Serie A prediction and preview: Corinthians modest favorites to beat Botafogo

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sat 17.August
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Corinthians (47605 seats)

6th position in the Serie A table for Corinthians so far, a good performance. The home supporters hope for more joy as 7th-placed Botafogo visits Arena Corinthians.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Corinthians form and stats

Corinthians, who have the fewest conceded goals (8) in Serie A, are steadily winning games and points here at Arena Corinthians. 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats is the summary from 7 games.

Corinthians drew their last game, 0-0 away at Internacional. Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Goias.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Corinthians have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 4 times, drawn 2 and lost 0.

Corinthians has scored 7 goals at home this season, in 7 matches. As for guarding their own goal, Corinthians have only let in 2 goals at home.

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Botafogo form and stats

3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. That’s the product of Botafogo playing as the away team this season.

Botafogo won their last game, 2-1 versus Athletico PR played at home. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Avai at their stadium, the result 2-0.

We have checked recent matches where Botafogo have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were W1-D2-L2.

Botafogo are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 7 away goals from 7 games. 7 goals have been conceded by Botafogo in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Corinthians won 3 games, 2 matches ended with a draw and Botafogo has 5 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 2 / 8

Top Goalscorers

Pedrinho
4 goals
Alex Santana
3 goals
M. Boselli
2 goals / 1 assists

Corinthians missing players

Botafogo missing players

Corinthians Botafogo
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
14 7 1 Played 2 7 14
6 4 0 Won 0 3 7
6 3 1 Drew 0 1 1
2 0 0 Lost 2 3 6
15 7 0 Scored 2 7 14
8 2 0 Conceded 5 7 13
79% 86% 0% Over 0.5 100% 86% 93%
50% 43% 0% Over 1.5 100% 57% 43%
14% 0% 0% Over 2.5 50% 29% 29%
14% 0% 0% Over 3.5 50% 14% 14%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 50% 14% 14%
36% 29% 0% BTTS 50% 29% 29%
57% 71% 100% Clean Sheets 0% 43% 36%
29% 14% 100% Failed To Score 50% 43% 43%
 
4.5 6 3 Corners For (avg) 3 2.6 3.7
5 3.4 2 Corners Against (avg) 4 7.7 6.9
2.1 1.7 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2.3 2.6
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • Botafogo have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Botafogo have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Corinthians have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Corinthians have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Corinthians have won significantly more corners at home than away.

Corinthians
All Copa Libertadores Copa do Brasil Serie A Club Friendlies Paulista A1 Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
28-07-19 SA Fortaleza 1 - 3 Corinthians
02-08-19 CS Wanderers 1 - 2 Corinthians
04-08-19 SA Corinthians 1 - 1 Palmeiras
07-08-19 SA Corinthians 2 - 0 Goias
11-08-19 SA Internacional 0 - 0 Corinthians
17-08-19 SA Corinthians 20:00 Botafogo
23-08-19 CS Corinthians 00:30 Fluminense
25-08-19 SA Avai 22:00 Corinthians
30-08-19 CS Fluminense 00:30 Corinthians
01-09-19 SA Corinthians 22:00 Atlético Mineiro
Botafogo
All Carioca 1 Copa do Brasil Serie A Carioca 1 - Taca Rio Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away
25-07-19 CS Botafogo 0 - 1 Atlético Mineiro
28-07-19 SA Flamengo 3 - 2 Botafogo
01-08-19 CS Atlético Mineiro 2 - 0 Botafogo
04-08-19 SA Avai 0 - 2 Botafogo
11-08-19 SA Botafogo 2 - 1 Athletico PR
17-08-19 SA Corinthians 20:00 Botafogo
26-08-19 SA Botafogo 23:00 Chapecoense
01-09-19 SA Internacional - Botafogo
08-09-19 SA Botafogo 19:00 Atlético Mineiro
15-09-19 SA Ceara - Botafogo

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Santos 14 10 2 2 25 12 7 6 1 0 18 4 7 4 1 2 7 8 13 32
2 Palmeiras 14 8 5 1 23 9 7 5 2 0 15 3 7 3 3 1 8 6 14 29
3 Flamengo 14 8 3 3 28 17 7 7 0 0 22 8 7 1 3 3 6 9 11 27
4 Atlético Mineiro 14 8 3 3 22 15 8 5 2 1 15 8 6 3 1 2 7 7 7 27
5 São Paulo 13 6 6 1 18 9 7 3 4 0 12 5 6 3 2 1 6 4 9 24
6 Corinthians 14 6 6 2 15 8 7 4 3 0 7 2 7 2 3 2 8 6 7 24
7 Botafogo 14 7 1 6 14 13 7 4 0 3 7 6 7 3 1 3 7 7 1 22
8 Internacional 14 6 3 5 16 12 8 6 2 0 14 4 6 0 1 5 2 8 4 21
9 Ceará 14 6 2 6 19 13 8 5 1 2 15 6 6 1 1 4 4 7 6 20
10 Bahia 14 5 5 4 16 14 7 5 1 1 11 5 7 0 4 3 5 9 2 20
11 Athletico PR 13 6 1 6 21 14 5 4 0 1 9 3 8 2 1 5 12 11 7 19
12 Grêmio 14 4 5 5 17 19 6 3 1 2 12 11 8 1 4 3 5 8 -2 17
13 Fortaleza 14 5 2 7 16 20 6 3 1 2 8 7 8 2 1 5 8 13 -4 17
14 Vasco da Gama 14 4 5 5 13 18 7 3 3 1 8 6 7 1 2 4 5 12 -5 17
15 Goiás 14 5 2 7 13 23 7 4 1 2 9 6 7 1 1 5 4 17 -10 17
16 Fluminense 14 3 3 8 19 24 7 2 2 3 8 7 7 1 1 5 11 17 -5 12
17 Cruzeiro 14 2 5 7 11 22 6 2 2 2 4 5 8 0 3 5 7 17 -11 11
18 Chapecoense 14 2 4 8 15 27 7 1 3 3 7 9 7 1 1 5 8 18 -12 10
19 CSA 14 1 5 8 3 22 8 1 3 4 3 11 6 0 2 4 0 11 -19 8
20 Avaí 14 0 6 8 7 20 7 0 5 2 4 7 7 0 1 6 3 13 -13 6

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