First Division prediction: Home win expected when Smolevichy-STI takes on Smorgon

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Competition: Belarus First Division
Date: Sat 06.July
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Ozernyj

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Smolevichy-STI leading Smorgon by 30 points.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Smolevichy-STI form and stats

Smolevichy-STI, who have the fewest conceded goals (5) in First Division, have been outstanding at home so far with 6 wins, 0 draws and only 1 loss.

The Smolevichy-STI supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Smorgon in First Division and win 1-0. In the preceding match a 3-0 victory visiting Ruh Brest.

Everyone expects Smolevichy-STI to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found 40 games: 19 home wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats. Smolevichy-STI have won with at least two goals margin 10 times in similar situations.

Smolevichy-STI are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at Stadion Ozernyj, having scored an impressive 19 goals in 7 games. From these home matches, Smolevichy-STI have conceded only 5 goals.

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Smorgon form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Smorgon, who have the most conceded goals (25) away in First Division, so far with only 0 points returning home. The records show 0-0-7 (win-draw-lose). Smorgon have been very modest guests so far, leaving with zero points in all their 7 away matches played so far. Smorgon has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Two away games in a row for Smorgon, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Smolevichy-STI in the First Division. A draw for Smorgon before that, at their own venue hosting Slonim (2-2).

Smorgon are huge outsiders in this game. Running a check in our games database we found 43 matches where they were as big outsiders as an away team. Results were 11 wins, 9 draws and 23 defeats. Of the defeats, 17 games were lost by at least two goals margin.

Goals are few and far between in Smorgon's away games. Only 3 goals from 7 travels. There are big problems for the Smorgon defense as they have conceded 25 goals in 7 away games.

Head 2 Head

Smolevichy-STI - Smorgon 1-0 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Smolevichy-STI, 2 draws and 4 wins for Smorgon. Over 2,5 goals: 3 times; under 2,5 goals: 7 games.

Top Goalscorers

D. Gomza
6 goals
A. Makarov
4 goals
Y. Barsukov
4 goals

Smolevichy-STI missing players

Smorgon missing players

Smolevichy-STI Smorgon
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
13 7 2 Played 3 7 12
11 6 2 Won 0 0 1
1 0 0 Drew 0 0 1
1 1 0 Lost 3 7 10
29 19 7 Scored 2 3 10
5 5 2 Conceded 13 25 33
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
62% 71% 100% Over 1.5 100% 86% 83%
54% 71% 100% Over 2.5 100% 86% 75%
31% 57% 100% Over 3.5 67% 57% 50%
15% 29% 50% Over 4.5 67% 43% 33%
23% 43% 50% BTTS 67% 43% 50%
77% 57% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% Failed To Score 33% 57% 50%
 
5.7 5.7 6.5 Corners For (avg) 2 3 4.4
3.5 3.3 3 Corners Against (avg) 9.7 7.6 5.9
1.9 1.6 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.3 1.6 2
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Smolevichy-STI have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Smolevichy-STI have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Smolevichy-STI have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Smolevichy-STI have scored more than double the goals of Smorgon.
  • Smolevichy-STI haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Smorgon have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Smorgon have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Smorgon have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Smorgon have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Smorgon have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Smorgon have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Smorgon haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Smolevichy-STI
All Belarusian Cup First Division Premier League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
15-06-19 FD Lida 0 - 1 Smolevichy-STI
22-06-19 FD Smolevichy-STI 1 - 0 Krumkachy
26-06-19 BC Smolevichy-STI 0 - 2 Shakhtyor
30-06-19 FD Ruh Brest 0 - 3 Smolevichy-STI
06-07-19 FD Smolevichy-STI 1 - 0 Smorgon
20-07-19 FD Smolevichy-STI - Gomelzheldortrans
17-08-19 FD Baranovichi - Smolevichy-STI
24-08-19 FD Khimik Svetlogorsk - Smolevichy-STI
31-08-19 FD Smolevichy-STI - Slonim
07-09-19 FD Smolevichy-STI - Naftan
Smorgon
All Belarusian Cup First Division Club Friendlies
All Home Away
12-06-19 BC SMI Autotrans 0 - 6 Smorgon
15-06-19 FD Smorgon 4 - 1 Baranovichi
22-06-19 FD Khimik Svetlogorsk 4 - 0 Smorgon
30-06-19 FD Smorgon 2 - 2 Slonim
06-07-19 FD Smolevichy-STI 1 - 0 Smorgon
13-07-19 FD Smorgon 00:00 Granit
20-07-19 FD Volna - Smorgon
27-07-19 BC Smorgon 14:00 Gomel
17-08-19 FD Sputnik - Smorgon
24-08-19 FD Smorgon - Belshina

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Smolevichy-STI 13 11 1 1 29 5 7 6 0 1 19 5 6 5 1 0 10 0 24 34
2 Belshina 12 10 1 1 38 6 6 5 0 1 19 3 6 5 1 0 19 3 32 31
3 Gomelzheldortrans 12 9 1 2 27 9 7 7 0 0 19 3 5 2 1 2 8 6 18 28
4 Sputnik 12 8 1 3 19 9 5 3 1 1 8 4 7 5 0 2 11 5 10 25
5 Ruh Brest 12 6 5 1 35 11 8 4 3 1 24 10 4 2 2 0 11 1 24 23
6 Lida 12 6 4 2 18 10 7 4 2 1 12 6 5 2 2 1 6 4 8 22
7 Naftan 12 4 5 3 20 16 7 2 4 1 10 8 5 2 1 2 10 8 4 17
8 Krumkachy 12 4 2 6 13 16 6 2 1 3 7 9 6 2 1 3 6 7 -3 14
9 Orsha 12 4 1 7 10 24 4 2 1 1 2 2 8 2 0 6 8 22 -14 13
10 Khimik Svetlogorsk 12 4 1 7 12 30 7 4 1 2 11 7 5 0 0 5 1 23 -18 13
11 Volna 12 3 3 6 13 17 7 3 0 4 8 8 5 0 3 2 5 9 -4 12
12 Granit 13 3 3 7 10 23 6 2 2 2 6 12 7 1 1 5 4 11 -13 12
13 Slonim 12 0 5 7 5 18 5 0 2 3 3 9 7 0 3 4 2 9 -13 5
14 Smorgon 12 1 1 10 10 33 5 1 1 3 7 8 7 0 0 7 3 25 -23 4
15 Baranovichi 12 0 2 10 4 36 4 0 0 4 1 13 8 0 2 6 3 23 -32 2

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