Paulista A3 match prediction: Little separates EC São Bernardo and Noroeste in quality

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Competition: Brazil Paulista A3
Competition: Wed 20.April
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Primeiro de Maio (17054 seats)

Get ready for a show! The starring roles are EC São Bernardo and Noroeste, a win is the target and 1 1/2 hours the length.

Insights:
  • EC São Bernardo is in the best form (4-1-1) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the fewest conceded goals (8) in Paulista A3

It's no vacation for neither Bernardo nor Noroeste as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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EC São Bernardo form and stats

The story so far in the Paulista A3 for EC São Bernardo at their home stadium (Estádio Primeiro de Maio) is 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. EC São Bernardo has won so many consecutive home games (four in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Estádio Primeiro de Maio. We remember; it was Barretos.

The EC São Bernardo regulars enjoyed the previous game, watching their team host Capivariano and win 1-0. Some amazing scenes last match, when Jemmes scored the winning goal three minutes into stoppage time.

A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Capivariano.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for EC São Bernardo as they are travelling to their away game against Marília in the Paulista A3. That match is three days after this one.

The Bernardo fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 11 in 8 matches. EC São Bernardo are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Primeiro de Maio in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 5 from 8 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Noroeste form and stats

The away team have been very comfortable on their travels so far, racking up 4 wins, 2 draws and only 1 loss in the Paulista A3.

The Noroeste goalkeeper Pablo Caique de Oliveira is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 302 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

There were no winners in Noroeste's previous match, the home game that ended 0-0 vs Marília.

Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Marília.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Noroeste playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were four Noroeste wins, three draws and two defeats.

After this away game Noroeste return home for a Paulista A3 game against Capivariano. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. The Noroeste defense is a tough nut to crack, having conceded less than half a goal per away game on average (1 goal in 7 games). It's worth mentioning that 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

These two sides played each other before this campaign: Noroeste - EC São Bernardo 0-0. EC São Bernardo-Noroeste H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: EC São Bernardo one win, Noroeste two wins, two draws. zero of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

BernardoJ. de Sena Filho
J. de Sena Filho
9 goals
NoroesteA. Capelin e Silva
A. Capelin e Silva
4 goals
NoroesteL. Martins da Silva
L. Martins da Silva
4 goals

EC São Bernardo missing players

Noroeste missing players

EC São Bernardo Noroeste
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 10 3 Played P 2 9 19
9 6 1 Won W 2 5 10
7 3 1 Drew D 0 2 5
3 1 1 Lost L 0 2 4
26 14 3 Scored S 4 7 19
16 5 2 Conceded C 0 3 10
89% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 78% 74%
68% 70% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 22% 37%
32% 10% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 11% 32%
21% 10% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 5%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
47% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 26%
47% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 100% 78% 53%
16% 10% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 44% 47%
 
5.2 6.7 6.3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.7 4.6
5.6 4.7 5.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 5.2 4.9
3 2.5 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.6 2.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
12.5 14.2 11.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 10 10.1
4.7 4.9 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 7 4.8 4.7
29% 29% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 16% 23%
 
9.4 7.7 6.3 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 10.9 9.1
3.5 2.5 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 3.8 3
Key stats in Paulista A3 this season:
  • EC São Bernardo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • EC São Bernardo have the most scored goals in the second half (19) in Paulista A3
  • EC São Bernardo have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • EC São Bernardo haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • EC São Bernardo is in the best form (4-1-1) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.
  • Noroeste have the fewest conceded goals (1) away in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the fewest conceded goals (8) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (4) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the most clean sheets (10) in Paulista A3
  • Noroeste have the most clean sheets (7) away in Paulista A3

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Comercial 15 9 4 2 28 14 7 5 1 1 14 8 8 4 3 1 14 6 14 31
2 Noroeste 15 9 3 3 18 8 8 5 1 2 12 7 7 4 2 1 6 1 10 30
3 São José EC 15 9 2 4 19 16 8 4 2 2 11 11 7 5 0 2 8 5 3 29
4 EC São Bernardo 15 7 6 2 22 14 8 4 3 1 11 5 7 3 3 1 11 9 8 27
5 Marília 15 8 3 4 15 11 8 6 1 1 9 3 7 2 2 3 6 8 4 27
6 Votuporanguense 15 6 4 5 17 13 8 5 2 1 12 5 7 1 2 4 5 8 4 22
7 USAC 15 5 6 4 15 14 7 5 1 1 9 4 8 0 5 3 6 10 1 21
8 Capivariano 15 6 3 6 20 21 7 4 2 1 13 8 8 2 1 5 7 13 -1 21
9 Bandeirante SP 15 5 4 6 19 18 7 4 1 2 9 4 8 1 3 4 10 14 1 19
10 Matonense 15 4 7 4 20 27 7 0 5 2 6 11 8 4 2 2 14 16 -7 19
11 Barretos 15 3 8 4 14 14 8 3 4 1 12 9 7 0 4 3 2 5 0 17
12 Rio Preto 15 4 4 7 11 18 7 4 2 1 9 5 8 0 2 6 2 13 -7 16
13 Desportivo Brasil 15 3 5 7 14 18 7 3 2 2 8 5 8 0 3 5 6 13 -4 14
14 Sertaozinho 15 2 7 6 11 16 8 0 5 3 6 9 7 2 2 3 5 7 -5 13
15 Nacional SP 15 2 3 10 8 17 8 1 3 4 2 7 7 1 0 6 6 10 -9 9
16 Olimpia 15 1 5 9 8 20 7 1 2 4 5 10 8 0 3 5 3 10 -12 8

Read more about Paulista A3

There are 26 state football leagues in Brazil. Because of long distances in Brazil a very competitive football culture developed within each state. Therefore, Brazil remain one of the few countries who still run state championships alongside the national ones. Most of them run from January to May, outside the national season.