Football betting preview: Fortaleza vs Botafogo

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Mon 30.September
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (63903 seats)

Fortaleza hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 22 points and a 15th position in the Serie A table. Visiting Botafogo holds 11th place with 27 pts.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Serie A match only four days ago.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2600 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Fortaleza form and stats

4-1-5 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie A numbers at home for Fortaleza so far this season. The Fortaleza manager Zé Ricardo might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

Fortaleza lost their last game at Athletico PR (placed 9th) after a 1-4 scoreline. Preceding that match was the home game against Palmeiras that was lost 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fortaleza have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won 3 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

The Fortaleza fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 10 in 10 matches. On the other hand, Fortaleza have conceded 10 goals.

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Botafogo form and stats

There's been little loot from Botafogo's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 11 away games in the Serie A. Botafogo only have 3 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 2 draws.

Botafogo play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 0-2 to Bahia (placed 8th). Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Sao Paulo.

We have checked recent matches where Botafogo have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W1-D3-L2.

The attacking power of Botafogo when travelling is not overwhelming with 9 goals scored from 11 league matches away. Botafogo have conceded 14 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Botafogo - Fortaleza 1-0. As for the last five games between these two teams, there's 1 Fortaleza victory, 0 draws and 4 Botafogo wins. 2 of these games ended with three goals or more, 3 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Ederson
3 goals
Alex Santana
3 goals

Fortaleza missing players

Botafogo missing players

Fortaleza Botafogo
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 5 11 21
6 4 2 Won W 3 3 8
4 1 1 Drew D 2 2 3
11 5 0 Lost L 0 6 10
23 10 5 Scored S 5 9 19
31 10 2 Conceded C 1 14 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 60% 82% 86%
71% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 64% 52%
43% 30% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 27% 33%
29% 10% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 18% 14%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 14%
48% 40% 67% BTTS BTTS 20% 27% 33%
14% 20% 33% Clean Sheets C S 80% 36% 33%
38% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 55% 48%
 
4 4.4 3 Corners For (avg) C F 1.8 2 3
5.7 4.8 5 Corners Against (avg) C A 11 8.4 7.5
2 2.3 2.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.6 2.2 2.6
4 2 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
Key stats This season:
  • Botafogo have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Botafogo have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Fortaleza haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Fortaleza
01-09-19 SA Fortaleza 2 - 0 Goias
07-09-19 SA Fortaleza 0 - 1 Fluminense
15-09-19 SA Bahia 1 - 1 Fortaleza
22-09-19 SA Fortaleza 0 - 1 Palmeiras
27-09-19 SA Athletico PR 4 - 1 Fortaleza
30-09-19 SA Fortaleza 23:00 Botafogo
05-10-19 SA Sao Paulo 20:00 Fortaleza
09-10-19 SA Fortaleza 23:30 Chapecoense
13-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 19:00 Fortaleza
16-10-19 SA Fortaleza 23:00 Flamengo
Botafogo
01-09-19 SA Internacional 3 - 2 Botafogo
08-09-19 SA Botafogo 2 - 1 Atlético Mineiro
15-09-19 SA Ceará 0 - 0 Botafogo
21-09-19 SA Botafogo 1 - 2 Sao Paulo
26-09-19 SA Bahia 2 - 0 Botafogo
30-09-19 SA Fortaleza 23:00 Botafogo
06-10-19 SA Botafogo 19:00 Fluminense
09-10-19 SA Botafogo 22:15 Goias
13-10-19 SA Palmeiras - Botafogo
17-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 00:30 Botafogo

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 21 15 3 3 47 20 10 10 0 0 29 9 11 5 3 3 18 11 27 48
2 Palmeiras 21 13 6 2 37 16 10 8 2 0 25 5 11 5 4 2 12 11 21 45
3 Santos 21 11 5 5 31 23 10 6 3 1 22 11 11 5 2 4 9 12 8 38
4 Internacional 21 11 3 7 27 20 11 9 2 0 19 6 10 2 1 7 8 14 7 36
5 Corinthians 20 9 8 3 23 13 11 7 4 0 14 5 9 2 4 3 9 8 10 35
6 São Paulo 21 9 8 4 23 15 11 4 6 1 14 7 10 5 2 3 9 8 8 35
7 Grêmio 21 9 7 5 36 23 10 6 2 2 24 14 11 3 5 3 12 9 13 34
8 Bahia 21 9 7 5 25 18 11 7 3 1 16 7 10 2 4 4 9 11 7 34
9 Athletico PR 21 9 3 9 30 21 10 7 0 3 15 6 11 2 3 6 15 15 9 30
10 Atlético Mineiro 20 8 3 9 24 24 10 5 2 3 16 12 10 3 1 6 8 12 0 27
11 Botafogo 21 8 3 10 19 23 10 5 1 4 10 9 11 3 2 6 9 14 -4 27
12 Goiás 21 8 3 10 21 32 10 6 1 3 15 9 11 2 2 7 6 23 -11 27
13 Vasco da Gama 20 6 6 8 19 27 11 4 4 3 12 13 9 2 2 5 7 14 -8 24
14 Ceará 21 6 5 10 21 21 11 5 3 3 15 9 10 1 2 7 6 12 0 23
15 Fortaleza 21 6 4 11 23 31 10 4 1 5 10 10 11 2 3 6 13 21 -8 22
16 Fluminense 21 5 4 12 22 33 11 3 3 5 10 10 10 2 1 7 12 23 -11 19
17 Cruzeiro 21 4 7 10 17 30 10 4 2 4 9 11 11 0 5 6 8 19 -13 19
18 CSA 21 4 7 10 11 31 11 3 4 4 7 12 10 1 3 6 4 19 -20 19
19 Avaí 21 3 7 11 12 31 10 1 6 3 6 11 11 2 1 8 6 20 -19 16
20 Chapecoense 20 3 5 12 17 33 10 2 3 5 9 12 10 1 2 7 8 21 -16 14

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