Pro League prediction and preview: AS Eupen modest favorites to beat KV Oostende

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Competition: Belgium Pro League
Date: Sun 08.December
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kehrweg Stadium (8363 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 13th and the visitors in 14th place.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for AS Eupen and KV Oostende.

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AS Eupen form and stats

AS Eupen's results here at Kehrweg Stadium in the Pro League have been very modest with 1 victory, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

AS Eupen's last game was hosting KV Oostende (placed 14th) and winning 1-0. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Kortrijk (1-2).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how AS Eupen have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

AS Eupen have scored 6 league goals here from 8 matches, not a lot. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the AS Eupen defense is not exactly impregnable. 12 goals conceded from 8 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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KV Oostende form and stats

There's been little loot from KV Oostende's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 8 away games in the Pro League. KV Oostende only have 1 win to counter their 6 defeats and 1 draw. A depressing five defeats in a row for KV Oostende in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Kortrijk.

KV Oostende delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Club Brugge (placed 1st) in their previous match; a Belgian Cup game. A home win before that, celebrating 3-2 vs Anderlecht.

We have checked recent matches where KV Oostende have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were W1-D4-L3.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting KV Oostende as they have only managed to score 6 times from 8 away games in the league. KV Oostende have conceded 16 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the AS Eupen - KV Oostende 1-0 earlier this season. AS Eupen-KV Oostende H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: AS Eupen 4 wins, KV Oostende 4 wins, 2 draws. 5 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

KV OostendeF. Sakala
F. Sakala
6 goals
AS EupenJon Bautista
Jon Bautista
3 goals
AS EupenJ. Bolingi
J. Bolingi
3 goals

AS Eupen missing players

KV Oostende missing players

AS Eupen KV Oostende
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 2 Played P 3 8 17
5 2 0 Won W 1 1 4
4 3 2 Drew D 1 1 3
9 4 0 Lost L 1 6 10
15 7 1 Scored S 5 6 20
29 12 1 Conceded C 6 16 33
89% 89% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
72% 78% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 88%
39% 22% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 59%
17% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 38% 47%
17% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 18%
44% 44% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 65%
22% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
44% 33% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 35%
 
4.6 5.1 3.5 Corners For (avg) C F 1.3 2.8 3.6
5.6 5.1 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.7 6.2 6.2
2.3 1.8 3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.3 1.8 1.4
2 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
93 64 0 Total Shots T S 19 46 93
33 22 0 Shots on Target S O 9 24 46
45% 32% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 56% 25% 43%
Key stats in Pro League this season:
  • AS Eupen has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0)
  • AS Eupen has the fewest scored goals in the first half (6)
  • KV Oostende has the fewest clean sheets (0)
  • KV Oostende has the most conceded goals in the second half (24)
  • KV Oostende have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • KV Oostende have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • KV Oostende have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • KV Oostende have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • KV Oostende haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 3 1 38 7 9 6 3 0 20 3 8 7 0 1 18 4 31 42
2 Gent 18 10 5 3 37 20 9 8 1 0 24 5 9 2 4 3 13 15 17 35
3 Standard Liège 18 10 4 4 35 19 9 7 1 1 20 6 9 3 3 3 15 13 16 34
4 Antwerp 18 10 4 4 37 24 8 7 1 0 20 8 10 3 3 4 17 16 13 34
5 Sporting Charleroi 16 9 4 3 26 16 8 5 1 2 10 8 8 4 3 1 16 8 10 31
6 Zulte-Waregem 18 8 4 6 26 21 9 5 1 3 17 9 9 3 3 3 9 12 5 28
7 Mechelen 18 8 4 6 28 27 9 3 3 3 15 17 9 5 1 3 13 10 1 28
8 Genk 17 7 3 7 23 23 9 5 1 3 12 11 8 2 2 4 11 12 0 24
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 5 8 5 25 24 9 4 4 1 15 9 9 1 4 4 10 15 1 23
10 Sint-Truiden 17 6 3 8 17 28 8 2 3 3 6 8 9 4 0 5 11 20 -11 21
11 Anderlecht 17 5 6 6 21 21 9 3 4 2 12 9 8 2 2 4 9 12 0 21
12 Kortrijk 18 4 4 10 24 31 9 3 2 4 17 15 9 1 2 6 7 16 -7 16
13 AS Eupen 17 4 4 9 14 29 8 1 3 4 6 12 9 3 1 5 8 17 -15 16
14 KV Oostende 17 4 3 10 20 33 9 3 2 4 14 17 8 1 1 6 6 16 -13 15
15 Waasland-Beveren 18 2 5 11 14 37 9 1 2 6 8 23 9 1 3 5 6 14 -23 11
16 Cercle Brugge 18 2 2 14 16 41 9 2 1 6 8 17 9 0 1 8 8 24 -25 8

Read more about Pro League

The First Division A is the top league of the football pyramid in Belgium, founded in 1895. It was earlier known as the Belgian Pro League. The season runs from July to May with 16 teams each playing 30 fixtures. The top six in the league table then play a championship playoff, the bottom team is relegated and places #7 to #15 have a Europa League playoff.