Home advantage could prove decisive in Zeljeznicar - Velez battle

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Competition: Bosnia and Herzegovina Premier Liga
Competition: Sun 20.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Grbavica (15000 seats)

Zeljeznicar are up for a new challenge after their 1-0 vs Velez in the previous match. Velez are coming to town!

Insights:
  • Zeljeznicar have the most matches under the total-line (14) in Premier Liga
  • Velez have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Zeljeznicar and Velez.

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Zeljeznicar form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Stadion Grbavica as Zeljeznicar have scored 14 goals to get 27 points from 12 games. The overall stats in the Premier Liga are 8-3-1 (wins-draws-losses). After failing to beat Zrinjski here at Stadion Grbavica, Zeljeznicar has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Nothing to worry about in defence for Zeljeznicar, as their goalkeeper has completely shut out the opponents for 270 minutes in the Premier Liga.

Zeljeznicar's last game was hosting Velez (placed 8th) and winning 1-0.

Before that, Zeljeznicar played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Leotar.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Zeljeznicar have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won three times, drawn one and lost one.

Zeljeznicar are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 14 goals in 12 games. Zeljeznicar are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadion Grbavica in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 12 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Velez form and stats

4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. That’s the product of Velez playing as the away team in the Premier Liga this season. Recent form does not give Velez much hope, as the visitors have lost three games in a row. Zeljeznicar will be a tough nut to crack.

Velez lost away at Zeljeznicar (0-1) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick.

We have checked recent matches where Velez have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were one victory, four draws and three defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Velez have scored 16 goals in 12 league games away. Velez have conceded 14 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Zeljeznicar - Velez 1-0 was the result in these participants' previous head to head fixture, played this season. Previous ten meetings with these participants: Zeljeznicar won four, Velez were winners in two and we saw four draws. three games with over 2,5 goals, seven matches with under 2,5 goals. The matches between these clubs have sometimes been hostile, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

VelezD. Zajmović
D. Zajmović
5 goals

Zeljeznicar missing players

Velez missing players

Zeljeznicar Velez
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 12 2 Played P 2 12 23
8 8 1 Won W 1 4 7
9 3 1 Drew D 1 4 6
6 1 0 Lost L 0 4 10
19 14 2 Scored S 2 16 26
21 6 1 Conceded C 1 14 29
83% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
65% 58% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 75% 83%
22% 17% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 42% 39%
4% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 13%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 4%
30% 25% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 58% 52%
48% 67% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 22%
39% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 30%
 
4.6 5.5 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 3.6 4.6
5.2 3.9 5 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4.4 3.5
2.9 3.2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.5 3.6 3.3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9.9 11.3 12 Shots (avg) S ( 13 11.1 10
4.5 5 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.5 4.4 4
19% 24% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 31% 29%
 
8.9 7.4 8 Shots against (avg) S A 5.5 8.1 6.7
2.6 2 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 3.3 2.9
Key stats in Premier Liga this season:
  • Velez have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Velez have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Zeljeznicar have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Zeljeznicar have the fewest conceded goals (6) at home in Premier Liga
  • Zeljeznicar have the most clean sheets (8) at home in Premier Liga
  • Zeljeznicar have the most matches under the total-line (14) in Premier Liga

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zrinjski 23 19 3 1 53 9 12 11 1 0 36 7 11 8 2 1 17 2 44 60
2 Sloga 23 12 8 3 39 24 12 7 4 1 23 13 11 5 4 2 16 11 15 44
3 Borac Banja Luka 23 10 10 3 35 24 12 8 3 1 21 12 11 2 7 2 14 12 11 40
4 Sarajevo 23 10 5 8 27 19 12 5 3 4 15 10 11 5 2 4 12 9 8 35
5 Zeljeznicar 23 8 9 6 19 21 12 8 3 1 14 6 11 0 6 5 5 15 -2 33
6 Siroki Brijeg 22 6 11 5 21 23 11 4 5 2 9 8 11 2 6 3 12 15 -2 29
7 Sloboda Tuzla 22 5 10 7 19 20 11 3 6 2 11 9 11 2 4 5 8 11 -1 25
8 Velez 23 7 6 10 26 29 11 3 2 6 10 15 12 4 4 4 16 14 -3 24
9 Leotar 23 5 5 13 16 36 11 2 4 5 9 16 12 3 1 8 7 20 -20 20
10 Posusje 23 4 8 11 18 40 11 4 5 2 11 10 12 0 3 9 7 30 -22 20
11 Rudar Prijedor 23 3 8 12 20 29 11 2 5 4 13 13 12 1 3 8 7 16 -9 17
12 Radnik Bijeljina 23 3 7 13 19 38 11 2 4 5 9 12 12 1 3 8 10 26 -19 16

Read more about Premier Liga

The BH Telecom Premier League of Bosnia and Herzegovina (BH Telecom Premijer liga Bosne i Hercegovie, or just Liga 12) is the top football league in Bosnia and Herzegovina. It has twelve teams who play each other three times for a total of 33 fixtures to create the final league table.