Copa do Nordeste: Buckle up for the Fortaleza - Ceará clash

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Competition: Brazil Copa do Nordeste
Competition: Thu 30.March
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (67000 seats)

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Fortaleza & Ceará face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the Copa do Nordeste. All the pre-match information is available here!

There's local pride at stake here, as these teams are practically neighbours. Expect lots of passion from both players and supporters.

It's no vacation for neither Fortaleza nor Ceará as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Fortaleza form and stats

On the other hand, in the Copa do Nordeste, Fortaleza has performed like this (both home and away): 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper not having conceded a league goal in 253 minutes.

The Fortaleza regulars got no joy from their last match, a Copa do Nordeste duel also played here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo: A 1-2 defeat against Ceará.

A win at home ahead of that game, as predicted. The team were huge favourites against Ferroviario and won 4-0. The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Fortaleza matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (from 5 games).

The Fortaleza fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 24 in 19 matches. From these home matches, Fortaleza have conceded only 13 goals.

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Ceará form and stats

Ceará was sent out of Copa do Nordeste in the quarter-finals last season.

Ceará have only collected 17 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 3-8-8 (19 played). Total Copa do Nordeste statistics for Ceará: 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

Two travels in a row for Ceará, whose coach Vázquez could celebrate last time after the Copa do Nordeste win against Fortaleza.

Before that match, the win at home hosting Sergipe in the Copa do Nordeste (3-1). As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Ceará playing away, we found 7 games. Results were 2 away wins, 2 draws and 3 home wins.

The visitors have scored 14 goals from 19 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

As it happens, the last time Ceará kept a "clean sheet" was also versus this opposition, five league matches ago (Ceará - Fortaleza 2-0). H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Fortaleza three wins, one draw and Ceará six victories. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six games had two or less.

Fortaleza missing players

Ceará missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Fortaleza Ceará
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 14   Played P   13 25
15 11   Won W   4 15
3 1   Drew D   4 4
7 2   Lost L   5 6
51 37   Scored S   20 51
20 6   Conceded C   17 26
96% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 100%
84% 79%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   92% 92%
56% 57%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   46% 56%
28% 36%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   15% 32%
8% 14%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   15% 20%
32% 29%   BTTS BTTS   54% 56%
52% 64%   Clean Sheets C S   15% 24%
20% 7%   Failed to Score F T   31% 20%
 
5.4 5.7   Corners for (avg) C F   6.1 5.7
3.5 2.4   Corners against (avg) C A   4.7 4.6
1.7 1.7   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   3.3 3
1 1   Red cards R C   0 2
 
15.3 17.1   Shots (avg) S (   11.9 12
6 7.6   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4.4 4.8
34% 35%   Goal Efficiency G E   28% 38%
 
8.7 7.5   Shots against (avg) S A   11 10.8
2.6 2.1   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.7 3.4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 38 23 12 3 66 27 19 13 4 2 39 12 19 10 8 1 27 15 39 81
2 Internacional 38 20 13 5 58 31 19 13 5 1 40 14 19 7 8 4 18 17 27 73
3 Fluminense 38 21 7 10 63 41 19 12 3 4 39 20 19 9 4 6 24 21 22 70
4 Corinthians 38 18 11 9 44 36 19 12 4 3 24 11 19 6 7 6 20 25 8 65
5 Flamengo 38 18 8 12 60 39 19 11 3 5 37 15 19 7 5 7 23 24 21 62
6 Atletico Mineiro 38 15 13 10 45 37 19 8 5 6 25 18 19 7 8 4 20 19 8 58
7 Atletico PR 38 16 10 12 48 48 19 11 6 2 31 17 19 5 4 10 17 31 0 58
8 Fortaleza 38 15 10 13 46 39 19 7 8 4 24 13 19 8 2 9 22 26 7 55
9 Sao Paulo 38 13 15 10 55 42 19 8 6 5 32 21 19 5 9 5 23 21 13 54
10 America Mineiro 38 15 8 15 40 40 19 9 4 6 22 18 19 6 4 9 18 22 0 53
11 Botafogo 38 15 8 15 41 43 19 6 4 9 18 19 19 9 4 6 23 24 -2 53
12 Santos 38 12 11 15 44 41 19 8 5 6 28 19 19 4 6 9 16 22 3 47
13 Goiás 38 11 13 14 40 53 19 6 8 5 20 22 19 5 5 9 20 31 -13 46
14 Bragantino 38 11 11 16 49 59 19 8 5 6 29 23 19 3 6 10 20 36 -10 44
15 Coritiba 38 12 6 20 39 60 19 11 4 4 25 16 19 1 2 16 14 44 -21 42
16 Cuiabá 38 10 11 17 31 42 19 6 8 5 17 15 19 4 3 12 14 27 -11 41
17 Ceará 38 7 16 15 34 41 19 4 8 7 20 22 19 3 8 8 14 19 -7 37
18 Atletico GO 38 8 12 18 39 57 19 6 5 8 22 23 19 2 7 10 17 34 -18 36
19 Avai 38 9 8 21 34 60 19 7 4 8 24 26 19 2 4 13 10 34 -26 35
20 Juventude 38 3 13 22 29 69 19 2 9 8 18 27 19 1 4 14 11 42 -40 22

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 38 23 12 3 66 27 19 13 4 2 39 12 19 10 8 1 27 15 39 81
2 Internacional 38 20 13 5 58 31 19 13 5 1 40 14 19 7 8 4 18 17 27 73
3 Fluminense 38 21 7 10 63 41 19 12 3 4 39 20 19 9 4 6 24 21 22 70
4 Corinthians 38 18 11 9 44 36 19 12 4 3 24 11 19 6 7 6 20 25 8 65
5 Flamengo 38 18 8 12 60 39 19 11 3 5 37 15 19 7 5 7 23 24 21 62
6 Atletico Mineiro 38 15 13 10 45 37 19 8 5 6 25 18 19 7 8 4 20 19 8 58
7 Atletico PR 38 16 10 12 48 48 19 11 6 2 31 17 19 5 4 10 17 31 0 58
8 Fortaleza 38 15 10 13 46 39 19 7 8 4 24 13 19 8 2 9 22 26 7 55
9 Sao Paulo 38 13 15 10 55 42 19 8 6 5 32 21 19 5 9 5 23 21 13 54
10 America Mineiro 38 15 8 15 40 40 19 9 4 6 22 18 19 6 4 9 18 22 0 53
11 Botafogo 38 15 8 15 41 43 19 6 4 9 18 19 19 9 4 6 23 24 -2 53
12 Santos 38 12 11 15 44 41 19 8 5 6 28 19 19 4 6 9 16 22 3 47
13 Goiás 38 11 13 14 40 53 19 6 8 5 20 22 19 5 5 9 20 31 -13 46
14 Bragantino 38 11 11 16 49 59 19 8 5 6 29 23 19 3 6 10 20 36 -10 44
15 Coritiba 38 12 6 20 39 60 19 11 4 4 25 16 19 1 2 16 14 44 -21 42
16 Cuiabá 38 10 11 17 31 42 19 6 8 5 17 15 19 4 3 12 14 27 -11 41
17 Ceará 38 7 16 15 34 41 19 4 8 7 20 22 19 3 8 8 14 19 -7 37
18 Atletico GO 38 8 12 18 39 57 19 6 5 8 22 23 19 2 7 10 17 34 -18 36
19 Avai 38 9 8 21 34 60 19 7 4 8 24 26 19 2 4 13 10 34 -26 35
20 Juventude 38 3 13 22 29 69 19 2 9 8 18 27 19 1 4 14 11 42 -40 22

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There are 26 state football leagues in Brazil. Because of long distances in Brazil a very competitive football culture developed within each state. Therefore, Brazil remain one of the few countries who still run state championships alongside the national ones. Most of them run from January to May, outside the national season.