Carioca 1 prediction: Bangu should edge out Flamengo on their own turf

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Competition: Brazil Carioca 1
Competition: Fri 19.June
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio João Francisco dos Santos (25000 seats)

The Carioca 1 league table might not tell the truth so early on, but it's the best truth we have so far. Bangu and Flamengo are placed 3rd and 1st respectively.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1100 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Bangu form and stats

Bangu have played 1 Carioca 1 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 1-0-0 (wins-draws-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Bangu after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Bangu manager E. Allax Scherpel and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Botafogo (placed 4th) in the Carioca 1. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Boavista.

Rhainer was able to secure the draw 1-1 in the game against Botafogo after coming on as a substitute and scoring the final goal. In the starting lineup today?

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Cabofriense are coming to town in two days.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Bangu at home in the league. 1 on target and 0 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

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Flamengo form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the most scored goals (9) in Carioca 1, on their Carioca 1 travels is 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats. Impressively, the visitors are on a seven-match winning run which they hope continue versus Bangu. Flamengo has been amazing away for a time now, winning five in a row on their travels. The last time they went home with a point loss was against Macae.

G. De Arrascaeta scored in Flamengo's previous match, the home game against Portuguesa RJ that ended 2-1. That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Barcelona in the Copa Libertadores.

Late drama in the previous game, when G. De Arrascaeta scored the winning goal one minutes into stoppage time to defeat Portuguesa RJ.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Flamengo as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were one away win, zero draws and zero defeats. The outsiders lost zero of these games by at least two goals.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Flamengo manager J. Pinheiro de Jesus as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Fluminense.

Flamengo have the goal stats of 4-1 (for/against) from 1 business trip in the league at this early stage of the season.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: zero - one - nine (Bangu wins - draws - Flamengo wins). As for goals, nine matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

BanguJ. Silva Almeida
J. Silva Almeida
3 goals
BanguF. dos Santos Dias
F. dos Santos Dias
1 goals
BanguR. Pires França
R. Pires França
1 goals

Bangu missing players

Flamengo missing players

Bangu Flamengo
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
9 4 0 Played P 0 6 11
2 2 0 Won W 0 5 9
4 0 0 Drew D 0 1 1
3 2 0 Lost L 0 0 1
6 3 0 Scored S 0 13 23
10 6 0 Conceded C 0 5 9
78% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 83% 91%
44% 25% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 73%
22% 25% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 64%
11% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 36%
11% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 27%
44% 25% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 55%
44% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 36%
33% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 18%
 
4 5.8 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 6.7 6.4
6.9 5.5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 2 2.7
2.3 2.8 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2.8 2.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
80 36 0 Total Shots T S 0 76 138
23 14 0 Shots on Target S O 0 33 59
26% 21% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 39% 39%
Key stats in Carioca 1 this season:
  • Bangu has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5)
  • Bangu has the fewest matches over the total-line (2)
  • Bangu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bangu have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bangu haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Flamengo has the fewest conceded goals (1) away
  • Flamengo has the fewest conceded goals (2)
  • Flamengo has the most points from losing position (12)
  • Flamengo has the most scored goals (9)
  • Flamengo has the most scored goals in the second half (18)
  • Flamengo has the the best goal difference (+3) away
  • Flamengo has the the best goal difference (+7)
  • Flamengo have not yet lost a game away.
  • Flamengo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Flamengo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Flamengo have scored more than double the goals of Bangu.
  • Flamengo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Flamengo is in the best form (6-0-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 3 3 0 0 9 2 2 2 0 0 5 1 1 1 0 0 4 1 7 9
2 Boavista 3 2 0 1 5 3 2 2 0 0 4 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 6
3 Bangu 3 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 3 0 4
4 Botafogo 3 1 1 1 3 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 1 0 3 -2 4
5 Portuguesa RJ 3 1 0 2 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 2 5 4 1 3
6 Cabofriense 3 0 0 3 2 10 2 0 0 2 2 8 1 0 0 1 0 2 -8 0

Read more about Carioca 1

There are 26 state football leagues in Brazil. Because of long distances in Brazil a very competitive football culture developed within each state. Therefore, Brazil remain one of the few countries who still run state championships alongside the national ones. Most of them run from January to May, outside the national season.