Sports bettors fancy that Flamengo will overcome Bahia at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 11.November
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (78838 seats)

Flamengo are enjoying their stay in the top league positions while Bahia are more involved in escaping relegation. Who will get the points?

Insights:
  • Flamengo have the most scored goals (54) in Serie A
  • Bahia have the most conceded goals in the second half (26) in Serie A

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Bahia have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1600 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Flamengo form and stats

Flamengo are steadily winning Serie A games and points here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats is the summary from 15 games. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Flamengo after consecutive victories at their own ground.

The home team returns to Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho after being equal after 90 minutes with Chapecoense (placed 20th) on their last time out; the Serie A game ended 2-2. Matheuzinho was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.81 out of 10. The defender Matheuzinho scored one goal, hit one key pass and won 9 of 16 duels.

Ahead of that match, Flamengo won a home game hosting Atletico GO (2-0).

Flamengo are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found 14 matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won eleven, drew one and lost two.

Flamengo are traveling soon after this match as the Serie A match at Sao Paulo awaits in three days.

A decent goal production from Flamengo in their home games so far, with 25 goals from 15 league matches. From these home matches, Flamengo have conceded only 13 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Bahia form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Bahia so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 3-5-7 (win-draw-lose). Visiting Bahia has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

The Bahia goalkeeper Danilo Fernandes Batista is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 216 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Bahia are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the Serie A against Sao Paulo (placed 14th). World class coaching! That was the thoughts of manager A. Ferreira when Rossi scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 71st minute. Defender Nino Paraíba was the best team player with a rating of 7.7. Paraíba hit four key passes and won 5 of 7 duels.

Before that, Bahia travelled to Juventude and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Bahia played away with similar odds. This revealed two games. The visitors overcame the odds to win zero times, one were draw and the home team won as expected one time.

The visitors have scored 13 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 21 goals have been conceded by Bahia in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The previous head-to-head game ended Bahia - Flamengo 0-5, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Flamengo seven wins, one draw and Bahia two victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

BahiaG. Oliveira Souza Junior
G. Oliveira Souza Junior
12 goals
FlamengoM. Delgado de Oliveira
M. Delgado de Oliveira
10 goals
FlamengoB. Pinto
B. Pinto
9 goals

Flamengo missing players

Bahia missing players

Flamengo Bahia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 15 5 Played P 4 15 30
16 10 4 Won W 0 3 9
6 1 0 Drew D 1 5 9
7 4 1 Lost L 3 7 12
54 25 12 Scored S 6 13 33
28 13 4 Conceded C 12 21 39
97% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 83%
79% 67% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 73% 67%
55% 47% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 33% 40%
38% 27% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 75% 20% 20%
10% 13% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 13% 17%
48% 33% 60% BTTS BTTS 75% 33% 37%
38% 47% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 37%
17% 27% 20% Failed to Score F T 25% 53% 43%
 
6.1 6.7 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 4.4 5.5
4.2 3.5 3.4 Corners against (avg) C A 7.8 6.1 5.5
2.2 2.3 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.3 2.4
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
15.8 16.5 16.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 10.3 12.2
6.3 6.7 7.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.9 3.8
29% 25% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 30% 29%
 
10.9 10.2 11.4 Shots against (avg) S A 20.2 14.7 13.1
3.3 3.3 3.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.8 4.7 4.2
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bahia have the most conceded goals in the second half (26) in Serie A
  • Bahia have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Flamengo have the most scored goals (54) in Serie A
  • Flamengo have the the best goal difference (+26) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Mineiro 30 20 5 5 47 22 15 13 1 1 31 9 15 7 4 4 16 13 25 65
2 Palmeiras 30 17 4 9 47 35 15 9 2 4 26 22 15 8 2 5 21 13 12 55
3 Flamengo 29 16 6 7 54 28 15 10 1 4 25 13 14 6 5 3 29 15 26 54
4 Bragantino 31 12 13 6 47 35 16 5 8 3 23 19 15 7 5 3 24 16 12 49
5 Fortaleza 30 14 6 10 39 33 14 8 3 3 21 13 16 6 3 7 18 20 6 48
6 Corinthians 30 12 11 7 32 26 15 7 4 4 19 15 15 5 7 3 13 11 6 47
7 Internacional 30 11 11 8 38 31 15 7 5 3 24 16 15 4 6 5 14 15 7 44
8 Fluminense 30 11 9 10 29 31 15 7 5 3 16 13 15 4 4 7 13 18 -2 42
9 Cuiaba 31 8 15 8 28 29 16 5 6 5 15 17 15 3 9 3 13 12 -1 39
10 Ceara 30 8 15 7 28 30 16 8 6 2 20 12 14 0 9 5 8 18 -2 39
11 Atletico PR 30 11 5 14 36 39 15 6 4 5 20 19 15 5 1 9 16 20 -3 38
12 America Mineiro 30 9 11 10 29 31 15 6 5 4 14 10 15 3 6 6 15 21 -2 38
13 Atletico GO 29 9 10 10 24 28 14 4 7 3 11 11 15 5 3 7 13 17 -4 37
14 Sao Paulo 30 8 13 9 23 28 15 5 8 2 13 10 15 3 5 7 10 18 -5 37
15 Bahia 30 9 9 12 33 39 15 6 4 5 20 18 15 3 5 7 13 21 -6 36
16 Santos 30 8 11 11 26 36 15 6 5 4 14 13 15 2 6 7 12 23 -10 35
17 Sport Recife 31 7 9 15 17 28 15 4 5 6 8 8 16 3 4 9 9 20 -11 30
18 Juventude 29 6 12 11 27 36 15 5 6 4 14 14 14 1 6 7 13 22 -9 30
19 Gremio 29 7 5 17 25 38 14 4 5 5 16 16 15 3 0 12 9 22 -13 26
20 Chapecoense 31 1 12 18 26 52 15 0 6 9 12 25 16 1 6 9 14 27 -26 15

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.