Victoria Premier League 2 prediction: North Geelong Warriors should edge out Kingston City on their own turf

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Competition: Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Competition: Sat 30.July
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Elcho Park (4000 seats)

A win is the only result that will do for the North Geelong Warriors fans in this Elcho Park duel with Kingston City, seeing as they have a solid lead on their opponents in the Victoria Premier League 2 table.

Insights:
  • North Geelong Warriors have the most scored goals (46) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Kingston City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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North Geelong Warriors form and stats

8-1-0 is the performance here at Elcho Park so far in the Victoria Premier League 2, giving North Geelong Warriors a total of 25 from their 9 games here. Outstanding results! The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Elcho Park.

The fans are hoping that North Geelong Warriors will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 1-5 away loss in the game against Pascoe Vale (placed 4th). The first defeat after going unbeaten through five league fixtures. As you see from the result above, Warriors suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one.

Ahead of that match, North Geelong Warriors won a home game hosting Werribee City (1-0).

Goals are plentiful at Elcho Park in the league this season as North Geelong Warriors has scored 23 goals here in 9 home games. Warriors are not conceding a lot of goals here at Elcho Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 5 from 9 matches.

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Kingston City form and stats

4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Kingston City playing as the away team in the Victoria Premier League 2 this season. Kingston City has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

There were no winners in Kingston City's previous match, the home game that ended 0-0 vs Langwarrin (placed 9th).

Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Pascoe Vale.

Observe that 14 of this side's 18 latest league rounds have ended with three goals or more.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Kingston are regular goalscorers on their travels. The Kingston City manager has some worries about the defense as 18 goals have been conceded in these travels. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches. Kingston City has visited these top teams two times, and 2 of 2 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The former head to head match ended Kingston City - North Geelong Warriors 1-3, earlier this season. Numbers for the previous five meetings involving these two sides are: three wins for Warriors, one draw and one win for Kingston City. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

North Geelong Warriors missing players

Kingston City missing players

North Geelong Warriors Kingston City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 9 3 Played P 2 8 18
13 8 2 Won W 1 4 5
3 1 1 Drew D 0 2 3
3 0 0 Lost L 1 2 10
46 23 9 Scored S 3 19 27
21 5 2 Conceded C 4 18 43
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
84% 78% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 89%
58% 44% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 88% 78%
53% 33% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 62% 56%
32% 22% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 50% 39%
63% 56% 67% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 67%
26% 44% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 6%
11% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 33%
 
4.8 4.3 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 5 5.5 4.9
5.2 5.1 3 Corners against (avg) C A 7.5 4.4 5.6
2.1 1.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.8 2.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 2 5 7
 
11 11.1 13.3 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 10.4 10.2
4.9 4.1 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.4 3.8
49% 62% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 54% 39%
 
8.4 5.6 4.7 Shots against (avg) S A 14 12 14.1
3.3 2.2 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 5.5 7.1
Key stats in Victoria Premier League 2 this season:
  • All of Kingston City's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Kingston City have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Kingston City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Kingston City have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Kingston City haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • North Geelong Warriors have not yet lost a game at home.
  • North Geelong Warriors have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • North Geelong Warriors have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • North Geelong Warriors have the fewest conceded goals (5) at home in Victoria Premier League 2
  • North Geelong Warriors have the most points (25) at home in Victoria Premier League 2
  • North Geelong Warriors have the most scored goals (46) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • North Geelong Warriors have the most scored goals in the first half (23) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • North Geelong Warriors have the the best goal difference (+25) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • North Geelong Warriors haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 North Geelong Warriors 19 13 3 3 46 21 9 8 1 0 23 5 10 5 2 3 23 16 25 42
2 Moreland City 19 12 4 3 42 26 9 5 4 0 19 10 10 7 0 3 23 16 16 40
3 Moreland Zebras 18 11 4 3 40 19 8 6 2 0 21 6 10 5 2 3 19 13 21 37
4 Pascoe Vale 19 11 3 5 42 19 10 7 1 2 29 10 9 4 2 3 13 9 23 36
5 Bulleen Lions 19 9 5 5 39 19 9 5 2 2 28 11 10 4 3 3 11 8 20 32
6 Northcote City 19 9 3 7 38 40 9 4 3 2 20 10 10 5 0 5 18 30 -2 30
7 Manningham United Blues 19 6 6 7 25 26 10 2 2 6 12 19 9 4 4 1 13 7 -1 24
8 Brunswick City 19 4 7 8 25 39 10 1 4 5 9 23 9 3 3 3 16 16 -14 19
9 Langwarrin 19 3 9 7 25 31 9 1 4 4 11 15 10 2 5 3 14 16 -6 18
10 Kingston City 18 5 3 10 27 43 10 1 1 8 8 25 8 4 2 2 19 18 -16 18
11 Werribee City 19 5 0 14 19 40 10 1 0 9 8 25 9 4 0 5 11 15 -21 15
12 Goulburn Valley Suns 19 0 3 16 15 60 10 0 1 9 5 31 9 0 2 7 10 29 -45 3