Flamengo vs Bahia betting preview: Visitors should struggle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 20.December
Match begins: 21:15 (UTC)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Flamengo fans are optimistic that the difference between 3rd and Bahia's 16th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Flamengo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Bahia has the most conceded goals (42) in Serie A

Bahia could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Copa Sudamericana game only four sleeps ago. That game, against Defensa y Justicia, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Bahia.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Bahia, who are travelling more than 1600 kilometers to play this game.

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Flamengo form and stats

6-4-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie A numbers at home for Flamengo so far this season. Two home wins in a row for Flamengo bring valid hopes of a third.

Flamengo's last game was hosting Santos (placed 8th) and winning 4-1. A strong away win before that one, visiting Botafogo and winning 1-0.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Flamengo home games with this odds we find eleven games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in nine wins, two draws and zero defeats. Looking at the victories, six matches were won by at least two goals.

A decent goal production from Flamengo in their home games so far, with 22 goals from 12 league matches. 14 goals have been conceded.

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Bahia form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Bahia, who have the most conceded goals (42) in Serie A, so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-7 (win-draw-lose). With the Bahia losing streak of four defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking. Bahia has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

The attacking players of Bahia have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 189 minutes.

There might be some fixture complaints from Bahia as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous match, the Copa Sudamericana match against Defensa y Justicia (0-1). Preceding that game, the 0-3 loss visiting Palmeiras's place.

You'll want to know how Bahia managed when outsiders such as today. Our database found one similar match resulting in zero away wins, one draw and zero home wins.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 12 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Bahia have conceded 23 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Bahia - Flamengo 3-5. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: six - two - two (Flamengo wins - draws - Bahia wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

FlamengoP. Abreu dos Santos
P. Abreu dos Santos
10 goals
FlamengoG. Barbosa Almeida
G. Barbosa Almeida
7 goals
FlamengoÉ. de Barros Ribeiro
É. de Barros Ribeiro
6 goals

Flamengo missing players

Bahia missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Flamengo Bahia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 12 5 Played P 3 12 25
13 6 4 Won W 0 2 8
6 4 1 Drew D 2 3 4
5 2 0 Lost L 1 7 13
42 22 12 Scored S 3 11 29
32 14 4 Conceded C 6 23 42
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
83% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 80%
58% 58% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 58% 56%
33% 33% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 33% 28%
17% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 8%
67% 83% 80% BTTS BTTS 67% 58% 56%
17% 8% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
17% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 42% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.5 2.1 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.8 2.2
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
15.6 18.7 20.4 Shots (avg) S ( 14 14.5 14.2
6 6.8 8.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4.1 4.5
29% 27% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 22% 26%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bahia has the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie A
  • Bahia has the fewest clean sheets (3) in Serie A
  • Bahia has the most conceded goals (42) in Serie A
  • Bahia has the most conceded goals in the first half (21) in Serie A
  • Bahia has the the worst goal difference (-12) away in Serie A
  • Bahia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Bahia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Bahia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bahia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Flamengo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sao Paulo 26 15 8 3 45 21 13 9 4 0 23 6 13 6 4 3 22 15 24 53
2 Atletico Mineiro 26 14 4 8 44 34 13 9 3 1 29 11 13 5 1 7 15 23 10 46
3 Flamengo 24 13 6 5 42 32 12 6 4 2 22 14 12 7 2 3 20 18 10 45
4 Palmeiras 24 11 8 5 36 23 12 6 4 2 21 12 12 5 4 3 15 11 13 41
5 Internacional 25 11 8 6 37 25 12 7 4 1 22 11 13 4 4 5 15 14 12 41
6 Grêmio 24 10 11 3 32 20 12 7 4 1 22 11 12 3 7 2 10 9 12 41
7 Fluminense 26 11 7 8 36 29 13 7 4 2 22 12 13 4 3 6 14 17 7 40
8 Santos 25 10 8 7 37 33 13 6 5 2 25 16 12 4 3 5 12 17 4 38
9 Atletico GO 26 8 10 8 24 30 13 3 6 4 15 17 13 5 4 4 9 13 -6 34
10 Corinthians 25 8 9 8 26 29 12 4 5 3 14 16 13 4 4 5 12 13 -3 33
11 Ceara 25 8 8 9 35 36 13 5 5 3 16 14 12 3 3 6 19 22 -1 32
12 Bragantino 25 7 10 8 31 29 12 6 3 3 20 12 13 1 7 5 11 17 2 31
13 Fortaleza 25 7 9 9 24 23 12 5 4 3 12 8 13 2 5 6 12 15 1 30
14 Atletico PR 25 8 4 13 20 28 13 5 3 5 10 10 12 3 1 8 10 18 -8 28
15 Sport Recife 25 8 4 13 22 34 12 6 0 6 13 15 13 2 4 7 9 19 -12 28
16 Bahia 25 8 4 13 29 42 13 6 1 6 18 19 12 2 3 7 11 23 -13 28
17 Vasco da Gama 24 6 7 11 25 36 12 3 4 5 11 14 12 3 3 6 14 22 -11 25
18 Coritiba 25 5 6 14 20 33 12 3 3 6 6 9 13 2 3 8 14 24 -13 21
19 Goias 25 4 8 13 25 40 13 3 4 6 15 21 12 1 4 7 10 19 -15 20
20 Botafogo 25 3 11 11 23 36 13 2 5 6 12 17 12 1 6 5 11 19 -13 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sao Paulo 26 15 8 3 45 21 13 9 4 0 23 6 13 6 4 3 22 15 24 53
2 Atletico Mineiro 26 14 4 8 44 34 13 9 3 1 29 11 13 5 1 7 15 23 10 46
3 Flamengo 24 13 6 5 42 32 12 6 4 2 22 14 12 7 2 3 20 18 10 45
4 Palmeiras 24 11 8 5 36 23 12 6 4 2 21 12 12 5 4 3 15 11 13 41
5 Internacional 25 11 8 6 37 25 12 7 4 1 22 11 13 4 4 5 15 14 12 41
6 Grêmio 24 10 11 3 32 20 12 7 4 1 22 11 12 3 7 2 10 9 12 41
7 Fluminense 26 11 7 8 36 29 13 7 4 2 22 12 13 4 3 6 14 17 7 40
8 Santos 25 10 8 7 37 33 13 6 5 2 25 16 12 4 3 5 12 17 4 38
9 Atletico GO 26 8 10 8 24 30 13 3 6 4 15 17 13 5 4 4 9 13 -6 34
10 Corinthians 25 8 9 8 26 29 12 4 5 3 14 16 13 4 4 5 12 13 -3 33
11 Ceara 25 8 8 9 35 36 13 5 5 3 16 14 12 3 3 6 19 22 -1 32
12 Bragantino 25 7 10 8 31 29 12 6 3 3 20 12 13 1 7 5 11 17 2 31
13 Fortaleza 25 7 9 9 24 23 12 5 4 3 12 8 13 2 5 6 12 15 1 30
14 Atletico PR 25 8 4 13 20 28 13 5 3 5 10 10 12 3 1 8 10 18 -8 28
15 Sport Recife 25 8 4 13 22 34 12 6 0 6 13 15 13 2 4 7 9 19 -12 28
16 Bahia 25 8 4 13 29 42 13 6 1 6 18 19 12 2 3 7 11 23 -13 28
17 Vasco da Gama 24 6 7 11 25 36 12 3 4 5 11 14 12 3 3 6 14 22 -11 25
18 Coritiba 25 5 6 14 20 33 12 3 3 6 6 9 13 2 3 8 14 24 -13 21
19 Goias 25 4 8 13 25 40 13 3 4 6 15 21 12 1 4 7 10 19 -15 20
20 Botafogo 25 3 11 11 23 36 13 2 5 6 12 17 12 1 6 5 11 19 -13 20

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.