Pro League match prediction: Little separates Zulte-Waregem and OH Leuven in quality

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Competition: Belgium Pro League
Competition: Sat 08.October
Match begins: 16:15 (UTC)
Venue: Elindus Arena (12500 seats)

A short look at the Pro League table hint of an upper hand to OH Leuven when they arrive at Zulte-Waregem. Yet; let's play the match before points are handed out!

Insights:
  • Zulte-Waregem have the most conceded goals (20) in Pro League
  • OH Leuven have scored more than double the goals of Zulte-Waregem.

Both sides have had adequate rest since their last effort on the pitch. Let's trust this will be an energetic fixture!

L L L L D

Zulte-Waregem form and stats

1-0-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Pro League numbers at home for Zulte-Waregem, who have the most conceded goals (20) in Pro League, so far this season. The season ticket holders are starting to dread their visits here at Elindus Arena, with the home team losing four in a row. They have not avoided a defeat here since the RFC Seraing game.

Zulte-Waregem haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 270 minutes ago. Braem scored that one.

Zulte-Waregem lost their last game at Westerlo (placed 7th) after a 0-2 scoreline. Midfielder Rommens was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.44 (out of ten) in that game. Rommens hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 57 successful passes (of 69 total).

Preceding that match was the home game against Sint-Truiden that was lost 0-3.

This is expected to be a close game, with Zulte-Waregem perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Zulte-Waregem as a small favourite), we find 8 games. Zulte-Waregem has won 4 of these, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Defensively there's plenty of potential for improvement as Zulte-Waregem have allowed the opposition to score 13 goals here at Elindus Arena. When Zulte-Waregem hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like RFC Seraing, Kortrijk, AS Eupen, Cercle Brugge and KV Oostende), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

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OH Leuven form and stats

2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. That’s the product of OH Leuven playing as the away team in the Pro League this season. Visiting OH Leuven has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

Leuven aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 185 league minutes without a goal. Gonzalez was the last player to find the net.

OH Leuven might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Union Saint-Gilloise proved too strong as OH Leuven slumped to a 0-3 defeat in front of their own fans at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion. That loss was their first after five consecutive league matches winning points. Midfielder Norre was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.35. Norre had 57 successful passes (of 69 total).

A 0-0 draw at Mechelen's stadium before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with OH Leuven playing away and similar expectations, we found 9 relevant matches. Results were 3 OH Leuven wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats.

OH Leuven are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 9 times in 5 away games so far. As opposed to that, Leuven have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

OH Leuven have avoided a loss in the last 4 matches (2-2-0) facing Zulte-Waregem.

The games between these clubs sometimes lean towards being brutal, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

OH LeuvenM. Maertens
M. Maertens
3 goals
OH LeuvenM. Al Tamari
M. Al Tamari
3 goals
OH LeuvenJ. Thorsteinsson
J. Thorsteinsson
3 goals

Zulte-Waregem missing players

OH Leuven missing players

Zulte-Waregem OH Leuven
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
10 5 2 Played P 1 5 10
1 1 0 Won W 1 2 5
2 0 0 Drew D 0 2 2
7 4 2 Lost L 0 1 3
7 5 2 Scored S 2 9 16
20 13 7 Conceded C 0 7 16
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 90%
90% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 90%
40% 80% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 60% 70%
30% 60% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 60% 40%
10% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 20%
50% 60% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 60% 50%
10% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 40% 30%
40% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 30%
 
5 4 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.4 3.9
4.5 4 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 9 7.2
2.4 2.2 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.6 1.8
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
10.3 11.2 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 19 11.4 11.6
3.4 3.8 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4 3.8
21% 26% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 45% 42%
 
15.1 12.4 13.5 Shots against (avg) S A 15 18.4 15.4
4.2 4 5.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 4.6 4.2
Key stats in Pro League this season:
  • All of Zulte-Waregem's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • OH Leuven have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • OH Leuven have scored more than double the goals of Zulte-Waregem.
  • Zulte-Waregem have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Zulte-Waregem have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Zulte-Waregem have the most conceded goals (13) at home in Pro League
  • Zulte-Waregem have the most conceded goals (20) in Pro League
  • Zulte-Waregem have the the worst goal difference (-13) in Pro League
  • Zulte-Waregem have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Zulte-Waregem haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Zulte-Waregem is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Antwerp 9 9 0 0 21 6 5 5 0 0 14 5 4 4 0 0 7 1 15 27
2 Genk 10 8 1 1 24 10 5 4 1 0 10 4 5 4 0 1 14 6 14 25
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 22 10 5 4 1 0 13 4 5 3 0 2 9 6 12 22
4 Union Saint-Gilloise 10 6 1 3 17 14 4 3 0 1 6 4 6 3 1 2 11 10 3 19
5 OH Leuven 10 5 2 3 16 16 5 3 0 2 7 9 5 2 2 1 9 7 0 17
6 Standard Liege 10 5 1 4 15 15 6 3 1 2 9 7 4 2 0 2 6 8 0 16
7 Westerlo 10 5 0 5 18 18 5 4 0 1 10 4 5 1 0 4 8 14 0 15
8 Gent 9 4 2 3 13 10 4 2 1 1 6 4 5 2 1 2 7 6 3 14
9 Anderlecht 9 4 1 4 16 10 5 3 1 1 11 5 4 1 0 3 5 5 6 13
10 Sint-Truiden 9 3 4 2 10 8 4 1 1 2 5 7 5 2 3 0 5 1 2 13
11 Sporting Charleroi 9 4 0 5 15 16 5 2 0 3 9 11 4 2 0 2 6 5 -1 12
12 Mechelen 10 3 2 5 16 18 5 2 1 2 10 9 5 1 1 3 6 9 -2 11
13 KV Oostende 10 3 1 6 11 15 5 2 0 3 5 7 5 1 1 3 6 8 -4 10
14 RFC Seraing 10 3 0 7 10 18 4 0 0 4 0 8 6 3 0 3 10 10 -8 9
15 Kortrijk 9 2 1 6 6 15 4 0 1 3 1 7 5 2 0 3 5 8 -9 7
16 AS Eupen 9 2 0 7 8 16 5 1 0 4 4 8 4 1 0 3 4 8 -8 6
17 Cercle Brugge 9 1 3 5 5 15 5 1 3 1 4 5 4 0 0 4 1 10 -10 6
18 Zulte-Waregem 10 1 2 7 7 20 5 1 0 4 5 13 5 0 2 3 2 7 -13 5

Read more about Pro League

The First Division A is the top league of the football pyramid in Belgium, founded in 1895. It was earlier known as the Belgian Pro League. The season runs from July to May with 16 teams each playing 30 fixtures. The top six in the league table then play a championship playoff, the bottom team is relegated and places #7 to #15 have a Europa League playoff.