Copa do Brasil betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Fortaleza - São Paulo game

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Competition: Brazil Copa do Brasil
Competition: Thu 16.September
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas (67000 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Fortaleza or São Paulo that keep their silverware dream alive.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Fortaleza and São Paulo.

São Paulo have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 3000 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Fortaleza form and stats

Fortaleza was eliminated in the 8th finals last season in the Copa do Brasil. São Paulo was too strong.

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas as Fortaleza have scored 17 goals to get 21 points from 10 games. The overall stats in the Serie A are 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses). This match is a Copa do Brasil match, and the hometeam has the total statistics 5 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in this competition.

The Fortaleza crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-2 to Atlético Mineiro here at Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas in a Serie A match. Lucas Crispim (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.41/10. Crispim dribled passed the opponent 2 of 3 times and had 48 successful passes (of 51 total).

Prior to that, an away loss at Bahia in the Serie A.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Fortaleza have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won three, drawn five and lost three.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Fortaleza as they are travelling to their away game against Internacional in the Serie A. That match is four days after this one.

A decent goal production from Fortaleza in their home games so far, with 17 goals from 10 league matches. From these home matches, Fortaleza have conceded only 7 goals.

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São Paulo form and stats

Paulo was sent out of Copa do Brasil in the semi-finals last season, when Grêmio turned out to be too strong.

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, São Paulo have produced an overall stat of 3-3-5 so far. When we have look at the Copa do Brasil statistics, we find 3W-1D-1L. This is both home and away.

Two away games in a row for São Paulo, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus Fluminense in the Serie A. Defender Léo was the best team player with a rating of 7.82. Léo hit one key pass and won 11 of 16 duels.

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Juventude.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by São Paulo in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Paulo, two draws and two defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Paulo are hosting Atletico GO in the Serie A only four days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Paulo as they have only managed to score 9 times from 11 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Paulo have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

These competitors have met before this season: São Paulo - Fortaleza 2-2. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's two Fortaleza victories, four draws and four São Paulo wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

FortalezaR. dos Santos Fernandes
R. dos Santos Fernandes
7 goals
FortalezaG. Souza Lisboa
G. Souza Lisboa
5 goals
FortalezaD. Correia da Fonseca
D. Correia da Fonseca
4 goals

Fortaleza missing players

São Paulo missing players

Fortaleza São Paulo
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   13 25
12 7   Won W   5 9
8 4   Drew D   3 9
5 1   Lost L   5 7
38 20   Scored S   14 36
26 9   Conceded C   18 30
88% 92%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   92% 92%
68% 67%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   77% 76%
48% 33%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   46% 44%
28% 25%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   15% 20%
16% 17%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   8% 8%
56% 50%   BTTS BTTS   54% 60%
40% 42%   Clean Sheets C S   23% 24%
16% 17%   Failed to Score F T   31% 24%
 
4.2 3.9   Corners for (avg) C F   4.8 5.2
5.1 3.7   Corners against (avg) C A   4.4 4.2
2.6 2.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   3.1 2.5
2 1   Red cards R C   2 4
 
15 15.2   Shots (avg) S (   10.8 11.6
4.9 4.2   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4 4.8
31% 40%   Goal Efficiency G E   27% 30%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Mineiro 19 13 3 3 29 13 8 6 1 1 16 5 11 7 2 2 13 8 16 42
2 Palmeiras 19 11 2 6 30 23 11 7 1 3 20 16 8 4 1 3 10 7 7 35
3 Flamengo 17 11 1 5 35 17 9 6 0 3 16 11 8 5 1 2 19 6 18 34
4 Fortaleza 20 9 6 5 29 22 10 6 3 1 17 7 10 3 3 4 12 15 7 33
5 Bragantino 19 8 8 3 30 21 10 2 6 2 15 14 9 6 2 1 15 7 9 32
6 Corinthians 20 7 8 5 19 17 9 2 3 4 10 12 11 5 5 1 9 5 2 29
7 Fluminense 20 7 7 6 20 21 10 4 4 2 10 9 10 3 3 4 10 12 -1 28
8 Cuiaba 20 6 9 5 21 20 10 3 3 4 11 13 10 3 6 1 10 7 1 27
9 Atletico GO 19 6 8 5 16 18 10 2 6 2 7 8 9 4 2 3 9 10 -2 26
10 Athletico PR 19 7 3 9 23 23 9 4 3 2 12 10 10 3 0 7 11 13 0 24
11 Ceara 19 5 9 5 19 21 9 5 3 1 14 8 10 0 6 4 5 13 -2 24
12 Internacional 18 5 8 5 22 22 8 2 3 3 9 10 10 3 5 2 13 12 0 23
13 Santos 20 5 8 7 20 25 11 4 5 2 11 9 9 1 3 5 9 16 -5 23
14 Juventude 20 5 8 7 17 23 11 4 3 4 10 13 9 1 5 3 7 10 -6 23
15 Bahia 20 6 4 10 24 32 10 4 1 5 14 16 10 2 3 5 10 16 -8 22
16 São Paulo 19 5 7 7 16 22 8 2 4 2 7 7 11 3 3 5 9 15 -6 22
17 America Mineiro 19 5 6 8 17 22 11 4 3 4 9 7 8 1 3 4 8 15 -5 21
18 Grêmio 18 5 4 9 14 18 10 3 4 3 9 7 8 2 0 6 5 11 -4 19
19 Sport Recife 19 3 8 8 8 14 9 1 4 4 2 5 10 2 4 4 6 9 -6 17
20 Chapecoense 20 1 7 12 17 32 9 0 2 7 5 15 11 1 5 5 12 17 -15 10