Copa do Nordeste: Bahia - Sport Recife prediction and detailed statistics

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Competition: Brazil Copa do Nordeste
Competition: Sat 05.March
Match begins: 20:45 (UTC)
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova (48000 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Bahia or Sport Recife that keep their silverware dream alive.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Bahia and Sport Recife.

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Bahia form and stats

Last season their Copa do Nordeste adventure ended in the final against Ceará.

8 victories, 5 draws and 6 defeats. That’s what Bahia have to build on here at Arena Fonte Nova in the Serie A. On the other hand, in the Copa do Nordeste, Bahia has performed like this (both home and away): 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses.

Bahia drew their last game, also a home match. Sport Recife was the opponent, 0-0 the score.

A Baiano 1 defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Atletico Alagoinhas.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Bahia have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won three times, drawn two and lost two.

Bahia has scored 27 league goals at home this season, in 19 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Bahia's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 22 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Sport Recife form and stats

Last season their Copa do Nordeste adventure ended in the group stage.

There's been little loot from Sport Recife's travels as they have only collected 16 points from 19 away games in the Serie A. Sport Recife only have 4 wins to counter their 11 defeats and 4 draws. When we have look at the Copa do Nordeste statistics, we find 2W-3D-2L. This is both home and away.

Sport Recife has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Bahia for a 0-0 draw.

Sport Recife are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, two draws and two defeats. From a total of five matches.

The attacking power of Recife when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 19 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Sport Recife have seen the ball go into their own net 24 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Last ten meetings involving these sides: Bahia won three, Sport Recife triumphed in seven and we saw zero draws. three games with over 2,5 goals, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BahiaH. Rodallega Martínez
H. Rodallega Martínez
6 goals
BahiaM. Cirino da Silva
M. Cirino da Silva
2 goals
Sport RecifeLuciano
Luciano
2 goals

Bahia missing players

Sport Recife missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Bahia Sport Recife
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 13   Played P   12 25
7 6   Won W   1 7
8 5   Drew D   3 8
10 2   Lost L   8 10
30 19   Scored S   4 29
28 8   Conceded C   14 27
88% 85%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   75% 88%
68% 62%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   42% 60%
44% 23%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   33% 36%
24% 23%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   0% 20%
8% 15%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 12%
52% 38%   BTTS BTTS   25% 44%
32% 54%   Clean Sheets C S   33% 32%
28% 23%   Failed to Score F T   67% 36%
 
6 7.4   Corners for (avg) C F   4 4.8
4.2 3.9   Corners against (avg) C A   7 5.5
2 1.5   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.8 2.5
8 3   Red cards R C   2 3
 
12.9 15.1   Shots (avg) S (   10.6 12.2
4.4 5.5   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.8 3.8
27% 26%   Goal Efficiency G E   12% 30%
 
11.1 8.2   Shots against (avg) S A   15 11.7
3.2 2.2   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   5.1 3.8

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 38 26 6 6 67 34 19 17 1 1 42 13 19 9 5 5 25 21 33 84
2 Flamengo 38 21 8 9 69 36 19 13 1 5 31 15 19 8 7 4 38 21 33 71
3 Palmeiras 38 20 6 12 58 43 19 11 3 5 33 26 19 9 3 7 25 17 15 66
4 Fortaleza 38 17 7 14 44 45 19 11 4 4 26 19 19 6 3 10 18 26 -1 58
5 Corinthians 38 15 12 11 40 36 19 10 5 4 26 18 19 5 7 7 14 18 4 57
6 Bragantino 38 14 14 10 55 46 19 7 9 3 28 20 19 7 5 7 27 26 9 56
7 Fluminense 38 15 9 14 38 38 19 11 5 3 24 14 19 4 4 11 14 24 0 54
8 America Mineiro 38 13 14 11 41 37 19 9 6 4 22 11 19 4 8 7 19 26 4 53
9 Atletico GO 38 13 14 11 33 36 19 6 10 3 17 14 19 7 4 8 16 22 -3 53
10 Santos 38 12 14 12 35 40 19 9 6 4 21 14 19 3 8 8 14 26 -5 50
11 Ceará 38 11 17 10 39 38 19 10 7 2 24 14 19 1 10 8 15 24 1 50
12 Internacional 38 12 12 14 44 42 19 8 6 5 29 22 19 4 6 9 15 20 2 48
13 Sao Paulo 38 11 15 12 31 39 19 7 9 3 18 15 19 4 6 9 13 24 -8 48
14 Atletico PR 38 13 8 17 41 45 19 8 5 6 23 21 19 5 3 11 18 24 -4 47
15 Cuiaba 38 10 17 11 34 37 19 7 6 6 18 20 19 3 11 5 16 17 -3 47
16 Juventude 38 11 13 14 36 44 19 9 6 4 19 15 19 2 7 10 17 29 -8 46
17 Gremio 38 12 7 19 44 51 19 8 6 5 29 21 19 4 1 14 15 30 -7 43
18 Bahia 38 11 10 17 42 51 19 8 5 6 27 22 19 3 5 11 15 29 -9 43
19 Sport Recife 38 9 11 18 24 37 19 5 7 7 13 13 19 4 4 11 11 24 -13 38
20 Chapecoense 38 1 12 25 27 67 19 0 6 13 13 32 19 1 6 12 14 35 -40 15

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 38 26 6 6 67 34 19 17 1 1 42 13 19 9 5 5 25 21 33 84
2 Flamengo 38 21 8 9 69 36 19 13 1 5 31 15 19 8 7 4 38 21 33 71
3 Palmeiras 38 20 6 12 58 43 19 11 3 5 33 26 19 9 3 7 25 17 15 66
4 Fortaleza 38 17 7 14 44 45 19 11 4 4 26 19 19 6 3 10 18 26 -1 58
5 Corinthians 38 15 12 11 40 36 19 10 5 4 26 18 19 5 7 7 14 18 4 57
6 Bragantino 38 14 14 10 55 46 19 7 9 3 28 20 19 7 5 7 27 26 9 56
7 Fluminense 38 15 9 14 38 38 19 11 5 3 24 14 19 4 4 11 14 24 0 54
8 America Mineiro 38 13 14 11 41 37 19 9 6 4 22 11 19 4 8 7 19 26 4 53
9 Atletico GO 38 13 14 11 33 36 19 6 10 3 17 14 19 7 4 8 16 22 -3 53
10 Santos 38 12 14 12 35 40 19 9 6 4 21 14 19 3 8 8 14 26 -5 50
11 Ceará 38 11 17 10 39 38 19 10 7 2 24 14 19 1 10 8 15 24 1 50
12 Internacional 38 12 12 14 44 42 19 8 6 5 29 22 19 4 6 9 15 20 2 48
13 Sao Paulo 38 11 15 12 31 39 19 7 9 3 18 15 19 4 6 9 13 24 -8 48
14 Atletico PR 38 13 8 17 41 45 19 8 5 6 23 21 19 5 3 11 18 24 -4 47
15 Cuiaba 38 10 17 11 34 37 19 7 6 6 18 20 19 3 11 5 16 17 -3 47
16 Juventude 38 11 13 14 36 44 19 9 6 4 19 15 19 2 7 10 17 29 -8 46
17 Gremio 38 12 7 19 44 51 19 8 6 5 29 21 19 4 1 14 15 30 -7 43
18 Bahia 38 11 10 17 42 51 19 8 5 6 27 22 19 3 5 11 15 29 -9 43
19 Sport Recife 38 9 11 18 24 37 19 5 7 7 13 13 19 4 4 11 11 24 -13 38
20 Chapecoense 38 1 12 25 27 67 19 0 6 13 13 32 19 1 6 12 14 35 -40 15

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There are 26 state football leagues in Brazil. Because of long distances in Brazil a very competitive football culture developed within each state. Therefore, Brazil remain one of the few countries who still run state championships alongside the national ones. Most of them run from January to May, outside the national season.