Home advantage could prove decisive in Botafogo SP - Novorizontino battle

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Competition: Brazil Paulista A1
Competition: Sun 13.March
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Santa Cruz (29292 seats)

Paulista A1: We're looking at an appealing and important match involving Botafogo SP and Novorizontino at Estádio Santa Cruz. Both teams need the win!

Insights:
  • Botafogo SP have the fewest scored goals (7) in Paulista A1
  • Novorizontino have yet to win a game.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Botafogo SP form and stats

When playing at home in the Paulista A1, Botafogo SP, who have the fewest scored goals (7) in Paulista A1, have managed 1 win, 3 draws and suffered 1 defeat from 5 games.

The regulars are hoping that Botafogo SP will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the game against Bragantino.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Sao Bernardo in a game that was won 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Botafogo SP have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won four times, drawn three and lost zero.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Botafogo SP here at Estádio Santa Cruz in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (3 from 5 games). Botafogo are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Santa Cruz in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 4 from 5 matches.

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Novorizontino form and stats

Playing away, Novorizontino have won 0 games, drawn 2 and suffered 3 defeats in the Paulista A1 this season. Novorizontino are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Manaus fixture.

This fixture can not go any worse than the last one, the home loss versus Inter de Limeira with 1-2 on the scoreboard.

We have checked recent matches where Novorizontino have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were one victory, one draw and two defeats.

Novorizontino are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 2 goals from 5 away games. As opposed to that, Novorizontino have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Last eight meetings involving these sides: Botafogo SP won three, Novorizontino were winners in three and we saw two draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with under 2,5 goals.

Botafogo SP missing players

Novorizontino missing players

Botafogo SP Novorizontino
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
10 5 0 Played P 1 5 10
4 1 0 Won W 0 0 0
3 3 0 Drew D 0 2 3
3 1 0 Lost L 1 3 7
7 3 0 Scored S 0 2 4
9 4 0 Conceded C 2 7 16
90% 80% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 80%
60% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 60% 70%
10% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 20% 40%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 10%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
20% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 20% 30%
50% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 20%
40% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 80% 70%
 
5 5.8 0 Corners for (avg) C F 8 9 7.4
7 3.8 0 Corners against (avg) C A 5 4.6 4.4
1.3 1.2 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.2 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
10.9 11.4 0 Shots (avg) S ( 6 12.6 11.9
3.6 3.2 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 3.6 4
19% 19% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 11% 10%
 
10.4 7 0 Shots against (avg) S A 12 9 10.7
3.5 2.4 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 4.2 4.5
Key stats in Paulista A1 this season:
  • Botafogo SP have the fewest points (6) at home in Paulista A1
  • Botafogo SP have the fewest scored goals (3) at home in Paulista A1
  • Botafogo SP have the fewest scored goals (7) in Paulista A1
  • Botafogo SP have the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in Paulista A1
  • Botafogo SP have the the worst goal difference (-1) at home in Paulista A1
  • Botafogo SP have the the worst goal difference (-2) in Paulista A1
  • Novorizontino have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Novorizontino have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Novorizontino have yet to win a game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 9 7 2 0 13 1 4 4 0 0 7 0 5 3 2 0 6 1 12 23
2 Mirassol 11 4 5 2 17 15 6 3 2 1 11 9 5 1 3 1 6 6 2 17
3 Ituano 10 4 3 3 15 10 5 4 0 1 12 5 5 0 3 2 3 5 5 15
4 Botafogo SP 10 4 3 3 7 9 5 1 3 1 3 4 5 3 0 2 4 5 -2 15