.May
Match begins: 21:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Barueri (31500 seats)

This could be quite the engrossing meeting at Arena Barueri in the Serie A. Santos is in 5th place and welcome Ceará in 18th spot. Read about the match here!

Insights:
  • Santos have the the best goal difference (+5) in Serie A
  • Ceará have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.

These teams have little in common geographically as Ceará have to travel 3100 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W L W W W

Santos form and stats

As mentioned below, Santos are feasting on a winning streak here so far with maximum points from their first 3 Serie A games. Ever since the Novorizontino game Santos has been unbeatable here at Arena Barueri producing four straight wins.

Santos's previous fixture was a Copa Sudamericana game also played at their home, ending 1-0 against Union La Calera. The home team hope to to continue in that form.

A Serie A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Goias.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Santos have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 2 and lost 2.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Santos, as the Copa Sudamericana home game vs Banfield is only three days away.

From these home matches, Santos have conceded only 2 goals.

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Ceará form and stats

Ceará are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Serie A, having played 2 games and collected 3 points (1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss).

The supporters enjoyed Ceará's previous match versus General Caballero JLM, a Copa Sudamericana win (6-0) played at home.

Preceding that match was the 2-2 draw at home vs Flamengo.

We have checked recent matches where Ceará have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 1 victory, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Ceará manager Júnior as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Independiente.

Ceará have the goal stats of 3-3 (for/against) from 2 business trips in the league at this early stage of the season.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Santos five wins, four draws and Ceará one victory. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less. The matches between these teams sometimes lean towards being a bit rough, having seen 6 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

SantosM. Santos Almeida
M. Santos Almeida
3 goals
SantosV. de Souza Zanocelo
V. de Souza Zanocelo
2 goals
SantosL. Carrilho Baptistão
L. Carrilho Baptistão
2 goals

Santos missing players

Ceará missing players

Santos Ceará
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
6 3 1 Played P 0 2 5
3 3 1 Won W 0 1 1
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 1
2 0 0 Lost L 0 1 3
10 9 4 Scored S 0 3 6
5 2 1 Conceded C 0 3 9
83% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
67% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 60%
67% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 60%
17% 33% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 60%
17% 33% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 50% 20%
50% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 60%
33% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
33% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 40%
 
4.2 3.7 4 Corners for (avg) C F 0 8.5 6.6
6.3 7.7 8 Corners against (avg) C A 0 7.5 4.8
1.5 1.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 6.5 4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
11.8 14.7 11 Shots (avg) S ( 0 17 16
5.2 7.7 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 5.5 4.8
32% 39% 67% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 27% 25%
 
17.5 19.3 18 Shots against (avg) S A 0 17 14.4
4.7 4.3 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 2.5 3.6
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Santos's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Ceará have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Ceará have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Ceará haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Santos have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Santos have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (1) in Serie A
  • Santos have the most scored goals (9) at home in Serie A
  • Santos have the the best goal difference (+5) in Serie A
  • Santos have the the best goal difference (+7) at home in Serie A
  • Santos have won all their matches at home so far.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Corinthians 6 4 1 1 10 6 2 2 0 0 4 0 4 2 1 1 6 6 4 13
2 Atletico Mineiro 7 3 3 1 11 7 4 2 1 1 7 4 3 1 2 0 4 3 4 12
3 Sao Paulo 6 3 2 1 11 7 3 3 0 0 8 2 3 0 2 1 3 5 4 11
4 Botafogo 6 3 2 1 10 7 3 1 1 1 5 5 3 2 1 0 5 2 3 11
5 Santos 6 3 1 2 10 5 3 3 0 0 9 2 3 0 1 2 1 3 5 10
6 Coritiba 6 3 1 2 11 8 3 3 0 0 7 2 3 0 1 2 4 6 3 10
7 Avai 6 3 1 2 7 8 4 3 0 1 7 5 2 0 1 1 0 3 -1 10
8 Palmeiras 6 2 3 1 9 5 4 2 1 1 8 4 2 0 2 0 1 1 4 9
9 Bragantino 7 2 3 2 9 7 4 1 2 1 6 3 3 1 1 1 3 4 2 9
10 America Mineiro 6 3 0 3 7 7 2 2 0 0 5 1 4 1 0 3 2 6 0 9
11 Internacional 6 2 3 1 6 6 3 1 2 0 4 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 0 9
12 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 6 6 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 8
13 Goias 6 2 2 2 7 9 3 1 2 0 4 3 3 1 0 2 3 6 -2 8
14 Cuiaba 6 2 1 3 5 8 2 0 1 1 1 2 4 2 0 2 4 6 -3 7
15 Flamengo 6 1 3 2 6 6 3 1 1 1 3 2 3 0 2 1 3 4 0 6
16 Juventude 6 1 3 2 7 10 3 0 2 1 3 4 3 1 1 1 4 6 -3 6
17 Atletico PR 6 2 0 4 3 8 3 2 0 1 2 1 3 0 0 3 1 7 -5 6
18 Ceará 5 1 1 3 6 9 3 0 1 2 3 6 2 1 0 1 3 3 -3 4
19 Atletico GO 6 0 3 3 3 10 3 0 2 1 2 3 3 0 1 2 1 7 -7 3
20 Fortaleza 5 0 1 4 3 8 2 0 1 1 1 2 3 0 0 3 2 6 -5 1

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.