Serie A match prediction and preview for Fortaleza vs Coritiba clash

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 04.February
Match begins: 21:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas (67000 seats)

Fortaleza are welcoming Coritiba for another important game after their 0-2 result against 2nd-placed Atlético Mineiro.

Insights:
  • Fortaleza has the fewest conceded goals (10) at home in Serie A
  • Coritiba have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Fortaleza and Coritiba.

It's quite the trip for Coritiba when visiting Fortaleza as the cities are 3400 kilometers apart.

Relegation threatens Fortaleza who should definitely be looking for some points here. Coritiba are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

L L W L D

Fortaleza form and stats

Fortaleza, who have the fewest conceded goals (10) at home in Serie A, have played 16 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-6-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Fortaleza haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 204 minutes ago. W. Paulista scored that one.

Fortaleza are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-2 away versus Atlético Mineiro. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-2 away at Atlético GO.

The penalty miss from Osvaldo in the defeat against Atlético Mineiro was a source of irritation for some fans, but these things happen.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Fortaleza's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won one match, drawn one and lost zero.

Fortaleza aren't scoring a lot here at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas in the league, with only 14 goals from 16 games. Fortaleza have only conceded 10 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

D D D W D

Coritiba form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Coritiba so far with only 13 points returning home. The records show 3-4-9 (win-draw-lose). The last three matches for Coritiba have all ended in a draw.

There were no winners in Coritiba's previous match, a Serie A home game that ended 1-1 vs Grêmio (placed 7th). Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Sao Paulo.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Coritiba playing away, we found three games. Results were one away win, two draws and zero home wins.

Coritiba find the net regularly in their away games. 16 goals from 16 away fixtures in the league. Coritiba struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 27 goals conceded from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Coritiba - Fortaleza 0-0, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Fortaleza three wins, one draw and Coritiba five victories. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

FortalezaW. Pereira do Nascimento
W. Pereira do Nascimento
8 goals
CoritibaR. dos Santos Fernandes
R. dos Santos Fernandes
8 goals
FortalezaD. Correia da Fonseca
D. Correia da Fonseca
5 goals

Fortaleza missing players

Coritiba missing players

Fortaleza Coritiba
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
33 16 3 Played P 5 16 33
8 6 1 Won W 1 3 6
11 6 2 Drew D 2 4 10
14 4 0 Lost L 2 9 17
28 14 2 Scored S 4 16 28
34 10 1 Conceded C 5 27 44
79% 69% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 88%
61% 50% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 20% 69% 55%
30% 19% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 56% 42%
9% 6% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 38% 21%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 6% 6%
39% 19% 33% BTTS BTTS 20% 56% 48%
36% 62% 67% Clean Sheets C S 40% 12% 24%
45% 50% 33% Failed to Score F T 60% 38% 39%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 2.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.8 2.2
7 5 0 Red cards R C 1 4 6
 
11 11.8 13 Shots (avg) S ( 13 10.8 10.6
3.2 3.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 3.8 3.1
26% 23% 17% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 27% 28%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Coritiba have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Fortaleza has the fewest conceded goals (10) at home in Serie A
  • Fortaleza has the most clean sheets (10) at home in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Internacional 33 19 8 6 57 31 17 12 4 1 33 15 16 7 4 5 24 16 26 65
2 Atlético Mineiro 33 18 6 9 58 41 17 13 3 1 38 12 16 5 3 8 20 29 17 60
3 Flamengo 32 17 7 8 57 43 16 8 4 4 29 21 16 9 3 4 28 22 14 58
4 Sao Paulo 33 16 10 7 53 36 16 9 5 2 25 13 17 7 5 5 28 23 17 58
5 Fluminense 33 15 8 10 48 40 17 10 4 3 29 14 16 5 4 7 19 26 8 53
6 Palmeiras 32 14 10 8 45 31 16 8 6 2 28 14 16 6 4 6 17 17 14 52
7 Grêmio 33 12 16 5 43 32 16 9 5 2 29 18 17 3 11 3 14 14 11 52
8 Atletico PR 33 13 6 14 31 31 16 7 4 5 16 12 17 6 2 9 15 19 0 45
9 Ceará 33 12 9 12 47 44 17 6 5 6 19 21 16 6 4 6 28 23 3 45
10 Corinthians 32 12 9 11 39 38 16 7 5 4 24 19 16 5 4 7 15 19 1 45
11 Santos 32 12 9 11 44 44 16 7 6 3 31 22 16 5 3 8 13 22 0 45
12 Atlético GO 33 11 12 10 34 38 17 5 8 4 20 19 16 6 4 6 14 19 -4 45
13 Bragantino 33 11 11 11 46 39 16 8 4 4 30 18 17 3 7 7 16 21 7 44
14 Vasco da Gama 33 9 10 14 34 47 17 6 5 6 18 17 16 3 5 8 16 30 -13 37
15 Bahia 33 10 6 17 38 54 16 8 1 7 22 22 17 2 5 10 16 32 -16 36
16 Sport Recife 32 10 5 17 26 41 16 8 1 7 17 17 16 2 4 10 9 24 -15 35
17 Fortaleza 33 8 11 14 28 34 16 6 6 4 14 10 17 2 5 10 14 24 -6 35
18 Goiás 33 7 8 18 33 57 16 4 4 8 16 28 17 3 4 10 17 29 -24 29
19 Coritiba 33 6 10 17 28 44 17 3 6 8 12 17 16 3 4 9 16 27 -16 28
20 Botafogo 32 4 11 17 27 51 16 2 5 9 13 24 16 2 6 8 14 27 -24 23

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.