Most people believe in Neftçi in this game versus Sebail, but the away side will resist to the end. Here's the Tipsway match preview!
- Neftçi have the most dropped points from leading position (8) in Premier League
- Sebail have the most conceded goals (35) in Premier League
It's no vacation for neither Neftçi nor Sebail as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.
Neftçi form and stats
The overall Premier League statistics playing at home this season for Neftçi are 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Bakcell Arena.
Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper not having conceded a league goal in 180 minutes.
The Neftçi fans enjoyed the previous game, watching their team host Sebail and win 2-0.
In the game before, an away victory match versus Sabah with a 1-0 scoreline.A decent goal production from Neftçi in their home games so far, with 16 goals from 10 league matches.
Sebail form and stats
The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Sebail so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 1-1-7 (win-draw-lose). Sebail are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Qarabag fixture.
Sebail aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 343 league minutes without a goal. Simkus was the last player to find the net.
Sebail are travelling again after losing away to Neftçi in their previous match (0-2).
Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Zira.With the home team identified as having a victory chance of around 80% by the bookies, any favourable result for the away side would be an eye-opener. Inspecting historical games with similar odds and Sebail as the visiting side, we found eight results. The numbers from these were zero away wins, zero draws and eight defeats. The outsiders lost three of these matches by at least two goals.
Sebail are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 4 goals from 9 away games. It's worth mentioning that 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Sebail, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.
Head 2 Head
The last H2H meeting ended Neftçi - Sebail 2-0, played this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's eight Neftçi victories, two draws and zero Sebail wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.Top Goalscorers
  T. Bezerra 5 goals | C. Meza Colli 4 goals |  E. Mahmudov 3 goals |
Neftçi missing players
Sebail missing players
| Neftçi | Sebail | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 18 | 10 | 3 | Played | P | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | Won | W | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | Drew | D | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | 0 | Lost | L | 2 | 7 | 13 |
| 28 | 16 | 6 | Scored | S | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 22 | 10 | 1 | Conceded | C | 7 | 20 | 35 |
| 94% | 90% | 67% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 83% | 80% | 67% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 67% | 78% | 78% |
| 67% | 70% | 67% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 33% | 44% | 50% |
| 28% | 20% | 33% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 28% |
| 6% | 0% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 33% | 11% | 6% |
| 67% | 60% | 33% | BTTS | BTTS | 0% | 22% | 39% |
| 28% | 40% | 67% | Clean Sheets | C S | 33% | 11% | 11% |
| 11% | 10% | 33% | Failed to Score | F T | 67% | 67% | 50% |
| 5.1 | 6.6 | 5.3 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 2.7 | 3 | 3 |
| 3.7 | 3.5 | 2.7 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 4 | 6.1 | 6.7 |
| 2.6 | 1.9 | 1 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2.3 | 2 | 2.2 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 11.3 | 11.7 | 10.3 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 4.7 | 6.3 | 6.7 |
| 4.6 | 4.8 | 4 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| 34% | 33% | 50% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 25% | 24% | 26% |
| 8.4 | 6.9 | 5 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 17 | 15.9 | 14.6 |
| 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 6 | 6.3 | 5.7 |
- Neftçi have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Neftçi have scored more than double the goals of Sebail.
- Neftçi have the most dropped points from leading position (8) in Premier League
- Neftçi have the most matches over the total-line (10) in Premier League
- Neftçi have the most points from losing position (5) in Premier League
- Neftçi have won significantly more corners at home than away.
- Sebail have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
- Sebail have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
- Sebail have the fewest points (4) away in Premier League
- Sebail have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in Premier League
- Sebail have the most conceded goals (20) away in Premier League
- Sebail have the most conceded goals (35) in Premier League
- Sebail have the most conceded goals in the second half (24) in Premier League
- Sebail have the the worst goal difference (-16) away in Premier League
- Sebail have the the worst goal difference (-23) in Premier League
- Sebail haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Qarabag | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Zira | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Qabala | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 32 |
| 4 | Neftçi | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Sabah | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -3 | 20 |
| 6 | Kesl FK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 7 | Sumqayt | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -16 | 13 |
| 8 | Sebail | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 35 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -23 | 11 |
