Serie A prediction and guide: Palmeiras modest favourite to overpower Bragantino

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 10.October
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Parque (43600 seats)

Palmeiras and Bragantino are both thriving in the Serie A with their 3rd and 6th spots respectively. Expect a great match!

Insights:
  • Palmeiras have the most scored goals in the first half (21) in Serie A
  • Bragantino have the most points from losing position (13) in Serie A

It's no vacation for neither Palmeiras nor Bragantino as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Palmeiras form and stats

7-2-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie A numbers at home for Palmeiras so far this season.

The fans are hoping that Palmeiras will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the Serie A game against America Mineiro (placed 10th). The defeat against America Mineiro was especially painful as the deciding goal against was scored one minutes into stoppage time (by Santos Ademir). The versatile forward Rony outperformed all the other footballers in that fixture and got a match rating of 7.84 out of 10. Rony scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 5 of 5 times.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Juventude that ended 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Palmeiras have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won nine times, drawn two and lost two.

There will be little rest for Palmeiras after this match as they are travelling to Bahia for a Serie A game in only three days.

Palmeiras have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Allianz Parque with 21 goals in 12 league matches. On the other hand, Palmeiras have conceded 17 goals.

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Bragantino form and stats

6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Bragantino playing as the away team in the Serie A this season.

Bragantino played 1-1 against Flamengo in their previous match. Midfield player Artur was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.83/10. Artur scored one goal, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 5 of 8 times.

Ahead of that game was the 2-2 draw at home against Corinthians.

Bragantino are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, two draws and five defeats. From a total of seven matches.

A new game in only three days for Bragantino, the Serie A home match versus Atletico GO. Busy days.

The travelling fans enjoy Bragantino's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 11 league matches away. It's not easy to score on Bragantino as they have only conceded 10 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The records show that this isn''t the first time these sides get together this season, as the records show this recent game: Bragantino - Palmeiras 3-1. Palmeiras-Bragantino H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Palmeiras eight wins, Bragantino two wins, zero draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

BragantinoY. Oliveira dos Santos
Y. Oliveira dos Santos
8 goals
PalmeirasB. Vasconcelos Lopes
B. Vasconcelos Lopes
5 goals
BragantinoA. Guimarães
A. Guimarães
5 goals

Palmeiras missing players

Bragantino missing players

Palmeiras Bragantino
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 12 3 Played P 3 11 23
12 7 0 Won W 2 6 8
3 2 1 Drew D 0 3 11
8 3 2 Lost L 1 2 4
35 21 4 Scored S 5 17 35
28 17 7 Conceded C 4 10 27
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 91%
83% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 73% 78%
57% 58% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 55% 57%
26% 42% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 18% 30%
13% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 9% 9%
57% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 55% 70%
30% 17% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 36% 26%
17% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 18% 13%
 
5.8 6.8 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 6.3 5 5.3
5 4 3.3 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 6.3 6.8
2 2.1 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.8 2.1
4 2 2 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
15.3 17.6 15.7 Shots (avg) S ( 14.3 13.7 13.3
4.8 4.7 4.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.9 4.4
32% 38% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 31% 34%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bragantino have the most points from losing position (13) in Serie A
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Palmeiras have the most scored goals (21) at home in Serie A
  • Palmeiras have the most scored goals in the first half (21) in Serie A
  • Palmeiras haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 23 15 5 3 35 15 10 8 1 1 20 5 13 7 4 2 15 10 20 50
2 Flamengo 21 12 3 6 40 20 11 7 0 4 19 12 10 5 3 2 21 8 20 39
3 Palmeiras 23 12 3 8 35 28 12 7 2 3 21 17 11 5 1 5 14 11 7 39
4 Fortaleza 24 11 6 7 32 26 11 6 3 2 17 10 13 5 3 5 15 16 6 39
5 Corinthians 24 9 10 5 27 22 12 4 4 4 16 15 12 5 6 1 11 7 5 37
6 Bragantino 23 8 11 4 35 27 12 2 8 2 18 17 11 6 3 2 17 10 8 35
7 Atletico PR 23 10 3 10 31 29 11 6 3 2 18 13 12 4 0 8 13 16 2 33
8 Internacional 23 8 9 6 26 23 10 4 3 3 12 10 13 4 6 3 14 13 3 33
9 Fluminense 23 8 8 7 24 26 12 5 4 3 12 12 11 3 4 4 12 14 -2 32
10 America Mineiro 24 7 9 8 23 25 13 5 4 4 12 9 11 2 5 4 11 16 -2 30
11 Atletico GO 23 7 9 7 20 22 12 2 7 3 7 10 11 5 2 4 13 12 -2 30
12 Cuiaba 24 6 12 6 25 26 12 3 4 5 13 17 12 3 8 1 12 9 -1 30
13 Ceara 22 6 11 5 20 21 12 6 5 1 15 8 10 0 6 4 5 13 -1 29
14 Sao Paulo 24 6 11 7 20 25 12 3 7 2 10 9 12 3 4 5 10 16 -5 29
15 Juventude 24 6 9 9 23 29 12 5 3 4 13 13 12 1 6 5 10 16 -6 27
16 Santos 23 5 10 8 21 29 11 4 5 2 11 9 12 1 5 6 10 20 -8 25
17 Grêmio 22 6 5 11 20 26 12 3 5 4 12 11 10 3 0 7 8 15 -6 23
18 Bahia 23 6 5 12 26 38 11 4 2 5 15 17 12 2 3 7 11 21 -12 23
19 Sport Recife 24 5 8 11 13 21 12 2 4 6 5 8 12 3 4 5 8 13 -8 23
20 Chapecoense 24 1 9 14 20 38 12 0 4 8 8 20 12 1 5 6 12 18 -18 12

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.