Paulista A1 preview: Can Mirassol edge out victory against Ponte Preta?

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Competition: Brazil Paulista A1
Competition: Sat 26.February
Match begins: 21:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (14534 seats)

Mirassol have won 10 of their 15 in total here in their own stadium fortress. Will more points be won against Ponte Preta?

Insights:
  • Mirassol have the most scored goals (15) in Paulista A1
  • Ponte Preta have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

The visiting Ponte Preta played their last game only four days ago, a Copa do Brasil match. That game, against Cascavel, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Ponte Preta.

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Mirassol form and stats

Mirassol, who have the most scored goals (15) in Paulista A1, have collected 10 points from their Paulista A1 home games so far after 3-1-0.

Happy days for Mirassol in their previous game, a fixture away at Agua Santa that ended with a 2-1 victory.

Before that game, the 3-2 home victory against Santos.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Mirassol have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won three times, drawn four and lost four.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Mirassol, as the Copa do Brasil home game vs Grêmio is only three days away.

The Mirassol manager Baptista has got the team scoring with 10 from 4 home games in the league. 5 goals have been conceded.

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Ponte Preta form and stats

The visitors are W1-D0-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Paulista A1. Recent form does not give Ponte much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. Mirassol will be a tough nut to crack.

Ponte Preta have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 244 minutes ago. Lucca was the goal scorer.

Prior to that match, the Ponte manager dos Anjos faced defeat when travelling to Guarani and losing 0-3.

Ponte Preta are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, four draws and eight defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Goals are few and far between in Ponte Preta's away league games. Only 2 goals from 4 travels. The Ponte manager dos Anjos has some worries about the defense as 9 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Mirassol victories, two draws and five Ponte Preta wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Mirassol missing players

Ponte Preta missing players

Mirassol Ponte Preta
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
8 4 0 Played P 0 4 8
4 3 0 Won W 0 1 2
3 1 0 Drew D 0 0 1
1 0 0 Lost L 0 3 5
15 10 0 Scored S 0 2 7
10 5 0 Conceded C 0 9 14
88% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
88% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 88%
75% 75% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 75% 62%
50% 75% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 12%
12% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
75% 75% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 25% 38%
25% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
12% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 75% 50%
 
6.6 8.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 5 4.6
5.8 3.8 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 3.8 5
2.2 2.2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2 2.2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12 12.5 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 8.2 8.2
5.2 6.5 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2.5 2.9
36% 38% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 20% 30%
 
11.6 10.8 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 10.5 12.4
4.1 3.2 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 4.2 4.1
Key stats in Paulista A1 this season:
  • All of Mirassol's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Ponte Preta's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Mirassol have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Mirassol have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Mirassol have scored more than double the goals of Ponte Preta.
  • Mirassol have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the fewest matches under the total-line (0) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most conceded goals (10) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most conceded goals (5) at home in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most conceded goals in the first half (6) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most points (10) at home in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most points from losing position (4) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most scored goals (10) at home in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most scored goals (15) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have the most scored goals in the first half (9) in Paulista A1
  • Mirassol have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Mirassol have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Mirassol haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Ponte Preta have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Ponte Preta have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Ponte Preta have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ponte Preta haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 6 5 1 0 10 1 3 3 0 0 5 0 3 2 1 0 5 1 9 16
2 Mirassol 8 4 3 1 15 10 4 3 1 0 10 5 4 1 2 1 5 5 5 15
3 Botafogo SP 8 3 3 2 6 7 4 0 3 1 2 4 4 3 0 1 4 3 -1 12
4 Ituano 8 3 2 3 12 9 4 3 0 1 9 4 4 0 2 2 3 5 3 11