Serie A preview: Can Palmeiras edge out victory against Fluminense?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 15.November
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Parque (43600 seats)

A key match in Serie A as both teams are battling for the top positions. With Palmeiras in 6th position and Fluminense placed 5th, this promises to be an exciting meeting. Read on to find out more!

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Copa do Brasil. This match was also played here at Allianz Parque. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Fluminense have had more rest.

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Palmeiras form and stats

Palmeiras have played 9 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-4-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Nothing to worry about in defence for Palmeiras, as their goalkeeper Weverton Pereira da Silva has completely shut out the opponents for 319 minutes in the Serie A.

A nice win for Palmeiras last time playing, versus Ceará. That was also a home game and the match ended 3-0 with Gabriel Veron, Gustavo Scarpa and Raphael Veiga scoring for the victors. In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Vasco da Gama.

Palmeiras decided the match against Ceará in the first half, and held firmly on to their lead (3-0) without using too much effort. The team showed great control while saving some energy.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Palmeiras matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, one draw and zero defeats (from three games).

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Palmeiras as they are travelling to their away game against Ceará in the Copa do Brasil. That match is four days after this one.

Palmeiras are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 9 games. Palmeiras's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 12 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Fluminense form and stats

Playing away, Fluminense have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 4 defeats in the Serie A this season.

Fluminense failed to get anything from their last game, a Serie A home match vs Grêmio (placed 8th) that ended with defeat 0-1. Preceding that game was the away victory against Fortaleza with the score of 1-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Fluminense playing away, we found five games. Results were one away win, two draws and two home wins.

Fluminense have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 9 league away games 10 goals have been scored. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Fluminense have conceded 11 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Fluminense - Palmeiras 1-1. Palmeiras-Fluminense H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Palmeiras seven wins, Fluminense two wins, one draw. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

PalmeirasL. de Souza da Silva
L. de Souza da Silva
7 goals
FluminenseA. de Carvalho
A. de Carvalho
7 goals
PalmeirasR. Cavalcante Veiga
R. Cavalcante Veiga
4 goals

Palmeiras missing players

Fluminense missing players

Palmeiras Fluminense
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 9 4 Played P 2 9 20
8 3 1 Won W 0 3 9
7 4 2 Drew D 1 2 5
4 2 1 Lost L 1 4 6
26 13 5 Scored S 2 10 29
20 12 4 Conceded C 4 11 22
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 56% 70%
42% 56% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 33% 50%
11% 22% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 22% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 5%
63% 78% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 56% 65%
26% 11% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 20%
11% 11% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 22% 15%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.8 2.7 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.9 2.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
249 133 46 Total Shots T S 25 98 224
77 44 14 Shots on Target S O 8 35 76
34% 30% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 29% 38%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Palmeiras's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Fluminense haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Palmeiras haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Internacional 20 10 6 4 32 18 10 6 4 0 19 8 10 4 2 4 13 10 14 36
2 Atlético Mineiro 19 11 2 6 35 23 10 8 2 0 25 6 9 3 0 6 10 17 12 35
3 Flamengo 20 10 5 5 33 29 9 4 3 2 14 11 11 6 2 3 19 18 4 35
4 São Paulo 17 9 6 2 26 15 9 6 3 0 14 5 8 3 3 2 12 10 11 33
5 Fluminense 20 9 5 6 29 22 11 6 3 2 19 11 9 3 2 4 10 11 7 32
6 Palmeiras 19 8 7 4 26 20 9 3 4 2 13 12 10 5 3 2 13 8 6 31
7 Santos 20 8 7 5 28 24 10 4 4 2 17 12 10 4 3 3 11 12 4 31
8 Grêmio 19 7 9 3 22 17 9 4 4 1 12 8 10 3 5 2 10 9 5 30
9 Bahia 20 7 4 9 26 29 11 6 1 4 17 14 9 1 3 5 9 15 -3 25
10 Sport Recife 20 7 4 9 19 26 9 5 0 4 12 12 11 2 4 5 7 14 -7 25
11 Corinthians 20 6 7 7 23 27 9 3 4 2 12 14 11 3 3 5 11 13 -4 25
12 Fortaleza 19 6 6 7 18 16 9 5 2 2 9 4 10 1 4 5 9 12 2 24
13 Ceará 19 6 6 7 23 26 10 5 3 2 12 9 9 1 3 5 11 17 -3 24
14 Atlético GO 20 5 8 7 18 26 10 2 5 3 13 15 10 3 3 4 5 11 -8 23
15 Coritiba 20 5 5 10 18 26 9 3 2 4 5 6 11 2 3 6 13 20 -8 20
16 Bragantino 20 4 8 8 23 27 10 4 3 3 14 11 10 0 5 5 9 16 -4 20
17 Botafogo 19 3 11 5 19 23 10 2 5 3 10 12 9 1 6 2 9 11 -4 20
18 Vasco da Gama 18 5 4 9 20 26 9 3 2 4 9 9 9 2 2 5 11 17 -6 19
19 Atletico PR 19 5 4 10 15 21 11 4 3 4 9 9 8 1 1 6 6 12 -6 19
20 Goias 18 2 6 10 21 33 9 2 3 4 14 17 9 0 3 6 7 16 -12 12

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.