Experts' prediction: Maitland set to get maximum points from Valentine visit

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Competition: Australia Northern Nsw
Competition: Sun 18.July
Match begins: 04:30 (UTC)
Venue: Cahill Oval (3500 seats)

25 points separate the teams so far this season, Maitland having performed best. Can Valentine strike back?

Insights:
  • Valentine have the fewest scored goals (6) in Northern Nsw
  • Maitland have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Valentine form and stats

Valentine's results here at Cahill Oval in the Northern Nsw have been very modest with 0 victories, 1 draw and 5 defeats. All in all it has been a very rough period for Valentine who hasn’t won a league-game in their last twelve attempts. Their previous win was against Weston Bears, 105 days ago.

The spoils were shared in Valentine's previous game, also at home. Visiting Lambton Jaffas (placed 1st) travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline.

Prior to that, an away loss at Weston Bears.

No one expects the home team to get anything from this game. It's not often a home team are such massive outsiders as in this game. We've searched our database for matches where Valentine had similar winning odds as today, and found three games. In these, the hosts won one, drew one and lost one. Betting people looking at handicaps might be interested to know that Valentine lost one similar game by at least two goals.

The lack of attacking qualities in Valentine means that they have only scored 1 goal in 6 league home games, less than half a goal per match. Valentine have conceded 14 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Maitland form and stats

Maitland have been very strong on the road so far with a massive 15 points collected from 6 Northern Nsw games. 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat is the record so far.

It's the second away game in a row for Maitland, but there's smiles all around after the 4-2 victory versus Charlestown City Blues (placed 7th) in the Northern Nsw last time out. As you can tell from the result, the match against Charlestown City Blues was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 6 goals, will the fun continue today?

A home win before that, celebrating 3-1 vs Hamilton Olympic.

As mentioned earlier, Maitland will not be satisfied unless they get a comfortable victory in this game. Performing as huge favourites away from home has earlier resulted in one win (one by two or more goals winning margin), zero draws and zero surprising defeats.

Today's guests are confident travelers having scored 17 goals in 6 league games away this season. As opposed to that, Maitland have seen the ball go into their own net 8 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Valentine and Maitland have met before this season: Maitland - Valentine 4-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Valentine won two, Maitland won five and three draws. six games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Valentine missing players

Maitland missing players

Valentine Maitland
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
12 6 2 Played P 3 6 13
0 0 0 Won W 3 5 9
3 1 1 Drew D 0 0 1
9 5 1 Lost L 0 1 3
6 1 1 Scored S 11 17 31
28 14 5 Conceded C 4 8 16
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
67% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 77%
50% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 83% 69%
33% 33% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 67% 62%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 50% 31%
33% 17% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 62%
8% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 33% 31%
67% 83% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 8%
 
3.5 3.7 3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.3 3.3 5.2
8 7.2 7 Corners against (avg) C A 1.7 5.5 5.2
1.8 1.5 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.7 1.8
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.5 9.2 6.5 Shots (avg) S ( 14 13.3 14.8
4 3.8 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 8 7 7.5
14% 4% 14% Goal Efficiency G E 46% 40% 32%
Key stats in Northern Nsw this season:
  • Maitland have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Maitland have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.
  • Maitland have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Maitland have scored more than double the goals of Valentine.
  • Maitland have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Maitland haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Valentine have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Valentine have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Valentine have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Valentine have the fewest points (1) at home in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have the fewest scored goals (1) at home in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have the fewest scored goals (6) in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have the fewest scored goals in the second half (3) in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have the the worst goal difference (-13) at home in Northern Nsw
  • Valentine have yet to win a game.
  • Valentine haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Valentine is in the worst form (0-2-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lambton Jaffas 14 11 1 2 39 14 7 5 0 2 15 8 7 6 1 0 24 6 25 34
2 Broadmeadow Magic 13 9 3 1 32 10 7 6 0 1 19 6 6 3 3 0 13 4 22 30
3 Maitland 13 9 1 3 31 16 7 4 1 2 14 8 6 5 0 1 17 8 15 28
4 Edgeworth Eagles 13 9 0 4 26 10 5 3 0 2 6 2 8 6 0 2 20 8 16 27
5 Hamilton Olympic 14 6 1 7 24 27 7 2 1 4 15 18 7 4 0 3 9 9 -3 19
6 Weston Bears 13 4 3 6 14 27 6 2 1 3 8 16 7 2 2 3 6 11 -13 15
7 Charlestown City Blues 13 3 3 7 15 27 6 0 2 4 5 16 7 3 1 3 10 11 -12 12
8 Lake Macquarie 13 3 2 8 21 27 7 1 2 4 11 15 6 2 0 4 10 12 -6 11
9 Adamstown Rosebuds 14 2 3 9 17 39 8 2 2 4 11 17 6 0 1 5 6 22 -22 9
10 Valentine 12 0 3 9 6 28 6 0 1 5 1 14 6 0 2 4 5 14 -22 3

Read more about Northern Nsw

The National Premier Leagues (NPL) is the second level of football in Australia. It has eight regional divisions in which the number of teams vary. In total close to 100 teams compete in the NPL. It is currently not possible to promote to the A-League, but there is a relegation system in most divisions.