Paulista A1 prediction: Palmeiras should edge out Ferroviária on their own turf

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Competition: Brazil Paulista A1
Competition: Sun 26.February
Match begins: 21:30 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Parque (43600 seats)

In total; ten fixtures are played and Palmeiras are 16 points in front of Ferroviária. What happens?

Insights:
  • Palmeiras have the fewest conceded goals (4) in Paulista A1
  • Ferroviária have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.

The hosts Palmeiras saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Paulista A1. Thankfully the previous game, versus Bragantino, was also a home game here at Allianz Parque. The away team is better rested.

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Palmeiras form and stats

The story so far in the Paulista A1 for Palmeiras at their home stadium (Allianz Parque) is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for Palmeiras, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

A nice win for Palmeiras last time playing, versus Bragantino. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-0 with Lopes and Barbosa scoring for the victors. Barbosa has beaten the opponent goalkeeper in three games in a row. Badass!

2-2 away at Corinthians before that.

Palmeiras are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 5 games. Defensively Palmeiras have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (1 in 5 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Ferroviária form and stats

The visitors are W1-D2-L2 on the road this term. That's in the Paulista A1.

The regulars enjoyed Ferroviária's previous fixture versus Guarani, a 1-0 win played at home. Eureka; their first win in the league after eight games not winning. World class coaching! That was the thoughts of manager Blumer when Veras scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 75th minute.

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Portuguesa that ended 1-1.

Ferroviária are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 6 away goals from 5 games (in the league). In the opposite end, Ferroviária have conceded 9 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Palmeiras have managed a sequence of 5 consecutive matches without defeat (3-2-0) when facing Ferroviária.

Palmeiras missing players

Ferroviária missing players

Palmeiras Ferroviária
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 0 Played P 0 5 10
7 3 0 Won W 0 1 2
3 2 0 Drew D 0 2 2
0 0 0 Lost L 0 2 6
16 7 0 Scored S 0 6 10
4 1 0 Conceded C 0 9 16
80% 60% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
60% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 80%
30% 20% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 50%
30% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 10%
30% 20% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 80% 70%
70% 80% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 10%
20% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 20%
 
7.2 8.4 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 3.8 4.7
5.4 5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 9 7.8
1.7 1.8 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 3 3.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
15.6 16 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 13.2 11.8
7.2 7.8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 4.4 3.7
22% 18% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 27% 27%
 
12.1 10 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 19.4 16.9
4.2 3 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 5.2 5.6
Key stats in Paulista A1 this season:
  • All of Ferroviária's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Ferroviária have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Ferroviária have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Ferroviária have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Ferroviária haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Palmeiras have not yet lost a game.
  • Palmeiras have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Palmeiras have the fewest conceded goals (1) at home in Paulista A1
  • Palmeiras have the fewest conceded goals (4) in Paulista A1
  • Palmeiras have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1) in Paulista A1
  • Palmeiras have the most clean sheets (4) at home in Paulista A1
  • Palmeiras have the most clean sheets (7) in Paulista A1
  • Palmeiras have the the best goal difference (+6) at home in Paulista A1

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sao Bernardo 11 8 2 1 21 8 5 3 2 0 8 3 6 5 0 1 13 5 13 26
2 Palmeiras 10 7 3 0 16 4 5 3 2 0 7 1 5 4 1 0 9 3 12 24
3 Santo Andre 10 4 2 4 8 10 5 1 2 2 3 5 5 3 0 2 5 5 -2 14
4 Portuguesa 10 1 3 6 8 17 5 1 2 2 4 4 5 0 1 4 4 13 -9 6