Home advantage could prove decisive in Qabala - Keşlə FK battle

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Competition: Azerbaijan Premier League
Competition: Sun 03.April
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: Şəhər stadionu (8000 seats)

The odds favour Qabala in this fixture vs Keşlə FK, but the guests will resist to the bitter end. Here's the complete Tipsway match preview!

Insights:
  • Qabala have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Keşlə FK have the most conceded goals in the first half (16) in Premier League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Qabala form and stats

4 victories, 4 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what Qabala have to build on here at Şəhər stadionu in the Premier League. Qabala have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

Qabala are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 230 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by Alimi).

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Keşlə FK last time out and are looking for a win here.

Heartbreak before that as Qabala lost 0-4 at Neftçi's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Qabala have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost one.

The Qabala fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 14 goals in 9 league matches. More than 75 % of these goals (11 in all) came after at least 60 minutes had been played. Qabala have only conceded 7 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Keşlə FK form and stats

There's been little loot from Keşlə FK's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 9 away games in the Premier League. Keşlə FK only have 3 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 0 draws.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Qabala (placed 4th) in their previous outing. The match ended in a draw 0-0.

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Sumqayt.

We have checked recent matches where Keşlə FK have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were zero victories, zero draws and four defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Keşlə have scored 11 goals in 9 league games away. Keşlə FK have conceded 15 goals in these games. More than 55 % of these were let in from the 60th minute and onwards in these in the last 30 minutes of matches.

Head 2 Head

The teams have faced each other previously this season, with the match result Keşlə FK - Qabala 2-3 entered in the official records. The ref brandished his red card when these teams last played each other, and the criminal was Vukcevic (Qabala). Qabala-Keşlə FK H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Qabala four wins, Keşlə FK five wins, one draw. eight of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

QabalaU. Iskandarov
U. Iskandarov
6 goals
QabalaR. Schorr Utzig
R. Schorr Utzig
5 goals

Qabala missing players

Keşlə FK missing players

Qabala Keşlə FK
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 2 10 21
9 4 3 Won W 0 3 5
7 5 0 Drew D 0 1 5
5 1 0 Lost L 2 6 11
30 14 9 Scored S 1 11 22
26 7 1 Conceded C 4 15 30
81% 70% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 90%
81% 70% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 76%
52% 40% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 70% 48%
33% 20% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 24%
14% 10% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
43% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 48%
43% 50% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 19%
33% 30% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 43%
 
4.5 3.4 3.7 Corners for (avg) C F 5 3.4 3
4.7 3.9 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.8 5.6
2.3 2.3 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 1.5 2.2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 5
 
10.1 9.7 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 7.1 8.5
4.2 4 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.7 3.3
34% 35% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 41% 31%
 
10 8.4 6 Shots against (avg) S A 12 10.7 13
4.1 2.9 1.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.5 4.3 4.5
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Keşlə FK have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Keşlə FK have the most conceded goals in the first half (16) in Premier League
  • Qabala have won significantly less corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Qarabag 20 15 4 1 46 11 9 9 0 0 29 3 11 6 4 1 17 8 35 49
2 Neftçi 20 11 4 5 34 23 12 7 2 3 22 11 8 4 2 2 12 12 11 37
3 Zira 20 10 5 5 27 19 10 5 2 3 13 10 10 5 3 2 14 9 8 35
4 Qabala 20 9 6 5 30 26 9 4 4 1 14 7 11 5 2 4 16 19 4 33
5 Sabah 21 9 2 10 28 27 11 4 1 6 14 13 10 5 1 4 14 14 1 29
6 Keşlə FK 20 5 4 11 22 30 11 2 4 5 11 15 9 3 0 6 11 15 -8 19
7 Sumqayt 20 3 5 12 12 32 9 2 2 5 6 18 11 1 3 7 6 14 -20 14
8 Sebail 21 3 2 16 13 44 10 2 1 7 8 18 11 1 1 9 5 26 -31 11