Erste Liga prediction and preview: Blau-Weiß Linz modest favorites to beat Grazer AK

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Competition: Austria Erste Liga
Competition: Sat 29.February
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Linzer Stadion (21005 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Erste Liga, with both Blau-Weiß Linz and Grazer AK experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 12th and the visitors in 14th place.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Blau-Weiß Linz form and stats

With 2 Erste Liga wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their home games, Blau-Weiß Linz, who have the most conceded goals (38) in Erste Liga, are certainly not brimming with confidence. The season ticket holders are starting to dread their visits here at Linzer Stadion, with the home team losing four in a row. They have not avoided a defeat here since the Wacker Innsbruck game.

Blau-Weiß Linz shared the glory with Kapfenberger SV in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-5 away at Liefering.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Blau-Weiß Linz have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost six.

Blau-Weiß Linz have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Linzer Stadion with 13 goals in 7 league matches. As for conceded goals, Blau-Weiß Linz's unpleasant statistic is 19 goals surrendered.

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Grazer AK form and stats

There's been little loot from Grazer AK's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 9 away games in the Erste Liga. Grazer AK only have 2 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 3 draws. The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Grazer AK, who have now gone eleven games without a victory. The Juniors OO game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since. It's three draws from Grazer AK's last three away games, a decent catch but one that could be so much better.

The manager D. Preiss was unhappy after their last game, a Erste Liga match played at their home ground Sportzentrum Graz-Weinzödl. Grazer AK suffered a 1-2 loss to Floridsdorfer AC (placed 11th). Preceding that game, the 3-3 draw paying a visit to Amstetten.

Late heartbreak for Grazer AK in the Floridsdorfer AC match, as the deciding 1-2 goal came deep into overtime.

Grazer AK are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, one draw and zero defeats. From a total of one match.

Grazer AK are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 11 away goals from 9 games (in the league). In the opposite end, Grazer AK have conceded 16 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Grazer AK - Blau-Weiß Linz 2-0. As for the last seven games between these two teams, there's two Blau-Weiß Linz victories, one draw and four Grazer AK wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Blau-Weiß Linz
F. Schubert
9 goals
Grazer AK
D. Hackinger
6 goals
Grazer AKG. Nutz
G. Nutz
5 goals

Blau-Weiß Linz missing players

Grazer AK missing players

Blau-Weiß Linz Grazer AK
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
17 7 3 Played P 2 9 17
5 2 1 Won W 0 2 4
4 1 1 Drew D 0 3 6
8 4 1 Lost L 2 4 7
31 13 7 Scored S 0 11 22
38 19 7 Conceded C 4 16 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
88% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 94%
71% 71% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 44% 53%
65% 71% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 29%
47% 71% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 12%
76% 86% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 56% 65%
18% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 18%
6% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 33% 24%
 
5.9 6.9 7.7 Corners for (avg) C F 6.5 4.9 5.4
4.5 3.7 4 Corners against (avg) C A 2 4.6 5.8
1.5 1.3 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.6 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
187 76 39 Total Shots T S 9 81 161
98 38 21 Shots on Target S O 4 33 70
32% 34% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 33% 31%
Key stats in Erste Liga this season:
  • All of Grazer AK's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Blau-Weiß Linz has the most conceded goals (38)
  • Blau-Weiß Linz has the most conceded goals in the first half (17)
  • Blau-Weiß Linz have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Blau-Weiß Linz have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Blau-Weiß Linz haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Grazer AK haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ried 17 12 3 2 37 17 7 5 0 2 17 8 10 7 3 0 20 9 20 39
2 Austria Klagenfurt 17 10 6 1 36 21 8 3 5 0 17 12 9 7 1 1 19 9 15 36
3 Lafnitz 17 7 6 4 25 19 9 1 4 4 7 12 8 6 2 0 18 7 6 27
4 Vorwarts Steyr 17 7 5 5 26 19 8 5 2 1 13 6 9 2 3 4 13 13 7 26
5 Austria Lustenau 17 8 2 7 36 34 9 4 1 4 16 15 8 4 1 3 20 19 2 26
6 Wacker Innsbruck 17 7 3 7 22 26 10 4 2 4 14 16 7 3 1 3 8 10 -4 24
7 Juniors OO 17 6 4 7 31 32 8 3 1 4 17 21 9 3 3 3 14 11 -1 22
8 Amstetten 17 5 7 5 28 30 10 3 4 3 17 18 7 2 3 2 11 12 -2 22
9 Liefering 17 5 6 6 31 32 8 3 1 4 15 17 9 2 5 2 16 15 -1 21
10 Dornbirn 17 5 6 6 27 30 8 2 4 2 16 16 9 3 2 4 11 14 -3 21
11 Floridsdorfer AC 17 5 5 7 19 25 9 2 3 4 6 10 8 3 2 3 13 15 -6 20
12 Blau-Weiß Linz 17 5 4 8 31 38 7 2 1 4 13 19 10 3 3 4 18 19 -7 19
13 Austria Wien II 17 5 3 9 32 33 9 3 1 5 16 16 8 2 2 4 16 17 -1 18
14 Grazer AK 17 4 6 7 22 27 8 2 3 3 11 11 9 2 3 4 11 16 -5 18
15 SV Horn II 17 4 5 8 32 36 9 1 3 5 16 22 8 3 2 3 16 14 -4 17
16 Kapfenberger SV 17 4 3 10 20 36 9 3 2 4 12 13 8 1 1 6 8 23 -16 15

Read more about Erste Liga

The Austrian Football Second League (2. Liga, formerly known as Erste Liga) is the second highest level of football in Austria. The league expanded from ten to 16 teams before the 2018/19 season. Each team play 30 fixtures to decide a final league table, promotion and relegation.