Paulista A1 preview: Can Guarani edge out victory against Botafogo SP?

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Competition: Brazil Paulista A1
Competition: Thu 10.February
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa (32453 seats)

Guarani host Botafogo SP for another engaging Paulista A1 game here at Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa.

Insights:
  • Guarani have the most conceded goals (5) in Paulista A1

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Guarani and Botafogo SP.

D L L W W

Guarani form and stats

Only two Paulista A1 home games for Guarani so far, yet both highs and lows with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeat.

The spoils were shared in Guarani's previous game, also at home. Visiting Santos travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Mirassol (0-2).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Guarani have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won four times, drawn four and lost one.

There will be little rest for Guarani after this match as they are travelling to Novorizontino for a Paulista A1 game in only three days.

At Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa, Guarani has the goal stats of 3-2 (for/against) from 2 league fixtures.

L D W D D

Botafogo SP form and stats

Botafogo SP are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Paulista A1, having played 2 games and collected 3 points (1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss).

Botafogo SP are travelling again after losing away to Inter de Limeira in their previous match (0-3).

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Ferroviária.

We have checked recent matches where Botafogo SP have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were two victories, five draws and five defeats.

After this away game Botafogo return home for a Paulista A1 game against Agua Santa. That game is only three sleeps after this.

1 goal so far away for Botafogo SP, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 3. All from 2 league matches away.

Head 2 Head

Stats for the former ten meetings between these two participants are: five wins for Guarani, two draws and three wins for Botafogo SP. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Guarani missing players

Botafogo SP missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Guarani Botafogo SP
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
4 2 0 Played P 0 2 4
1 1 0 Won W 0 1 1
1 1 0 Drew D 0 0 2
2 0 0 Lost L 0 1 1
3 3 0 Scored S 0 1 2
5 2 0 Conceded C 0 3 4
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 75%
75% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 50%
25% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 100% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 50% 50%
50% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 50%
 
4.8 5.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 6 5.5
4 5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 13 8
1.5 2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.5 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
14 17 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 11 11
5.5 8 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 5.5 4.5
14% 19% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 9% 11%
 
12 10 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 14 9.8
5.8 4 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 5 3.8
Key stats in Paulista A1 this season:
  • Guarani have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Paulista A1
  • Guarani have the fewest clean sheets (0) in Paulista A1
  • Guarani have the most conceded goals (5) in Paulista A1
  • Guarani have the most conceded goals in the second half (3) in Paulista A1
Guarani Last season Botafogo SP
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
38 19   Played P   9 18
16 10   Won W   1 6
12 4   Drew D   4 4
10 5   Lost L   4 8
54 28   Scored S   3 15
41 17   Conceded C   9 22
92% 95%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   56% 78%
66% 74%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   22% 44%
39% 37%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   22% 44%
29% 21%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   11% 22%
16% 11%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   11% 11%
45% 37%   BTTS BTTS   11% 39%
42% 53%   Clean Sheets C S   56% 44%
21% 16%   Failed to Score F T   78% 39%
 
5.2 5.6   Corners for (avg) C F   4.4 5.7
4.9 4.1   Corners against (avg) C A   4.4 3.8
2.6 2.4   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.4 2.6
7 4   Red cards R C   1 1
 
12.9 14.3   Shots (avg) S (   9.4 10
4.8 4.8   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.7 2.9
30% 30%   Goal Efficiency G E   12% 28%
 
10.8 10.1   Shots against (avg) S A   9.8 9.1
3.7 3.5   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.9 3.6

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Corinthians 4 2 1 1 5 4 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 0 0 4 2 1 7
2 Inter de Limeira 4 1 2 1 6 4 2 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 1 3 4 2 5
3 Guarani 4 1 1 2 3 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 0 3 -2 4
4 Agua Santa 4 1 0 3 1 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 3
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 38 20 10 8 56 31 19 15 2 2 39 13 19 5 8 6 17 18 25 70
2 Goias 38 17 14 7 48 31 19 10 7 2 30 16 19 7 7 5 18 15 17 65
3 Coritiba 38 18 10 10 49 35 19 11 5 3 29 14 19 7 5 7 20 21 14 64
4 Avaí 38 18 10 10 44 35 19 10 6 3 24 14 19 8 4 7 20 21 9 64
5 CSA 38 18 8 12 48 33 19 9 6 4 28 15 19 9 2 8 20 18 15 62
6 Guarani 38 16 12 10 54 41 19 10 4 5 28 17 19 6 8 5 26 24 13 60
7 CRB 38 16 12 10 47 39 19 8 9 2 26 17 19 8 3 8 21 22 8 60
8 Nautico 38 14 11 13 50 50 19 8 6 5 30 25 19 6 5 8 20 25 0 53
9 Vila Nova 38 12 15 11 35 36 19 6 10 3 13 11 19 6 5 8 22 25 -1 51
10 Vasco da Gama 38 13 10 15 43 52 19 9 4 6 25 24 19 4 6 9 18 28 -9 49
11 Ponte Preta 38 12 13 13 39 40 19 9 7 3 26 17 19 3 6 10 13 23 -1 49
12 Operário PR 38 13 9 16 35 46 19 9 4 6 22 21 19 4 5 10 13 25 -11 48
13 Cruzeiro 38 10 18 10 42 44 19 5 10 4 24 24 19 5 8 6 18 20 -2 48
14 Sampaio Correa 38 12 11 15 41 42 19 9 5 5 25 16 19 3 6 10 16 26 -1 47
15 Brusque 38 13 9 16 44 56 19 9 5 5 25 16 19 4 4 11 19 40 -12 45
16 Londrina 38 11 11 16 31 41 19 6 5 8 17 19 19 5 6 8 14 22 -10 44
17 Remo 38 11 10 17 31 42 19 7 4 8 11 13 19 4 6 9 20 29 -11 43
18 Vitoria 38 8 16 14 31 32 19 5 7 7 18 14 19 3 9 7 13 18 -1 40
19 Confianca 38 9 10 19 35 48 19 6 3 10 20 25 19 3 7 9 15 23 -13 37
20 Brasil de Pelotas 38 4 11 23 23 52 19 4 6 9 14 21 19 0 5 14 9 31 -29 23

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Corinthians 4 2 1 1 5 4 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 0 0 4 2 1 7
2 Inter de Limeira 4 1 2 1 6 4 2 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 1 1 3 4 2 5
3 Guarani 4 1 1 2 3 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 0 0 2 0 3 -2 4
4 Agua Santa 4 1 0 3 1 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 3

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