Match preview: Grêmio odds-on to beat Cuiabá at Arena do Grêmio

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 07.October
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arena do Grêmio (55662 seats)

Grêmio are looking to forget the league table before this fixture versus Cuiabá. Here's all you should know pre-match!

Insights:
  • Grêmio have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in Serie A

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Cuiabá have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1900 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Grêmio form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Grêmio at their home stadium (Arena do Grêmio) is 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats.

Grêmio's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-2 versus Sport Recife (placed 19th). Midfield player Douglas Costa got a match rating of 7.51 in that game, the max score being 10. Costa scored one goal, hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 7 of 8 times.

Heartbreak before that as Grêmio lost 2-4 at Athletico PR's place.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Grêmio's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won one match, drawn zero and lost two.

The manager L. Scolari will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Santos in only four days.

Grêmio have scored 10 league goals here from 11 matches, not a lot. Grêmio are not conceding a lot of goals here at Arena do Grêmio in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 11 matches.

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Cuiabá form and stats

Playing away, Cuiabá have won 3 games, drawn 7 and suffered 1 defeat in the Serie A this season. The away team travel with confidence. Not since the Fluminense game have they lost an away game, meaning Cuiabá has taken points from ten away matches in a row.

Cuiabá aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 194 league minutes without a goal. F. Marques was the last player to find the net.

Home advantage was not enough for Cuiabá in their previous game, as they lost their Serie A-match, hosting América Mineiro, 0-2. Midfield player Pepê was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.64/10. Pepê dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times and had 29 successful passes (of 32 total).

Before that, Cuiabá travelled to Atlético GO and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Cuiabá playing away, we found four games. Results were zero away wins, two draws and two home wins.

The attacking power of Cuiabá when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 11 league matches away. It's not easy to score on Cuiabá as they have only conceded 7 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The duelists have fought previously this season: Cuiabá - Grêmio 0-1. Head-2-head stats last three meetings: three - zero - zero (Grêmio wins - draws - Cuiabá wins). As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

CuiabáE. Rodrigues Brandão
E. Rodrigues Brandão
6 goals
GrêmioM. Borja Hernández
M. Borja Hernández
4 goals
CuiabáJ. de Jesus Brito e Brito
J. de Jesus Brito e Brito
4 goals

Grêmio missing players

Cuiabá missing players

Grêmio Cuiabá
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 11 4 Played P 4 11 23
6 3 1 Won W 2 3 6
4 4 1 Drew D 2 7 11
11 4 2 Lost L 0 1 6
18 10 2 Scored S 5 10 23
24 9 2 Conceded C 3 7 24
90% 82% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 55% 78%
52% 55% 25% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 45% 61%
29% 27% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 27% 39%
14% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 18% 22%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 9% 4%
33% 36% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 36% 48%
33% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 55% 30%
43% 45% 75% Failed to Score F T 50% 55% 43%
 
6.2 7.4 6.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.1 3.2
3.8 4 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 5.1 5
2.4 1.9 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.5 2.3
2 2 0 Red cards R C 1 1 5
 
13.3 16.2 13.8 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 9 10.9
3.6 3.8 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.8 3.3
24% 24% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 32% 30%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Grêmio have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Mineiro 22 15 4 3 33 13 10 8 1 1 20 5 12 7 3 2 13 8 20 49
2 Palmeiras 22 12 3 7 34 26 12 7 2 3 21 17 10 5 1 4 13 9 8 39
3 Flamengo 20 12 2 6 39 19 11 7 0 4 19 12 9 5 2 2 20 7 20 38
4 Fortaleza 23 10 6 7 30 26 11 6 3 2 17 10 12 4 3 5 13 16 4 36
5 Bragantino 22 8 10 4 34 26 11 2 7 2 17 16 11 6 3 2 17 10 8 34
6 Corinthians 23 8 10 5 24 21 11 3 4 4 13 14 12 5 6 1 11 7 3 34
7 Internacional 22 8 8 6 26 23 10 4 3 3 12 10 12 4 5 3 14 13 3 32
8 Fluminense 22 8 8 6 24 24 11 5 4 2 12 10 11 3 4 4 12 14 0 32
9 Athletico PR 22 9 3 10 29 29 11 6 3 2 18 13 11 3 0 8 11 16 0 30
10 Atlético GO 22 7 9 6 20 20 11 2 7 2 7 8 11 5 2 4 13 12 0 30
11 Cuiabá 23 6 11 6 23 24 12 3 4 5 13 17 11 3 7 1 10 7 -1 29
12 Ceara 21 6 10 5 20 21 11 6 4 1 15 8 10 0 6 4 5 13 -1 28
13 São Paulo 23 6 10 7 19 24 11 3 6 2 9 8 12 3 4 5 10 16 -5 28
14 América Mineiro 23 6 9 8 21 24 12 4 4 4 10 8 11 2 5 4 11 16 -3 27
15 Juventude 23 6 9 8 22 26 12 5 3 4 13 13 11 1 6 4 9 13 -4 27
16 Santos 22 5 9 8 20 28 11 4 5 2 11 9 11 1 4 6 9 19 -8 24
17 Bahia 22 6 5 11 25 35 11 4 2 5 15 17 11 2 3 6 10 18 -10 23
18 Grêmio 21 6 4 11 18 24 11 3 4 4 10 9 10 3 0 7 8 15 -6 22
19 Sport Recife 23 4 8 11 10 20 11 1 4 6 2 7 12 3 4 5 8 13 -10 20
20 Chapecoense 23 1 8 14 18 36 11 0 3 8 6 18 12 1 5 6 12 18 -18 11

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.