Home advantage could prove decisive in Bayside United - Caboolture battle

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Competition: Australia Brisbane Premier League
Date: Sat 03.August
Match begins: 07:00 (UTC)
Venue: Don Randall Oval 1 (1000 seats)

Bayside United perform at a high level so far being 3rd in the table. Caboolture can look both up and down from their 7th position.

It's no vacation for neither Bayside United nor Caboolture as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

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Bayside United form and stats

2-1-2 (win-draw-lost) are the numbers at home for Bayside United so far this season. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Bayside United after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Bayside United's previous game was a Brisbane match also played at home, ending 4-2 versus Caboolture. The home side are looking to build on that result. A strong away win before that one, visiting Univ. Queensland and winning 1-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Bayside United matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat (from two games).

Bayside United are showing their attacking force in their home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (15 goals in 5 games). Bayside United are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (10 from 5 played).

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Caboolture form and stats

The visitors are W4-D1-L3 on the road this term. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on the Caboolture manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Caboolture, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 2-4 versus Bayside United. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Grange Thistle wasn't a success with a 0-3 loss.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Caboolture when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing 1 time, drawing 0 and winning 0 games.

Caboolture create on average more than 2,5 goals per away game on their own, having scored 20 goals in 8 travels. For Caboolture, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Bayside United - Caboolture 4-2, played this season. Numbers for the last two meetings between these two teams are: 2 wins for Bayside United, 0 draws and 0 wins for Caboolture. Over 2,5 goals: 2 times; under 2,5 goals: 0 games.

Bayside United missing players

Caboolture missing players

Bayside United Caboolture
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
19 9 2 Played 3 10 19
12 4 1 Won 0 4 8
2 1 0 Drew 0 1 2
5 4 1 Lost 3 5 9
53 24 3 Scored 2 22 39
34 21 3 Conceded 7 25 40
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
89% 89% 50% Over 1.5 100% 100% 89%
84% 89% 50% Over 2.5 100% 90% 79%
74% 78% 50% Over 3.5 0% 50% 53%
58% 67% 50% Over 4.5 0% 50% 53%
74% 78% 50% BTTS 67% 80% 74%
26% 22% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 5%
0% 0% 0% Failed To Score 33% 20% 26%
 
8.1 8.5 7 Corners For (avg) 3 3.6 4.5
2.3 2.2 0.5 Corners Against (avg) 5.5 5.7 4.6
1.7 1.9 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 1.7 1.8
3 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 2
Key stats this season:
  • All of Caboolture's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bayside United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bayside United have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Bayside United have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Bayside United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Caboolture have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Caboolture have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Caboolture have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Caboolture haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Bayside United
23-06-19 BR Caboolture 2 - 4 Bayside United
29-06-19 BR Taringa Rovers 3 - 2 Bayside United
06-07-19 BR Bayside United 2 - 3 Taringa Rovers
13-07-19 BR Bayside United 2 - 6 Toowong
20-07-19 BR Bayside United 1 - 0 Acacia Ridge
27-07-19 BR Univ. Queensland 0 - 1 Bayside United
03-08-19 BR Bayside United 4 - 2 Caboolture
10-08-19 BR Bayside United 08:00 Centenary Stormers
17-08-19 BR Grange Thistle 07:30 Bayside United
24-08-19 BR Bayside United 08:00 The Gap
Caboolture
15-06-19 BR Caboolture 0 - 0 Taringa Rovers
23-06-19 BR Caboolture 2 - 4 Bayside United
29-06-19 BR Caboolture 4 - 1 Acacia Ridge
14-07-19 BR Caboolture 3 - 2 Univ. Queensland
21-07-19 BR Caboolture 2 - 1 Centenary Stormers
27-07-19 BR Grange Thistle 3 - 0 Caboolture
03-08-19 BR Bayside United 4 - 2 Caboolture
10-08-19 BR Caboolture 08:00 The Gap
18-08-19 BR Brisbane Knights 07:00 Caboolture
24-08-19 BR Caboolture 08:00 North Pine

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Albany Creek Excelsior 14 10 2 2 37 15 7 6 0 1 21 5 7 4 2 1 16 10 22 32
2 Toowong 13 8 3 2 38 22 8 5 2 1 26 15 5 3 1 1 12 7 16 27
3 Bayside United 12 8 2 2 37 18 5 2 1 2 15 10 7 6 1 0 22 8 19 26
4 Grange Thistle 11 8 1 2 30 18 4 3 0 1 10 4 7 5 1 1 20 14 12 25
5 Taringa Rovers 11 7 1 3 26 15 7 4 1 2 19 10 4 3 0 1 7 5 11 22
6 The Gap 14 6 3 5 33 33 7 3 2 2 19 18 7 3 1 3 14 15 0 21
7 Caboolture 12 5 1 6 26 25 4 1 0 3 6 7 8 4 1 3 20 18 1 16
8 Acacia Ridge 14 5 1 8 18 23 7 1 1 5 8 13 7 4 0 3 10 10 -5 16
9 Brisbane Knights 12 4 1 7 22 31 6 0 1 5 7 21 6 4 0 2 15 10 -9 13
10 Univ. Queensland 14 3 3 8 17 24 8 2 1 5 8 10 6 1 2 3 9 14 -7 12
11 North Pine 13 2 0 11 11 42 7 0 0 7 5 21 6 2 0 4 6 21 -31 6
12 Centenary Stormers 12 0 2 10 18 47 6 0 1 5 11 24 6 0 1 5 7 23 -29 2