Serie A prediction: Flamengo should edge out Athletico PR on their own turf

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 03.October
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

The host team, Flamengo, should be expected winners in this match, but Athletico PR have displayed both talent and guts. Learn more about the game!

Insights:
  • Flamengo have the most scored goals (36) in Serie A
  • Athletico PR have won significantly less corners away then at home.

It's no vacation for neither Flamengo nor Athletico PR as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Flamengo form and stats

6 victories, 0 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Flamengo have to build on here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho in the Serie A.

Happy days for Flamengo in their previous game, a Copa Libertadores match away at Barcelona that ended with a 2-0 victory. Flamengo goalkeeper Diego Alves did an outstanding job against Barcelona with six saves, so vital to securing the victory. Midfield player Bruno Henrique got a match rating of 8.85 in that game, the max score being 10. Henrique scored two goals, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 4 of 6 times.

Preceding that game was the away draw at America Mineiro that finished 1-1.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Flamengo as they are travelling to their away game against Bragantino in the Serie A. That match is three days after this one.

The Flamengo fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 16 goals in 10 league matches. Flamengo have conceded 12 in these home matches.

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Athletico PR form and stats

Athletico PR have only collected 9 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 3-0-7 (10 played). Bitter travels for Athletico as they have lost seven games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Fluminense match.

The supporters enjoyed Athletico's previous game versus Peñarol, a Copa Sudamericana 2-0 win played at home.

That result followed a home victory 4-2 versus Gremio in the Serie A.

With the hosts given a victory probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the away side would be a surprise. Researching earlier games with similar odds and Athletico playing away, we found one results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, zero draws and one defeat. The away team lost zero of these matches by at least two goals.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Athletico manager A. Cardoso de Oliveira as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Atletico GO.

The visiting Athletico have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 11 goals from 10 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Athletico PR have seen the ball go into their own net 13 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head to head statistics (for the former ten meetings): Flamengo won five games, two matches ended with a draw and Athletico PR managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four

Top Goalscorers

FlamengoB. Pinto
B. Pinto
8 goals
FlamengoG. Barbosa Almeida
G. Barbosa Almeida
6 goals
FlamengoP. Abreu dos Santos
P. Abreu dos Santos
4 goals

Flamengo missing players

Athletico PR missing players

Flamengo Athletico PR
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 10 3 Played P 2 10 21
11 6 1 Won W 0 3 9
2 0 0 Drew D 0 0 3
6 4 2 Lost L 2 7 9
36 16 5 Scored S 1 11 29
19 12 6 Conceded C 4 13 26
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
79% 70% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 71%
53% 50% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 62%
37% 30% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 10% 19%
16% 20% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 10%
47% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 40% 57%
32% 30% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 19%
21% 30% 67% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 29%
 
6.4 7.1 6.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 3.3 4.4
3.4 2.8 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6.5 4.9
2.2 2.3 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.9 2
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
16.2 17.4 15 Shots (avg) S ( 10 10.2 13.4
6.9 7.5 7.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 3.9
27% 21% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 37% 36%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Athletico PR have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Athletico PR haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Flamengo have the most scored goals (36) in Serie A
  • Flamengo have the most scored goals in the second half (24) in Serie A
  • Flamengo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Flamengo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 21 14 4 3 32 13 9 7 1 1 19 5 12 7 3 2 13 8 19 46
2 Palmeiras 21 12 2 7 33 25 11 7 1 3 20 16 10 5 1 4 13 9 8 38
3 Fortaleza 22 10 6 6 30 23 10 6 3 1 17 7 12 4 3 5 13 16 7 36
4 Flamengo 19 11 2 6 36 19 10 6 0 4 16 12 9 5 2 2 20 7 17 35
5 Bragantino 21 8 9 4 32 24 10 2 6 2 15 14 11 6 3 2 17 10 8 33
6 Corinthians 22 8 9 5 22 19 11 3 4 4 13 14 11 5 5 1 9 5 3 33
7 Internacional 21 8 8 5 26 22 10 4 3 3 12 10 11 4 5 2 14 12 4 32
8 Fluminense 22 8 8 6 24 24 11 5 4 2 12 10 11 3 4 4 12 14 0 32
9 Athletico PR 21 9 3 9 29 26 11 6 3 2 18 13 10 3 0 7 11 13 3 30
10 Cuiaba 22 6 11 5 23 22 11 3 4 4 13 15 11 3 7 1 10 7 1 29
11 Ceara 21 6 10 5 20 21 11 6 4 1 15 8 10 0 6 4 5 13 -1 28
12 Atletico GO 21 6 9 6 17 20 11 2 7 2 7 8 10 4 2 4 10 12 -3 27
13 Sao Paulo 22 6 9 7 18 23 11 3 6 2 9 8 11 3 3 5 9 15 -5 27
14 Juventude 22 6 8 8 21 25 12 5 3 4 13 13 10 1 5 4 8 12 -4 26
15 America Mineiro 22 5 9 8 19 24 12 4 4 4 10 8 10 1 5 4 9 16 -5 24
16 Santos 22 5 9 8 20 28 11 4 5 2 11 9 11 1 4 6 9 19 -8 24
17 Bahia 22 6 5 11 25 35 11 4 2 5 15 17 11 2 3 6 10 18 -10 23
18 Gremio 20 6 4 10 17 22 10 3 4 3 9 7 10 3 0 7 8 15 -5 22
19 Sport Recife 22 3 8 11 8 19 11 1 4 6 2 7 11 2 4 5 6 12 -11 17
20 Chapecoense 22 1 7 14 17 35 10 0 2 8 5 17 12 1 5 6 12 18 -18 10

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.