Copa do Brasil betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Náutico - Vila Nova game

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Competition: Brazil Copa do Brasil
Competition: Thu 09.March
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (19800 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Náutico or Vila Nova that keep their silverware dream alive.

It's quite the trip for Vila Nova when visiting Náutico as the cities are 2300 kilometers apart.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Náutico form and stats

Action has already taken place for Náutico in Copa do Brasil as they have defeated Sao Bernardo to reach the 2nd Round. Last season their Copa do Brasil adventure ended in the 1st round.

The complete Serie B statistics playing at home this season for Náutico are 6-4-9 (wins-draws-losses).

Brito was the last player to score a league goal for Náutico and it's becoming a more and more distant memory as Náutico haven't scored in 422 minutes.

Náutico's previous fixture was also a home event, the defeat 0-2 versus Sport Recife (in Copa do Nordeste).

Before that, a nice away victory at Sao Bernardo. A Copa do Brasil game. This is expected to be a close game, with Náutico perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Náutico as a small favourite), we find 9 games. Náutico has won 1 of these, drawn 4 and lost 4.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Salgueiro are coming to town in three days.

Náutico are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 24 goals in 19 games. On the other hand, Náutico have conceded 27 goals.

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Vila Nova form and stats

The traveling awayteam has defeated Real Noroeste in order to reach 2nd round of Copa do Brasil. They also participated in Copa do Brasil last season. This ended in the 3rd round.

There's been little loot from Vila Nova's travels as they have only collected 18 points from 19 away games in the Serie B. Vila Nova only have 3 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 9 draws.

Vila aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 223 league minutes without a goal. Pessoa was the last player to find the net.

Vila Nova have lots to to set right after their surprise loss (0-1) to Anapolis in their previous game, played in front of their own supporters.

Before that, 1-1 away against Real Noroeste in the Copa do Brasil. So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Vila Nova playing away and similar expectations, we found 15 relevant matches. Results were 4 Vila wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats.

The attacking power of Vila Nova when travelling is not overwhelming with 15 goals scored from 19 league matches away. As opposed to that, Vila Nova have seen the ball go into their own net 22 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Data for the last ten meetings featuring these two squads are: six wins for Náutico, zero draws and four wins for Vila Nova. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games. The games between these clubs sometimes lean towards being a bit wild, having seen 6 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Náutico missing players

Vila Nova missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Náutico Vila Nova
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 11   Played P   11 25
8 4   Won W   1 8
5 3   Drew D   8 14
12 4   Lost L   2 3
30 15   Scored S   7 25
42 16   Conceded C   7 13
96% 91%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   73% 72%
72% 82%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   55% 52%
52% 45%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   0% 24%
32% 36%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   0% 4%
20% 9%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 0%
48% 36%   BTTS BTTS   45% 36%
28% 36%   Clean Sheets C S   36% 52%
28% 36%   Failed to Score F T   45% 40%
 
4.6 5.8   Corners for (avg) C F   5.5 5.9
4.9 4.8   Corners against (avg) C A   5.3 4.4
2.8 2.5   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.1 1.6
2 1   Red cards R C   1 1
 
10 11.9   Shots (avg) S (   9.1 11.1
3.5 3.6   Shots on Target (avg) S O   2.6 3.6
36% 42%   Goal Efficiency G E   24% 27%
 
14.7 12.7   Shots against (avg) S A   8.9 7.5
5.7 5.1   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   2.2 2.1

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cruzeiro 38 23 9 6 57 26 19 15 3 1 32 8 19 8 6 5 25 18 31 78
2 Gremio 38 17 14 7 50 26 19 14 3 2 37 10 19 3 11 5 13 16 24 65
3 Vasco da Gama 38 17 11 10 48 36 19 12 6 1 32 10 19 5 5 9 16 26 12 64
4 Bahia 38 17 11 10 43 29 19 12 5 2 29 11 19 5 6 8 14 18 14 62
5 Sampaio Corrêa 38 16 10 12 48 42 19 14 4 1 37 15 19 2 6 11 11 27 6 58
6 Ituano 38 15 12 11 42 34 19 10 6 3 23 10 19 5 6 8 19 24 8 57
7 Criciuma 38 14 14 10 43 31 19 11 5 3 26 9 19 3 9 7 17 22 12 56
8 Sport Recife 38 15 12 11 37 31 19 13 5 1 29 8 19 2 7 10 8 23 6 56
9 Londrina 38 14 11 13 36 37 19 8 7 4 23 19 19 6 4 9 13 18 -1 53
10 Guarani 38 13 12 13 33 36 19 9 6 4 16 12 19 4 6 9 17 24 -3 51
11 CRB 38 13 11 14 35 43 19 8 8 3 21 15 19 5 3 11 14 28 -8 50
12 Ponte Preta 38 12 13 13 34 36 19 8 7 4 19 13 19 4 6 9 15 23 -2 49
13 Vila Nova 38 9 20 9 28 31 19 6 11 2 13 9 19 3 9 7 15 22 -3 47
14 Chapecoense 38 11 12 15 37 39 19 7 6 6 23 21 19 4 6 9 14 18 -2 45
15 Tombense 38 10 15 13 38 47 19 9 9 1 24 13 19 1 6 12 14 34 -9 45
16 Novorizontino 38 11 11 16 44 49 19 8 6 5 28 21 19 3 5 11 16 28 -5 44
17 CSA 38 9 15 14 29 37 19 7 8 4 19 14 19 2 7 10 10 23 -8 42
18 Brusque 38 8 10 20 21 38 19 6 6 7 14 15 19 2 4 13 7 23 -17 34
19 Operario PR 38 7 13 18 31 53 19 6 6 7 18 19 19 1 7 11 13 34 -22 34
20 Náutico 38 8 6 24 32 65 19 6 4 9 24 27 19 2 2 15 8 38 -33 30

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cruzeiro 38 23 9 6 57 26 19 15 3 1 32 8 19 8 6 5 25 18 31 78
2 Gremio 38 17 14 7 50 26 19 14 3 2 37 10 19 3 11 5 13 16 24 65
3 Vasco da Gama 38 17 11 10 48 36 19 12 6 1 32 10 19 5 5 9 16 26 12 64
4 Bahia 38 17 11 10 43 29 19 12 5 2 29 11 19 5 6 8 14 18 14 62
5 Sampaio Corrêa 38 16 10 12 48 42 19 14 4 1 37 15 19 2 6 11 11 27 6 58
6 Ituano 38 15 12 11 42 34 19 10 6 3 23 10 19 5 6 8 19 24 8 57
7 Criciuma 38 14 14 10 43 31 19 11 5 3 26 9 19 3 9 7 17 22 12 56
8 Sport Recife 38 15 12 11 37 31 19 13 5 1 29 8 19 2 7 10 8 23 6 56
9 Londrina 38 14 11 13 36 37 19 8 7 4 23 19 19 6 4 9 13 18 -1 53
10 Guarani 38 13 12 13 33 36 19 9 6 4 16 12 19 4 6 9 17 24 -3 51
11 CRB 38 13 11 14 35 43 19 8 8 3 21 15 19 5 3 11 14 28 -8 50
12 Ponte Preta 38 12 13 13 34 36 19 8 7 4 19 13 19 4 6 9 15 23 -2 49
13 Vila Nova 38 9 20 9 28 31 19 6 11 2 13 9 19 3 9 7 15 22 -3 47
14 Chapecoense 38 11 12 15 37 39 19 7 6 6 23 21 19 4 6 9 14 18 -2 45
15 Tombense 38 10 15 13 38 47 19 9 9 1 24 13 19 1 6 12 14 34 -9 45
16 Novorizontino 38 11 11 16 44 49 19 8 6 5 28 21 19 3 5 11 16 28 -5 44
17 CSA 38 9 15 14 29 37 19 7 8 4 19 14 19 2 7 10 10 23 -8 42
18 Brusque 38 8 10 20 21 38 19 6 6 7 14 15 19 2 4 13 7 23 -17 34
19 Operario PR 38 7 13 18 31 53 19 6 6 7 18 19 19 1 7 11 13 34 -22 34
20 Náutico 38 8 6 24 32 65 19 6 4 9 24 27 19 2 2 15 8 38 -33 30

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