Home advantage could prove decisive in Santos - Bahia battle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 01.November
Match begins: 21:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira (16798 seats)

The league table in Serie A tells a story about these teams so far, with Santos leading Bahia by 8 points. Match preview to follow:

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Santos and Bahia.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2000 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Santos form and stats

3 victories, 4 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Santos have to build on here at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A.

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Ceará in the Copa do Brasil last time out and are looking for a win here. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Fluminense (1-3).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Santos have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won two times, drawn six and lost two.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Santos as they are travelling to their away game against Ceará in the Copa do Brasil. That match is three days after this one.

Santos have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estádio Urbano Caldeira with 14 goals in 9 league matches. 11 goals have been conceded.

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Bahia form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Bahia, who have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Serie A, so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-4 (win-draw-lose).

Bahia play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-1 to Melgar. A home win before that, celebrating 3-1 vs Atletico Mineiro.

We have checked recent matches where Bahia have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were five victories, one draw and five defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Melgar in just four days.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Bahia have scored 8 goals in 8 league games away. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Bahia have conceded 12 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Santos-Bahia H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Santos seven wins, Bahia two wins, one draw. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Santos missing players

Bahia missing players

Santos Bahia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 3 8 17
7 3 1 Won W 0 1 5
6 4 2 Drew D 2 3 4
5 2 0 Lost L 1 4 8
24 14 6 Scored S 3 8 22
22 11 4 Conceded C 4 12 25
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
72% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 76%
50% 56% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 38% 47%
33% 44% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 25% 24%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
67% 78% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 59%
17% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
22% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 29%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.4 2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.5 2.1
4 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
208 113 33 Total Shots T S 29 105 225
66 42 14 Shots on Target S O 11 31 76
36% 33% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 26% 29%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bahia has the fewest clean sheets (2) in Serie A
  • Bahia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Bahia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Santos have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Santos have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santos haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Internacional 18 10 5 3 30 15 9 6 3 0 17 6 9 4 2 3 13 9 15 35
2 Flamengo 18 10 5 3 32 21 8 4 3 1 13 7 10 6 2 2 19 14 11 35
3 Atletico Mineiro 17 10 2 5 31 20 9 7 2 0 21 6 8 3 0 5 10 14 11 32
4 Fluminense 18 8 5 5 28 21 10 6 3 1 19 10 8 2 2 4 9 11 7 29
5 São Paulo 15 7 6 2 20 13 8 5 3 0 12 4 7 2 3 2 8 9 7 27
6 Santos 18 7 6 5 24 22 9 3 4 2 14 11 9 4 2 3 10 11 2 27
7 Palmeiras 17 6 7 4 22 20 8 2 4 2 10 12 9 4 3 2 12 8 2 25
8 Fortaleza 16 6 6 4 16 11 8 5 2 1 9 3 8 1 4 3 7 8 5 24
9 Gremio 17 5 9 3 19 16 8 3 4 1 10 7 9 2 5 2 9 9 3 24
10 Ceará 17 6 4 7 21 24 9 5 2 2 12 9 8 1 2 5 9 15 -3 22
11 Atlético GO 18 5 7 6 17 24 9 2 4 3 12 14 9 3 3 3 5 10 -7 22
12 Sport Recife 18 6 3 9 18 26 8 4 0 4 11 12 10 2 3 5 7 14 -8 21
13 Corinthians 18 5 6 7 21 26 8 2 4 2 11 14 10 3 2 5 10 12 -5 21
14 Bahia 17 5 4 8 22 25 9 4 1 4 14 13 8 1 3 4 8 12 -3 19
15 Bragantino 18 4 7 7 21 24 9 4 2 3 13 10 9 0 5 4 8 14 -3 19
16 Botafogo 17 3 10 4 17 20 9 2 4 3 8 10 8 1 6 1 9 10 -3 19
17 Vasco da Gama 16 5 3 8 19 24 8 3 2 3 9 8 8 2 1 5 10 16 -5 18
18 Athletico PR 17 4 4 9 13 19 10 3 3 4 7 8 7 1 1 5 6 11 -6 16
19 Coritiba 18 4 4 10 15 24 8 2 2 4 4 6 10 2 2 6 11 18 -9 16
20 Goiás 16 2 5 9 19 30 8 2 2 4 13 16 8 0 3 5 6 14 -11 11

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.