Serie A prediction and preview: Fluminense modest favorites to beat Coritiba

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Mon 28.September
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Nilton Santos (44661 seats)

With their 3 point advantage in the league table, Fluminense fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Coritiba.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Copa do Brasil match only four days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Atletico GO.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Coritiba, who are travelling more than 800 kilometers to play this game.

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Fluminense form and stats

Overall Serie A stats at home this season for Fluminense are 3-2-1 (wins-draw-losses).

A Serie A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Sport Recife.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Fluminense handle that role? We have found eight games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are five wins, two draws and one defeat.

Fluminense have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estádio Nilton Santos with 9 goals in 6 league matches. On the other hand, Fluminense have conceded 7 goals.

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Coritiba form and stats

Coritiba have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 1-2-3 (6 played).

Coritiba are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the Serie A against Vasco da Gama (placed 5th). A 0-1 defeat away at Atletico PR before that.

We have checked recent matches where Coritiba have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were zero victories, three draws and three defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Coritiba have scored 6 goals in 6 league games away. Coritiba struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 9 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's two Fluminense victories, six draws and two Coritiba wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Fluminense missing players

Coritiba missing players

Fluminense Coritiba
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 6 1 Played P 1 6 11
4 3 0 Won W 0 1 3
2 2 1 Drew D 0 2 2
5 1 0 Lost L 1 3 6
12 9 1 Scored S 1 6 8
14 7 1 Conceded C 3 9 12
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 91%
73% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 50% 27%
55% 67% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 27%
9% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 33% 18%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 9%
73% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 27%
9% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 27%
18% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 55%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2.7 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.8 2.1
2 2 1 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
131 72 11 Total Shots T S 9 57 105
39 20 4 Shots on Target S O 4 18 28
31% 45% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 33% 29%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Fluminense's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Coritiba have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Fluminense have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Fluminense have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fluminense have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Fluminense haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 10 7 0 3 18 12 4 4 0 0 10 3 6 3 0 3 8 9 6 21
2 Internacional 11 6 2 3 15 7 5 4 1 0 10 2 6 2 1 3 5 5 8 20
3 Sao Paulo 10 5 3 2 13 11 6 4 2 0 9 4 4 1 1 2 4 7 2 18
4 Palmeiras 10 4 6 0 14 9 4 1 3 0 6 5 6 3 3 0 8 4 5 18
5 Vasco da Gama 10 5 2 3 15 10 5 3 1 1 6 3 5 2 1 2 9 7 5 17
6 Flamengo 10 5 2 3 13 13 4 1 2 1 4 4 6 4 0 2 9 9 0 17
7 Sport Recife 12 5 2 5 12 13 6 4 0 2 7 5 6 1 2 3 5 8 -1 17
8 Santos 11 4 4 3 14 12 6 2 3 1 11 8 5 2 1 2 3 4 2 16
9 Fortaleza 11 4 3 4 11 9 5 3 1 1 5 2 6 1 2 3 6 7 2 15
10 Fluminense 11 4 2 5 12 14 6 3 2 1 9 7 5 1 0 4 3 7 -2 14
11 Ceara 11 4 1 6 12 16 6 3 1 2 6 5 5 1 0 4 6 11 -4 13
12 Gremio 10 2 7 1 9 7 5 1 3 1 4 4 5 1 4 0 5 3 2 13
13 Corinthians 11 3 3 5 15 17 5 2 2 1 9 8 6 1 1 4 6 9 -2 12
14 Atletico GO 10 3 3 4 12 15 5 1 2 2 8 8 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 12
15 Atletico PR 10 3 2 5 8 10 6 2 2 2 5 5 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 11
16 Coritiba 11 3 2 6 8 12 5 2 0 3 2 3 6 1 2 3 6 9 -4 11
17 Bragantino 11 2 4 5 14 18 5 2 1 2 9 8 6 0 3 3 5 10 -4 10
18 Botafogo 10 1 7 2 9 11 5 1 2 2 4 6 5 0 5 0 5 5 -2 10
19 Bahia 10 2 3 5 12 18 6 2 1 3 7 10 4 0 2 2 5 8 -6 9
20 Goias 8 2 2 4 11 13 5 2 1 2 8 8 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 8

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.