Pro League prediction and preview: Mechelen modest favorites to beat Sint-Truiden

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Competition: Belgium Pro League
Competition: Sat 26.September
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (13213 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Pro League, with both Mechelen and Sint-Truiden experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 16th and the visitors in 15th place.

Mechelen and Sint-Truiden should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

Mechelen's stadium, AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne, has a grass surface. Sint-Truiden have artifical turf on their own stadium. This might or might not make a difference, and to help evaluate that we give you the recent performance numbers for Sint-Truiden when playing on grass; 10 wins, 11 draws and 18 losses from 39 matches. They have scored 44 goals in these games and conceded 69.

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Mechelen form and stats

Mechelen have played three Pro League home games so far, perhaps enough to set expectations for the season. In that case, only 1 point from these matches could be a signal of rough times ahead. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Mechelen with their four defeats in a row. Not since the Royal Excel Mouscron game, 42 days ago, have they avoided a loss. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Mechelen, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

No payout for Mechelen in their previous match, an away game at Genk that ended in defeat 1-3. Preceding that match was the home game against KV Oostende that was lost 0-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Mechelen handle that role? We have found six games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are two wins, three draws and one defeat.

Mechelen has scored 4 league goals at home this season, in 3 matches. Mechelen are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (6 from 3 played).

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Sint-Truiden form and stats

The Pro League season is young and Sint-Truiden, who have the fewest points (1) away in Pro League, have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 2 defeats so far.

Sint-Truiden lost away at Cercle Brugge (0-3) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. Preceding that, the 2-3 home loss versus Antwerp.

We have checked recent matches where Sint-Truiden have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were one victory, two draws and five defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Sint-Truiden as they have only managed to score 2 times from 3 away games in the league. For Sint-Truiden, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Mechelen victories, two draws and four Sint-Truiden wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Sint-TruidenS. Lee
S. Lee
2 goals
Sint-TruidenY. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
2 goals
MechelenJ. Vanlerberghe
J. Vanlerberghe
1 goals

Mechelen missing players

Sint-Truiden missing players

Mechelen Sint-Truiden
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
6 3 0 Played P 0 3 6
1 0 0 Won W 0 0 1
1 1 0 Drew D 0 1 2
4 2 0 Lost L 0 2 3
6 4 0 Scored S 0 2 6
10 6 0 Conceded C 0 7 11
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 83%
50% 67% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 83%
50% 67% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 67%
50% 67% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 33%
17% 33% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 17%
50% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 67%
17% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 17%
33% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 2.3 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2.3 2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
37 13 0 Total Shots T S 0 10 29
13 4 0 Shots on Target S O 0 4 16
46% 100% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 50% 38%
Key stats in Pro League this season:
  • All of Sint-Truiden's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Mechelen has the most dropped points from leading position (6) in Pro League
  • Mechelen have yet to win a game at home.
  • Mechelen haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sint-Truiden has the fewest points (1) away in Pro League
  • Sint-Truiden has the most conceded goals in the first half (7) in Pro League
  • Sint-Truiden has the the worst goal difference (-5) away in Pro League
  • Sint-Truiden have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sporting Charleroi 6 6 0 0 12 2 3 3 0 0 6 1 3 3 0 0 6 1 10 18
2 Standard Liege 6 4 1 1 8 3 3 2 1 0 3 1 3 2 0 1 5 2 5 13
3 Club Brugge 6 4 0 2 16 4 3 1 0 2 4 3 3 3 0 0 12 1 12 12
4 Anderlecht 6 3 3 0 14 8 3 2 1 0 6 2 3 1 2 0 8 6 6 12
5 Beerschot-Wilrijk 6 4 0 2 12 10 3 2 0 1 8 6 3 2 0 1 4 4 2 12
6 Kortrijk 6 3 1 2 8 6 3 1 1 1 4 3 3 2 0 1 4 3 2 10
7 Cercle Brugge 6 3 0 3 8 7 3 2 0 1 5 2 3 1 0 2 3 5 1 9
8 KV Oostende 6 2 2 2 7 6 3 1 1 1 6 5 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 8
9 Genk 6 2 2 2 9 10 3 1 1 1 5 4 3 1 1 1 4 6 -1 8
10 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 8 9 3 1 2 0 4 3 3 1 0 2 4 6 -1 8
11 OH Leuven 6 2 2 2 8 9 3 1 1 1 3 4 3 1 1 1 5 5 -1 8
12 AS Eupen 6 1 4 1 6 9 3 1 1 1 3 6 3 0 3 0 3 3 -3 7
13 Gent 6 2 0 4 5 7 2 1 0 1 2 2 4 1 0 3 3 5 -2 6
14 Zulte-Waregem 6 2 0 4 7 14 4 1 0 3 5 11 2 1 0 1 2 3 -7 6
15 Sint-Truiden 6 1 2 3 6 11 3 1 1 1 4 4 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 5
16 Mechelen 6 1 1 4 6 10 3 0 1 2 4 6 3 1 0 2 2 4 -4 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 1 0 5 9 18 3 0 0 3 4 9 3 1 0 2 5 9 -9 3
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 0 2 4 2 8 3 0 0 3 0 3 3 0 2 1 2 5 -6 2

Read more about Pro League

The First Division A is the top league of the football pyramid in Belgium, founded in 1895. It was earlier known as the Belgian Pro League. The season runs from July to May with 16 teams each playing 30 fixtures. The top six in the league table then play a championship playoff, the bottom team is relegated and places #7 to #15 have a Europa League playoff.