Serie A prediction and preview: Bahia modest favorites to beat Sport Recife

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 01.August
Match begins: 21:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Roberto Santos

13 rounds of fixtures have been played and Bahia are 6 points ahead of Sport Recife. What happens today?

Insights:
  • Sport Recife have the most matches under the total-line (9) in Serie A

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Copa do Brasil match only four days ago. That game was an away game at Atlético Mineiro, so at least Bahia are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Bahia form and stats

Bahia have played 7 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-1-3 (wins-draws-losses). With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Bahia to get some points in this home game.

Bahia haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 281 minutes ago. M. Bahia scored that one.

Bahia faced defeat in their previous match, away at Atlético Mineiro (0-2). Attacking player Rossi bested all teammates in that game and got a match rating of 8.0 out of 10. Rossi hit four key passes and dribled passed the opponent 2 of 3 times. Danilo Fernandes had a busy but productive day in the Atlético Mineiro match. Despite making six saves the loss could not be prevented.

Heartbreak before that as Bahia lost 0-3 at Atlético Mineiro's place.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Bahia handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are five wins, one draw and four defeats.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Bahia as they have a new game in only three days, a Copa do Brasil match thankfully also at home. Atlético Mineiro are visiting.

The Bahia fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 9 in 7 matches. Bahia have conceded 11 from these games.

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Sport Recife form and stats

Sport Recife have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 1-3-3 (7 played).

The Recife goalkeeper Mailson Tenorio dos Santos is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 197 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Recife played 0-0 against Ceara in their previous match. Hayner, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.61. Hayner hit three key passes and won 3 of 5 duels.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus América Mineiro at their stadium, the result 1-0.

Recife are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, three draws and four defeats. From a total of eight matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Sport Recife as they have only managed to score 5 times from 7 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Sport Recife have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings between the teams: Bahia won three, Sport Recife won six and one draw. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BahiaG. Oliveira Souza Junior
G. Oliveira Souza Junior
7 goals
BahiaR. Costa Marinho
R. Costa Marinho
2 goals
Sport RecifeA. Ribeiro de Souza
A. Ribeiro de Souza
2 goals

Bahia missing players

Sport Recife missing players

Bahia Sport Recife
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 4 7 13
5 3 0 Won W 0 1 2
2 1 0 Drew D 2 3 5
6 3 2 Lost L 2 3 6
18 9 3 Scored S 2 5 7
22 11 5 Conceded C 4 7 11
92% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 86% 77%
69% 57% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 43% 31%
62% 57% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 29% 23%
31% 29% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 8%
31% 29% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
38% 29% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 43% 31%
31% 43% 0% Clean Sheets C S 25% 29% 38%
38% 43% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 43% 54%
 
4.8 5.3 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 3.7 3.2
5.9 5 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 5.1 5.7
2.8 3 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.1 2.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
11.8 12.9 16.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 9.4 10
3.8 4 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 3 2.4
36% 32% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 24% 23%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bahia have scored more than double the goals of Sport Recife.
  • Sport Recife have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sport Recife have the most matches under the total-line (9) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 13 10 1 2 25 12 7 6 1 0 15 7 6 4 0 2 10 5 13 31
2 Atlético Mineiro 13 9 1 3 19 10 6 4 1 1 12 5 7 5 0 2 7 5 9 28
3 Fortaleza 13 8 3 2 21 9 7 6 1 0 16 4 6 2 2 2 5 5 12 27
4 Bragantino 13 6 6 1 24 16 6 1 5 0 11 9 7 5 1 1 13 7 8 24
5 Athletico PR 12 7 2 3 21 13 6 4 2 0 11 7 6 3 0 3 10 6 8 23
6 Flamengo 11 7 0 4 22 10 7 5 0 2 14 7 4 2 0 2 8 3 12 21
7 Ceara 13 4 7 2 14 12 6 4 1 1 10 6 7 0 6 1 4 6 2 19
8 Atlético GO 13 5 3 5 11 14 6 2 2 2 4 5 7 3 1 3 7 9 -3 18
9 Bahia 13 5 2 6 18 22 7 3 1 3 9 11 6 2 1 3 9 11 -4 17
10 Corinthians 13 4 5 4 11 11 6 1 2 3 5 7 7 3 3 1 6 4 0 17
11 Fluminense 13 4 5 4 10 12 6 2 2 2 4 6 7 2 3 2 6 6 -2 17
12 Santos 13 4 4 5 15 16 7 4 2 1 9 3 6 0 2 4 6 13 -1 16
13 Juventude 13 4 4 5 9 14 7 4 1 2 6 7 6 0 3 3 3 7 -5 16
14 Internacional 13 3 5 5 12 18 6 1 2 3 5 8 7 2 3 2 7 10 -6 14
15 Cuiaba 12 2 6 4 13 16 6 1 2 3 7 10 6 1 4 1 6 6 -3 12
16 Sport Recife 13 2 5 6 7 11 6 1 2 3 2 4 7 1 3 3 5 7 -4 11
17 São Paulo 13 2 5 6 9 17 6 1 3 2 5 6 7 1 2 4 4 11 -8 11
18 América Mineiro 13 2 4 7 10 18 7 1 3 3 4 5 6 1 1 4 6 13 -8 10
19 Gremio 11 1 4 6 6 13 6 0 4 2 3 5 5 1 0 4 3 8 -7 7
20 Chapecoense 13 0 4 9 11 24 6 0 1 5 3 11 7 0 3 4 8 13 -13 4

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.