Victoria Premier League 2 forecast and guide: Langwarrin small favourite to outplay Pascoe Vale

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Competition: Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Competition: Sat 24.Jun
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Lawton Park Reserve - Pitch 1 (1500 seats)

Boasting a 5 point advantage in the league standings, Langwarrin fans long to see their adored players win all points from this game versus Pascoe Vale.

Insights:
  • Langwarrin have the most conceded goals (41) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Pascoe Vale is in the worst form (1-0-5)

Both sides have had a decent time to rest since their previous competitive action. Let's trust this will be an energetic game!

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Langwarrin form and stats

4 victories, 0 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Langwarrin have to build on here at Lawton Park Reserve - Pitch 1 in the Victoria Premier League 2.

Langwarrin's last game was hosting Brunswick City (placed 11th) and winning 4-2. At last, a league victory after three matches without. As you can tell by the result above, the goals flowed freely in the previous game and the stadium rocked. Could there be another goal fest today?

Preceding that match was a defeat to Eastern Lions (2-3).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Langwarrin have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 5 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Some goal stats: A review of the 15 latest league games shows that 12 of them had goals from both sides.

Langwarrin have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Lawton Park Reserve - Pitch 1 with 16 goals in 9 league matches. Langwarrin are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (21 from 9 played).

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Pascoe Vale form and stats

As the visiting team in Victoria Premier League 2 matches, Pascoe Vale have produced an overall stat of 4-0-5 so far. It's all red in the travel logs of Pascoe, having lost five matches in a row as the visiting team.

This fixture can not go any worse than the last one, the home defeat versus Melbourne City II with 2-4 on the scoreboard. As you can tell from the result, the match against Melbourne City II was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 6 goals, will the fun continue today?

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Manningham United Blues wasn't a success with a 0-4 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Pascoe Vale have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 3 victories, 0 draws and 2 defeats.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 14 of this club's 18 latest league rounds have ended with three goals or more.

Pascoe Vale find the net regularly in their away games. 12 goals from 9 away fixtures in the league.

Head 2 Head

The latest logged scoreline featuring both these sides is the Pascoe Vale - Langwarrin 1-4 played previously this season. Numbers for the preceeding four meetings involving these two sides are: two wins for Langwarrin, one draw and one win for Pascoe Vale. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: two games. The games between these teams sometimes lean towards being hostile, having seen 2 sending-offs from the last four encounters.

Langwarrin missing players

Pascoe Vale missing players

Langwarrin Pascoe Vale
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 4 9 18
8 4 1 Won W 1 4 6
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 2
9 5 2 Lost L 3 5 10
33 16 5 Scored S 3 12 26
41 21 7 Conceded C 12 18 39
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 89% 83%
89% 89% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 78% 78%
61% 56% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 33% 50%
56% 56% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 22% 33%
78% 78% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 56% 61%
11% 11% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 11%
11% 11% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 22% 28%
 
4.1 4.6 5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4 4.3
5.3 4.2 3.3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.1 5.1
3.2 3.1 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.9 3.3
3 1 0 Red cards R C 1 3 7
 
11.1 12.4 13.7 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 8.2 8.8
4.4 4.8 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.2 4.3
41% 37% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 41% 34%
 
12 12.1 14.3 Shots against (avg) S A 10.5 10.6 10.8
4.8 5 4.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.8 5.9 5.4
Key stats in Victoria Premier League 2 this season:
  • Langwarrin have the fewest matches under the total-line (2) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Langwarrin have the most conceded goals (41) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Langwarrin have the most conceded goals in the first half (18) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Langwarrin have the most conceded goals in the second half (23) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Langwarrin have the most matches over the total-line (16) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Langwarrin haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Pascoe Vale have the the worst goal difference (-13) in Victoria Premier League 2
  • Pascoe Vale haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Pascoe Vale is in the worst form (1-0-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kingston City 18 10 3 5 38 25 10 6 2 2 20 12 8 4 1 3 18 13 13 33
2 Preston Lions 19 9 6 4 31 24 9 3 3 3 12 12 10 6 3 1 19 12 7 33
3 Western United II 18 10 1 7 26 18 8 4 0 4 7 8 10 6 1 3 19 10 8 31
4 Dandenong City 18 9 2 7 29 23 9 6 1 2 18 9 9 3 1 5 11 14 6 29
5 Eastern Lions 18 9 2 7 30 29 8 5 1 2 14 7 10 4 1 5 16 22 1 29
6 Manningham United Blues 18 7 6 5 34 29 8 3 2 3 17 13 10 4 4 2 17 16 5 27
7 Werribee City 18 7 5 6 31 28 12 5 3 4 20 18 6 2 2 2 11 10 3 26
8 Melbourne City II 19 8 2 9 37 39 10 3 1 6 16 23 9 5 1 3 21 16 -2 26
9 Langwarrin 18 8 1 9 33 41 9 4 0 5 16 21 9 4 1 4 17 20 -8 25
10 Northcote City 19 7 3 9 30 31 10 3 2 5 18 17 9 4 1 4 12 14 -1 24
11 Brunswick City 19 7 2 10 25 32 9 3 2 4 12 14 10 4 0 6 13 18 -7 23
12 Moreland Zebras 19 6 3 10 17 27 10 3 1 6 9 17 9 3 2 4 8 10 -10 21
13 Bulleen Lions 19 6 2 11 30 32 8 4 0 4 20 12 11 2 2 7 10 20 -2 20
14 Pascoe Vale 18 6 2 10 26 39 9 2 2 5 14 21 9 4 0 5 12 18 -13 20