Serie A prediction and preview: Athletico PR modest favorites to beat Sport Recife

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Fri 26.February
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Arena da Baixada

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Athletico PR are in the 9th position while the guesting Sport Recife worry at 14th.

Insights:
  • Athletico PR has the most matches under the total-line (22) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife has the fewest dropped points from leading position (4) in Serie A

It's no vacation for neither Athletico nor Sport Recife as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Sport Recife, who are travelling more than 3000 kilometers to play this game.

Athletico can neither be promoted or relegated from Serie A. Sport Recife is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

L W D D W

Athletico PR form and stats

Athletico PR have played 18 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 8-5-5 (wins-draws-losses).

Athletico PR faced defeat in their previous match, away at Gremio (0-1). Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Atletico GO.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Athletico PR handle that role? We have found 14 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are eight wins, two draws and four defeats.

The manager P. Autuori de Mello will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Cianorte in only two days.

The Athletico PR fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 18 in 18 matches. From these home matches, Athletico PR have conceded only 13 goals.

W L D W W

Sport Recife form and stats

Sport Recife, who have the fewest scored goals (12) away in Serie A, have only collected 16 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 4-4-10 (18 played). It’s been three wins in a row for Sport Recife on their travels, an amazing performance which inspire hopes of making this one the fourth consecutive victory.

A loss against Atletico Mineiro was the result prior to that, in a Serie A home game.

Recife are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, three draws and four defeats. From a total of nine matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Recife are hosting Sampaio Correa in the Copa do Nordeste only three days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Recife as they have only managed to score 12 times from 18 away games in the league. 25 goals have been conceded by Recife in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Sport Recife - Athletico 1-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - two - five (Athletico wins - draws - Sport Recife wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight had two or less.

Athletico PR missing players

Sport Recife missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Athletico PR Sport Recife
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
37 18 6 Played P 6 18 37
14 8 5 Won W 0 4 12
8 5 1 Drew D 3 4 6
15 5 0 Lost L 3 10 19
36 18 10 Scored S 5 12 31
36 13 3 Conceded C 12 25 48
92% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 89% 92%
54% 50% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 56% 51%
32% 33% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 39% 35%
11% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 11% 14%
3% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 6% 11%
38% 44% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 33% 32%
35% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 17% 17% 27%
35% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 61% 49%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.2 2.6 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.4 2.4
3 0 0 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
11.4 10.8 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 8.3 8.4 10
3.2 3.4 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 1.9 2.8
31% 30% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 35% 30%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Athletico PR has the most matches under the total-line (22) in Serie A
  • Athletico PR have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sport Recife has the fewest dropped points from leading position (4) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife has the fewest points from losing position (2) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife has the fewest scored goals (12) away in Serie A
  • Sport Recife has the fewest scored goals in the second half (13) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Sport Recife have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 37 21 8 8 67 46 19 11 4 4 35 23 18 10 4 4 32 23 21 71
2 Internacional 37 20 9 8 61 35 18 12 4 2 34 17 19 8 5 6 27 18 26 69
3 Atletico Mineiro 37 19 8 10 62 45 18 13 4 1 39 13 19 6 4 9 23 32 17 65
4 Sao Paulo 37 17 12 8 57 40 18 9 7 2 27 15 19 8 5 6 30 25 17 63
5 Fluminense 37 17 10 10 53 42 18 10 5 3 29 14 19 7 5 7 24 28 11 61
6 Gremio 37 14 17 6 53 39 19 10 6 3 34 23 18 4 11 3 19 16 14 59
7 Palmeiras 37 15 13 9 51 35 19 9 8 2 33 16 18 6 5 7 18 19 16 58
8 Santos 37 14 12 11 52 49 19 9 7 3 35 23 18 5 5 8 17 26 3 54
9 Athletico PR 37 14 8 15 36 36 18 8 5 5 18 13 19 6 3 10 18 23 0 50
10 Corinthians 37 13 11 13 45 45 19 8 7 4 29 23 18 5 4 9 16 22 0 50
11 Bragantino 37 12 14 11 49 40 18 9 5 4 33 19 19 3 9 7 16 21 9 50
12 Ceara 37 13 10 14 52 50 18 6 5 7 20 24 19 7 5 7 32 26 2 49
13 Atletico GO 37 11 14 12 37 44 18 5 9 4 21 20 19 6 5 8 16 24 -7 47
14 Sport Recife 37 12 6 19 31 48 19 8 2 9 19 23 18 4 4 10 12 25 -17 42
15 Bahia 37 11 8 18 46 59 18 8 2 8 25 26 19 3 6 10 21 33 -13 41
16 Fortaleza 37 10 11 16 34 42 19 8 6 5 20 15 18 2 5 11 14 27 -8 41
17 Vasco da Gama 37 9 11 17 34 54 18 6 5 7 18 19 19 3 6 10 16 35 -20 38
18 Goias 37 9 10 18 39 60 19 6 5 8 19 28 18 3 5 10 20 32 -21 37
19 Coritiba 37 7 10 20 30 51 19 4 6 9 13 19 18 3 4 11 17 32 -21 31
20 Botafogo 37 5 12 20 31 60 19 3 5 11 16 30 18 2 7 9 15 30 -29 27

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 37 21 8 8 67 46 19 11 4 4 35 23 18 10 4 4 32 23 21 71
2 Internacional 37 20 9 8 61 35 18 12 4 2 34 17 19 8 5 6 27 18 26 69
3 Atletico Mineiro 37 19 8 10 62 45 18 13 4 1 39 13 19 6 4 9 23 32 17 65
4 Sao Paulo 37 17 12 8 57 40 18 9 7 2 27 15 19 8 5 6 30 25 17 63
5 Fluminense 37 17 10 10 53 42 18 10 5 3 29 14 19 7 5 7 24 28 11 61
6 Gremio 37 14 17 6 53 39 19 10 6 3 34 23 18 4 11 3 19 16 14 59
7 Palmeiras 37 15 13 9 51 35 19 9 8 2 33 16 18 6 5 7 18 19 16 58
8 Santos 37 14 12 11 52 49 19 9 7 3 35 23 18 5 5 8 17 26 3 54
9 Athletico PR 37 14 8 15 36 36 18 8 5 5 18 13 19 6 3 10 18 23 0 50
10 Corinthians 37 13 11 13 45 45 19 8 7 4 29 23 18 5 4 9 16 22 0 50
11 Bragantino 37 12 14 11 49 40 18 9 5 4 33 19 19 3 9 7 16 21 9 50
12 Ceara 37 13 10 14 52 50 18 6 5 7 20 24 19 7 5 7 32 26 2 49
13 Atletico GO 37 11 14 12 37 44 18 5 9 4 21 20 19 6 5 8 16 24 -7 47
14 Sport Recife 37 12 6 19 31 48 19 8 2 9 19 23 18 4 4 10 12 25 -17 42
15 Bahia 37 11 8 18 46 59 18 8 2 8 25 26 19 3 6 10 21 33 -13 41
16 Fortaleza 37 10 11 16 34 42 19 8 6 5 20 15 18 2 5 11 14 27 -8 41
17 Vasco da Gama 37 9 11 17 34 54 18 6 5 7 18 19 19 3 6 10 16 35 -20 38
18 Goias 37 9 10 18 39 60 19 6 5 8 19 28 18 3 5 10 20 32 -21 37
19 Coritiba 37 7 10 20 30 51 19 4 6 9 13 19 18 3 4 11 17 32 -21 31
20 Botafogo 37 5 12 20 31 60 19 3 5 11 16 30 18 2 7 9 15 30 -29 27

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.